Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[CoastalWx]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Violently agree to the point of picking you up and shaking all the change out of your pockets.

Kind of like this

 

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Damn that would be impressive ..  Take ORH for example temps in the mid to upper 30s as precip starts Sunday evening, changes to snow .. temps tank 15 degrees Monday morning, flash freeze with 6"+ of snow and temps in the teens Monday with some blowing and drifting powder on the 3" of paste .. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's do this and follow it up the the modeled NJ cyclogen.

Sneaky little critter on 2/2. LFG!

[Damage In Tolland]

Morch 2014 type of e firehose 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Morch 2014 type of e firehose 

2013...but no that was way different. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's do this and follow it up the the modeled NJ cyclogen.

Lol just saw that, 1-2' plus of snow during the worst look of winter at 500mb .. that's how you run a torch, seems like GFS leading the charge in that pattern .. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

11 minutes ago, Spanks45 said:

One huge positive right now, its start precipitating around 108 hrs.....not 150. Almost time for the Nam to start showing 40" of snow

You know it has one of those coming this season

[CoastalWx]

EPS is nice too.

[NotSureWeather]

20 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

True the WCB definitely dies out before us in New England .. Just tired here of the constant last minute push NW that takes us out of the goods 

Over the years I’ve basically taught myself to assume it will go to shit and if I’m wrong that’s great. I’m on the coast though so it’s easier for things to go wrong.

[RDRY]

From 2000-2015, this system would just keep amping up on subsequent model runs. The past few years, the opposite. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Let's keep that dry FU sliver from Maine out.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, RDRY said:

From 2000-2015, this system would just keep amping up on subsequent model runs. The past few years, the opposite. 

A srn stream system like this more often than not will. Look at this season for example. Sure not always, but that's the MO of these systems. 

[Spanks45]

13 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

ya I was saying this, the first half of the storm is inside day 4 for tonights runs .. miss the days when euro day 3.5 was the truth

We have chased a lot of snow around here recently that started around 180 hrs or so only to have it fall apart within 100 hrs....hopefully this continues to trend favorably at this point

[Typhoon Tip]

41 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I'll take it. Little OE too.

It really is charmed change in the cold air handling. 

I mean ... prior runs were bullying in a wholesale arctic plunging Ontario jet, which was causing confluence to become overwhelming and suppressing what was already an uninspired wave space/cyclone.  

Now,  not only is the wave space/cyclone stronger, but that fisting N/stream has backed way off, but still there is enough with confluence to supply a fresh cold air source to mix into the top of the circulation. 

These 12z runs really on whole/blend or whatever, is really the epitome of what enthusiasts would be hoping as a turn around. And the trend may not be done.   Said wave space/mechanics are just now nosing onboard in the NW.  I mean if that comes in more powerful, and the PNA ridge continues it's correction taller... what does that mean.

[Typhoon Tip]

22 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Let's do this and follow it up the modeled NJ cyclogen.

Haha

wondered if anyone else saw that NJ model critter hardly two days later.  That would be another 10" for you to PVD to Scott axis while Kevin ....oh so barely misses it with 2"   lol

[dryslot]

42 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Is it possible that piece could ultimately phase in if the sw is more amped, slower deeper?

When you see 4 or more pages of post you know which areas are getting hit when the models come out.

[SJonesWX]

can we get this to track over the CC canal please?

[The 4 Seasons]

1 minute ago, SJonesWX said:

can we get this to track over the CC canal please?

No

[UnitedWx]

1 hour ago, mahk_webstah said:

Is it possible that piece could ultimately phase in if the sw is more amped, slower deeper?

Same thought / question here. Get that little kinked wave involved more. EDIT: I see Tip already answered

[mahk_webstah]

I think Jeff will be able to get this to come north.

Come to papa....

[Prismshine Productions]

That one rogue 981 in the Bay...

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[Prismshine Productions]

90th percentile is a warning event

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[SouthCoastMA]

8 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I think Jeff will be able to get this to come north.

Come to papa....

I'll see your Jeff, and raise you a TBlizz meh

[CoastalWx]

Seems like a good cluster hanging west of the mean.

[dryslot]

18 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

I think Jeff will be able to get this to come north.

Come to papa....

Wish i had that power, ha ha, If i could get it to go where i want it too, It would have to come north like 300 miles or so.....lol

[STILL N OF PIKE]

The next couple days is when you really need to see where the poster lives to interpret if the run is good for your backyard , because it’s everyone for themselves  (more than normal )

[SouthCoastMA]

8 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

The next couple days is when you really need to see where the poster lives to interpret if the run is good for your backyard , because it’s everyone for themselves  (more than normal )

Definitely. If I see Dryslot first to post the euro i just log off. It's the perfect time saver option

[ineedsnow]

2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Sneaky little critter on 2/2. LFG!

Would be a nice bday present for me 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

21 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

Would be a nice bday present for me 

GL. Will you play outside in your birthday suit?

[MJO812]

Icon ensembles