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Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.


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  On 1/25/2024 at 4:53 AM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Regression? Its climo for her to take you to the shed....gonna be a long wait for VT to regress to southern CT lol Some bump worthy material from the southern folks for when this begins the inexorable late charge northward :lol:

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Oh, I was expecting a clean whiff. I wasn't trying to say I expect to beat VT lmao

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  On 1/25/2024 at 5:06 AM, HIPPYVALLEY said:

As I said earlier, I am much more interested in models from 12Z Thurs and onward but even now I can't see this getting suppressed to the extent the Canadian shows it.  By Saturday morning people will be bitching "it's too amped".

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You think we will see a deeper low? I do, I think it will deepen a lot more on future runs.

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  On 1/25/2024 at 8:03 AM, George001 said:

I have a question about thermals. I’m looking at the guidance, and despite a mid 1030s mb high to the north the temps are in the 30s for a good amount of time. Wouldn’t you expect the temps to be A LOT colder given that we have a strong high to the north?  

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The airmass is terrible to start. The pressure of the high means nothing when it’s that warm to start. It also doesn’t necessarily correlate to temps.  
 

But it will get colder as the storm progresses.

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  On 1/25/2024 at 11:11 AM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:
0z eps looked good. It’s the most nw leaning though so we know how that goes. 
Surprisingly, actually Reggie is leading the pack there

0z EPS has the 500mb vort over the OH/PA/WV border zone at hr90, 6z Reggie has it over south central Ohiob9a183ebbc7939c35b40ec9021e60feb.jpga4a90f30e4660103fb6f95722deedbce.jpg

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

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  On 1/24/2024 at 6:36 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Two trends I suspect in the future are slower phase and more amped....with this in mind, that was a very nice run.

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  On 1/25/2024 at 6:21 AM, Thunderblizzard said:

0z Euro is NE with the goods from 12z... big hit for SNE

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  On 1/25/2024 at 7:56 AM, Roger Smith said:

It looks like Blizzard of 78 except it doesn't get locked into place for two days. But even a 50% outcome of '78 would be quite a good storm. GFS continues to suggest caution but seems to be going against the herd. Good luck ! 

 

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"It looks like the Blizzard of '78 except 2 feet and 2 days less "

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