Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Is Ray working on the 2nd call map?

His map looks perfect for what final results should be. Other than lower amounts SE MA. Any hill town in SNE should be in the 6-9” lolli 10 range 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

The jump from hour 18 to hour 21 on Pivotal for the 18z GFS looks funky.

[NotSureWeather]

Model wise this is not the worst spot to be in 72 hours out.

[Sled]

44 minutes ago, Layman said:

I enjoy your posts and appreciate your meteorological evolution but don't understand the Papal praise.  Might I suggest you take the age-old "trust but verify" approach and whenever you see a Vatican-based observation posted simply click on this link to see how accurate it is:  https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/webcams/dover_united-states_5085520 

I have the benefit of looking out my window to see if what's stated is true.  For example, the other morning an obs was posted saying "Coating, flurries now".  We actually had 1/2" to 3/4" of snow on the ground and light snow falling that lasted for hours, eventually giving us about an inch and half total.  Not crazy, but also not accurate.  For whatever reason, underplaying reality is a fetish for some posters here.  More power to them if that's what makes them happy.  If you're like me and prefer to live in the real world and value accurate info, take a moment to see if what people are saying is true or not.  

BTW, I hope you get crushed with a SEMA/Cape Cod blizzard before this winter is through.

I miss last year's George, everything was gonna be a blizzard- much more fun than downcast George.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Moonshine gone wild

[NotSureWeather]

Gonna be interesting to see if those two pieces of energy link up nicely or not. Would assume that is a very difficult thing for these models to pin down. 

[Prismshine Productions]

18z GEFS slower out to 75

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[Prismshine Productions]

Moonshine gone wild

I got a feelin' since I am a South Carolina to Vermont transplant that is gonna become my nickname around here XD


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[Prismshine Productions]

GEFS still the furthest SE, but slower than 12z

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[UnitedWx]

18Z GFS looks more... interesting than the Euro? I didn't get to look at the 12z yet so I can't say whether it looks better or worse

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Lots of white rain incoming 

[WxWatcher007]

38 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

I got a feelin' since I am a South Carolina to Vermont transplant that is gonna become my nickname around here XD


Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk
 

Given the rampant drunkenness in this place, it’s a term of endearment. 

[George001]

29 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Lots of white rain incoming 

Yep. Not our storm, it sped up a ton on the models today. Could be a good interior hit still though.

[dryslot]

We must be getting close or have surpassed the record for clown maps in a thread.

[WinterWolf]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

Yep. Not our storm, it sped up a ton on the models today. Could be a good interior hit still though.

Could slow down still and become yours  again….

[WinterWolf]

3 minutes ago, dryslot said:

We must be getting close or have surpassed the record for clown maps in a thread.

Ya the clowns have gone wild this season. 

[George001]

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Could slow down still and become yours  again….

It is possible yeah, but I wanted to see positive trends today and we got steps back instead. Im more interested in the clipper threat behind this one for my area. That needs some work but has been trending favorably the past couple of runs on the gfs. This storm speeding up appears to have helped the wave spacing for the follow up threat.

[dryslot]

5 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya the clowns have gone wild this season. 

If it makes some feel good rather then smashing laptops and phones have at it i guess.

[WinterWolf]

5 minutes ago, George001 said:

It is possible yeah, but I wanted to see positive trends today and we got steps back instead. Im more interested in the clipper threat behind this one for my area. That needs some work but has been trending favorably the past couple of runs on the gfs. This storm speeding up appears to have helped the wave spacing for the follow up threat.

Maybe? 

[Ginx snewx]

Brett flip flops better than anyone.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 hours ago, Cold Miser said:

How can there be gravy without a main course to put it on?  ...I'm still waiting on the main course, or at least a dried out chicken wing appetizer that's been sitting under the heat lamp for a few days.

It's gravy in the sense that any snow in that pattern is a bonus....has nothing to do with whiffing during the good stretch.

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Where's my climb to climo. I may be climbing the high tension wires down the street.

I still think you make a good run.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

27 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya the clowns have gone wild this season. 

Don't temp me to post the full 18z GFS run. It's a good one - the colors - so beautiful. 

[ORH_wxman]

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I still think you make a good run.

Woodshed Scooter….we beast. 
 

His area is paying for being like 200% of climo between 2003-2019. 

[WinterWolf]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Woodshed Scooter….we beast. 
 

His area is paying for being like 200% of climo between 2003-2019. 

Yes, that’s for sure.  They killed everything for 15 plus years. 

[dendrite]

17 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Brett flip flops better than anyone.

 

21 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Hard for me lose with this one, unless it ends up a fish storm. 

 

1 hour ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Lots of white rain incoming 

 

[Damage In Tolland]

18 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Brett flip flops better than anyone.

That kid has some very serious mental health issues. It’s not good 

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 hours ago, moneypitmike said:

Is Ray working on the 2nd call map?

Saturday.

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Woodshed Scooter….we beast. 
 

His area is paying for being like 200% of climo between 2003-2019. 

For someone that has almost 500,000 weather posts.. when you see him disappear.. you know it’s for one of two reasons.. either he doesn’t want to publicly melt or this storm and winter have totally and completely broken him and he needs time away and doesn’t want to ruin it for the folks getting good snows from it 

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I'm not sure some of you made the right read off the Euro - just saw it.

It's really not farther S than the 00z run. It's faster along the same latitude - or too close by comparison to make any difference .. not worth the bi-polar reaction ( nervy neurotics for the low haha).

This run is in fact slightly deeper than the 00z run - but .. me really enough to matter there either.

The only difference here that sticks out to me is the areal expanse of QPF.  It's just drier - though it is not abundantly clear to me why that is the case.  So be it... That's suspicious.  

I don't think this run "caved" to jack shit really considering these aspects are so unchanged.  The QPF not being as distributed is debatable as even real. 

This run over all has really bad continuity so ... it's not abundantly clear this run should be used just because its bad and appeals some weird abandonment issues. 

I agree. Doesn't look like it should have been that paltry....I call BS. I mean, 12"+? No....but that had the appeal of a moderate event to me.