Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[RDRY]

Just an unfounded hunch. Euro pulls an old-school coup.

[H2Otown_WX]

11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Regression? Its climo for her to take you to the shed....gonna be a long wait for VT to regress to southern CT lol Some bump worthy material from the southern folks for when this begins the inexorable late charge northward

Oh, I was expecting a clean whiff. I wasn't trying to say I expect to beat VT lmao

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Just now, H2Otown_WX said:

Oh, I was expecting a clean whiff. I wasn't trying to say I expect to beat VT lmao

Well within the goalposts 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

As I said earlier, I am much more interested in models from 12Z Thurs and onward but even now I can't see this getting suppressed to the extent the Canadian shows it.  By Saturday morning people will be bitching "it's too amped".

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, H2Otown_WX said:

Oh, I was expecting a clean whiff. I wasn't trying to say I expect to beat VT lmao

I guess I was thrown off by the regression comment haha No worries.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

Well within the goalposts 

Yea, it could whiff...just betting against it.

[George001]

7 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

As I said earlier, I am much more interested in models from 12Z Thurs and onward but even now I can't see this getting suppressed to the extent the Canadian shows it.  By Saturday morning people will be bitching "it's too amped".

You think we will see a deeper low? I do, I think it will deepen a lot more on future runs.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, George001 said:

You think we will see a deeper low? I do, I think it will deepen a lot more on future runs.

969mb right in your tushy 

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

Let's get a January 2018 style bomb, but just a little more NW this time.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

969mb right in your tushy 

A little East of his notch would be better for us.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said:

Let's get a January 2018 style bomb, but just a little more NW this time.

Track this between the Benchmark and ACK and I'll change my screen name to ChangeofDrawersWX

[Thunderblizzard]

0z Euro is NE with the goods from 12z... big hit for SNE

[Thunderblizzard]

Lock it in.

[STILL N OF PIKE]

Crushed 

Se mass buried 

[George001]

Yep, low is more north and it deepens to the mid 980s. 

[NorEastermass128]

SNE burial. 

[Roger Smith]

It looks like Blizzard of 78 except it doesn't get locked into place for two days. But even a 50% outcome of '78 would be quite a good storm. GFS continues to suggest caution but seems to be going against the herd. Good luck ! 

 

[George001]

I have a question about thermals. I’m looking at the guidance, and despite a mid 1030s mb high to the north the temps are in the 30s for a good amount of time. Wouldn’t you expect the temps to be A LOT colder given that we have a strong high to the north?  

[kdxken]

[CoastalWx]

2 hours ago, George001 said:

I have a question about thermals. I’m looking at the guidance, and despite a mid 1030s mb high to the north the temps are in the 30s for a good amount of time. Wouldn’t you expect the temps to be A LOT colder given that we have a strong high to the north?  

The airmass is terrible to start. The pressure of the high means nothing when it’s that warm to start. It also doesn’t necessarily correlate to temps.  
 

But it will get colder as the storm progresses.

[CoastalWx]

Not a lot of clarity overnight. Gfs and its ensembles still well offshore. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

4 hours ago, Thunderblizzard said:

Lock it in.

Not happening thundercats. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not a lot of clarity overnight. Gfs and its ensembles still well offshore. 

0z eps looked good. It’s the most nw leaning though so we know how that goes. 

[Prismshine Productions]

0z eps looked good. It’s the most nw leaning though so we know how that goes. 

Surprisingly, actually Reggie is leading the pack there

0z EPS has the 500mb vort over the OH/PA/WV border zone at hr90, 6z Reggie has it over south central Ohio

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[40/70 Benchmark]

16 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Two trends I suspect in the future are slower phase and more amped....with this in mind, that was a very nice run.

 

5 hours ago, Thunderblizzard said:

0z Euro is NE with the goods from 12z... big hit for SNE

 

[40/70 Benchmark]

42 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Not a lot of clarity overnight. Gfs and its ensembles still well offshore. 

Toss

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 hours ago, Roger Smith said:

It looks like Blizzard of 78 except it doesn't get locked into place for two days. But even a 50% outcome of '78 would be quite a good storm. GFS continues to suggest caution but seems to be going against the herd. Good luck ! 

 

"It looks like the Blizzard of '78 except 2 feet and 2 days less "

[Damage In Tolland]

She come 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Still a lot to iron out. Euro is nice to see, but it doesn’t mean what it used to

[ChangeofSeasonsWX]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

She come 

Would be good for the forum