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Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.


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Euro opened door to a polar vortex dropping south after Feb 2-3 and GFS explores possibility of a long-duration snowfall event, will be interesting to track how this develops as it looks like quite a pattern changer on GFS. As to the first event, needs better phasing with distant cold high to work out well but at least it's something. 

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These clown maps are gonna cause snow weenie rage in SNE.

This bump north isn’t coming with better dynamics; it’s with a much weaker surface high and CP airmass has all but vanished.

last 10 runs of GFS - check out Canada

I didn’t think that would happen…

Result is less suppressed but still very weak storm, and more ptype/low ratio issues. Mostly the latter.

IMG_0626.gif

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1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I am really looking forward to this one. Off time for it in mid January . Hopefully it continues to sink south and collapses to coast 

I wouldn’t get hopes up too much. Still shows signs it could be a banded mess. Needs another day to iron out.

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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I am really looking forward to this one. Off time for it in mid January . Hopefully it continues to sink south and collapses to coast 

It's been trending north not south, I don't see how that stops.. Coast has absolutely no chance at anything.. This is well inland north of 84 and/or elevation IMO .. 

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1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

It's been trending north, I don't see how that stops.. Coast has absolutely no chance ay anything.. This is well inland north of 84 and/or elevation IMO .. 

Trends for CT are not favorable. Wagons north, don’t fall for it fellow Weenies. No CAA to be found.

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5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I wouldn’t get hopes up too much. Still shows signs it could be a banded mess. Needs another day to iron out.

 

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

It's been trending north not south, I don't see how that stops.. Coast has absolutely no chance at anything.. This is well inland north of 84 and/or elevation IMO .. 

Well that was one way to deflate things this morning . 

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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

Now you and Scooter  me very worried and depressed . Let’s hope for better SE trends 

I wasn’t deflating, but it doesn’t seem to have that big thumping precip shield that’s widespread. Hopefully it changes on modeling.You’ll probably get at least 3-6 anyways. Maybe you’ll creep to 20” on the season. 

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