Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[Prismshine Productions]

At least the ground will be white

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[Sey-Mour Snow]

Gotta love DT going all out on a Major snowstorm at 12:55pm why not take a peak at EURO before you publish.. some major balls/stupidity to post what he posted before the 12z came out when most had a strong hunch it would be much less impressive at 12z. 

[Snowcrazed71]

It almost makes no sense to follow these models. They are so bad from day to day and from model to model. This is something that's been happening more and more over the last few years. What a disappointment this could turn out to be

[dryslot]

Just now, Snowcrazed71 said:

It almost makes no sense to follow these models. They are so bad from day to day and from model to model. This is something that's been happening more and more over the last few years. What a disappointment this could turn out to be

See you at 18z.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

At least the ground will be white

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Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Gotta love DT going all out on a Major snowstorm at 12:55pm why not take a peak at EURO before you publish.. some major balls/stupidity to post what he posted before the 12z came out when most had a strong hunch it would be much less impressive at 12z. 

I don't think this will be that poor. I think we will see more than that depiction. EPS is probably a mild step back from 00z.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Disorganized mess on the QPF. Midlevel tracks are really nice though…so I don’t hate that part. Wish the vort was a bit stronger in the upper air which I think would help get that “curl” we want to really get it to go to town 

Throws SE NY and W MA a weenie fronto band. Maybe someone can get lucky with that.

[CoastalWx]

10:1 maps won't work either since there's a lot of white rain there outside interior/higher elevations. 

 

What a winter. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

It almost makes no sense to follow these models. They are so bad from day to day and from model to model. This is something that's been happening more and more over the last few years. What a disappointment this could turn out to be

The OP will waffle within the envelop of physical plausibility, which is dictated by very minor and subtle nuance at H5 that have large impacts on our sensible weather.

Just follow the ensembles...if they go to crap through tonight and tomorrow, then okay.

[H2Otown_WX]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

I don't think this will be that poor. I think we will see more than that depiction. EPS is probably a mild step back from 00z.

And just think, that's the 10:1 map. Imagine how bad Kuchie looks.

[MaineJayhawk]

I sense some teetering going on here .. 

[dryslot]

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

The OP will waffle within the envelop of physical plausibility, which is dictated by very minor and subtle nuance at H5 that are large impacts on our sensible weather.

Just follow the ensembles...if they go to crap through tonight and tomorrow, then okay.

Yes, All paths lead to the Tobin.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

10:1 maps won't work either since there's a lot of white rain there outside interior/higher elevations. 

 

What a winter. 

ya rain changing to snow with no dynamics and 33-34 degrees wont accumulate most places outside heavy bands and hills 

 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

 

I don't think this will be that poor. I think we will see more than that depiction. EPS is probably a mild step back from 00z.

Synoptically it really wasn’t that bad of a solution. It’s not going to drop 12”+ on that look but a 5-8” type event would be pretty consistent with how it looked. 
 

Id look for stronger vort going forward which may help in strengthening the storm more rapidly once south of us. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, dryslot said:

Yes, All paths lead to the Tobin.

Nah, I won't jumpo over this....event is gravy in a shit pattern.

[dryslot]

Just now, MaineJayhawk said:

I sense some teetering going on here .. 

I'm a breakfast guy so i'm going with waffling.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Synoptically it really wasn’t that bad of a solution. It’s not going to drop 12”+ on that look but a 5-8” type event would be pretty consistent with how it looked. 
 

Id look for stronger vort going forward which may help in strengthening the storm more rapidly once south of us. 

Yea, still like my first call in general...probably too heavy near the shore.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Ray will like this but I can see a path for the ole Merrimack valley screwgie with a nice cut off in precip around Boston on progressive euro if confluence is aggressive . 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Ray will like this but I can see a path for the ole Merrimack valley screwgie with a nice cut off in precip around Boston on progressive euro 

I don't care if I am screwed in that depiction.....its like drawing the shit end of the straw vs snot.

[Kitz Craver]

40 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

As we always say…folks were spoiled. Now that were back to the lean years, they wimper for mamma.  Need to toughen up. 

Please stop with the nonsense.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya rain changing to snow with no dynamics and 33-34 degrees wont accumulate most places outside heavy bands and hills 

 

Looks like Garbage . Let’s see ensembles 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Why would it play out colder? It's a garbage airmass ahead of it and you need to time the CAA just right. If anything these bumps north mean warmer. Of course you need bumps warmer to get the juice.

It will play out colder than the GFS GGEM. 

[Ginx snewx]

7 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya rain changing to snow with no dynamics and 33-34 degrees wont accumulate most places outside heavy bands and hills 

 

Snow depth change? Since when has this ever been close to reality

[Prismshine Productions]

And just think, that's the 10:1 map. Imagine how bad Kuchie looks.

Here

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[Snowcrazed71]

9 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya rain changing to snow with no dynamics and 33-34 degrees wont accumulate most places outside heavy bands and hills 

 

I'm not so sure about that. The precipitation is going to go overnight Sunday into Monday morning. The temp's on Monday aren't supposed to be about freezing. So the temperature should drop low enough Sunday night to support all snow. Maybe right along the coast line. They'd be around 33-34.

[NorEastermass128]

15 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

At least the ground will be white

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This image sums up the past few winters around here. Coastal Essex County screw job. It strikes with amazing precision. 

[Prismshine Productions]

CMC ENS

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[Go Kart Mozart]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

LOL, to the glue factory it goes.

I love sniffing glue in tough times like these.

[Ginx snewx]

18 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

At least the ground will be white

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You seem to.post incomplete maps 

[Ginx snewx]

4 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Here

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You posted a 99 hr 10 to 1 map and a 102hr  Kuchera 

[Prismshine Productions]

You posted a 99 hr 10 to 1 map and a 102hr  Kuchera 

Circumstances of multitasking XD

Though here is the 99hr Kuchie
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