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Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:16 PM, CoastalWx said:

I wasn’t deflating, but it doesn’t seem to have that big thumping precip shield that’s widespread. Hopefully it changes on modeling.You’ll probably get at least 3-6 anyways. Maybe you’ll creep to 20” on the season. 

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Just sittin’ here creepin’

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Prismshine Productions
Prismshine Productions

Nope, just a Brattleboro gal who loves looking at pretty colors on models and long peaceful walks in the snow with my soon-to-be wife (married next Wednesday) Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

dryslot
dryslot

Riding in Sn/Ip in Rangeley, Low vis, Lunchtime at Bald Mtn Camps, Don’t poke the bear.

dendrite
dendrite

ECMWF made the data free once they realized they f’d the model up

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SouthCoastMA

SouthCoastMA

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

Funny how the cold disappeared and the “CCB” is basically hoping to flip to paste around here.  We’ll need to really get the meat like the nam shows otherwise it’s a couple of inches of slop perhaps. 

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The RGEM is about as bad as it gets. Hope the NAM has a clue

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TauntonBlizzard2013

TauntonBlizzard2013

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:24 PM, CoastalWx said:

Funny how the cold disappeared and the “CCB” is basically hoping to flip to paste around here.  We’ll need to really get the meat like the nam shows otherwise it’s a couple of inches of slop perhaps. 

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This will probably be my last post in this thread, because I refuse to chase ghosts for the 15th time in the last 2 years, but this threat was over around here as soon as we started to lose that cold drain.

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SouthCoastMA

SouthCoastMA

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:39 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This will probably be my last post in this thread, because I refuse to chase ghosts for the 15th time in the last 2 years, but this threat was over around here as soon as we started to lose that cold drain.

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yeah it looked good temporarily in the 108-120 hour range but could see the writing on the wall with the trends overnight yesterday. Also the storm isn't as strong so we're not getting a huge ccb that would help the temps crash.  There's always the NAM /s

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AstronomyEnjoyer

AstronomyEnjoyer

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:22 PM, tunafish said:

The spamming of clown maps the last 3 pages is sure something.  Borderline unreadable in here.

Star boy...  sometimes less is more.

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Sorry, used to do data analysis. I want all the data displayed, lol. I'll calm it down for you folks if that's preferred. 

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Patrick-02540

Patrick-02540

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:39 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

This will probably be my last post in this thread, because I refuse to chase ghosts for the 15th time in the last 2 years, but this threat was over around here as soon as we started to lose that cold drain.

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Yeah.  I'm about ready for summer in Falmouth.  Lobsters rolls and sandy holes.  

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

Posted
Posted

I’d feel pretty good for ORH county getting decent snow….495 belt is prob decent as well but a bit more uncertain due to elevation not being as high. 
 

Kevins area is also a bit more uncertain but due to midlevel temps rather than elevation. 

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tunafish

tunafish

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:41 PM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Sorry, used to to data analysis. I want all the data displayed, lol. I'll calm it down for you folks if that's preferred. 

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I appreciate the excitement and love for data - I am right there with you.  The barrage of maps was a lot, is all.

 

  On 1/26/2024 at 12:46 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Where’s Wizzy? 

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See the banter thread, he posted about losing some loved ones this week.

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STILL N OF PIKE

STILL N OF PIKE

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:59 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I’d feel pretty good for ORH county getting decent snow….495 belt is prob decent as well but a bit more uncertain due to elevation not being as high. 
 

Kevins area is also a bit more uncertain but due to midlevel temps rather than elevation. 

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Glad he kept his pants on so far 

Do models typically get a good handle on confluence by 72 hours , and is it now more about Perturbations in W coast ridging and SW strength that determines mid level track / temps or do we know exactly which is weighing more 

 

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Damage In Tolland

Damage In Tolland

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 12:59 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I’d feel pretty good for ORH county getting decent snow….495 belt is prob decent as well but a bit more uncertain due to elevation not being as high. 
 

Kevins area is also a bit more uncertain but due to midlevel temps rather than elevation. 

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Cautiously optimistic.  I was feeling decent but these posts have me wringing hands and gnashing teeth. 

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Sey-Mour Snow

Sey-Mour Snow

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 1:14 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

Probably take 1/2 to may 2/3rds of that 06z Euro snow product there ... No qualms with 'where' ... but 10::1 seems a stretch in these thermals

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Yes, this seems much more realistic to me .. the snow in NNE is from today .. matches up with our map pretty well too ..

image.thumb.png.f371ee6ce2d584844e3c1cc5e8bf9e09.png

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WinterWolf

WinterWolf

Posted
Posted
  On 1/26/2024 at 1:26 PM, The 4 Seasons said:

First call. Will issue an update tomorrow sometime. Starting to think even this is a bit bullish. Up and in and the hills look best for this atm.

BOX/OKX is extremely conservative with their maps but i have a feeling they'll tick up. 

01_26.24_jdj_ct_ma_ri_snowfall_forecast.thumb.jpg.4cfaf3506569ddd8e2c6c722ebe163f0.jpg

01_26.24_jdj_ct_snowfall_forecast.thumb.jpg.b9a3e56eb30ca22284fe1e2667c2c0f5.jpg

 

 

 

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I’ll take 1-3”. 

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RUNNAWAYICEBERG

RUNNAWAYICEBERG

Posted
Posted
  On 1/23/2024 at 4:20 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Exactly and with a crap airmass…I’m not excited for us. 

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  On 1/23/2024 at 8:02 PM, HoarfrostHubb said:

Would not be shocked if this did a north shuffle. 

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  On 1/23/2024 at 8:16 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Oh it will. Don’t be shocked, expect it. 

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Going as planned…

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