Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:34 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s 630 so he must be a few IPAs deep already.

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Twitter ftl

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:34 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s 630 so he must be a few IPAs deep already.

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He doesn't need to see it to know it will favor areas above 900 feet in Tolland, CT.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:02 PM, jbenedet said:

GEFS type solution makes the most sense. 

Currently MJO warm phase state and PNA neutral and ++NAO but cold and suppression is still fighting very strong over northeast and SE Canada. Very El Niño esque. Can’t build a ripping WAR for shit.

Now, for this disturbance, jack up the PNA ridge allowing that CP airmass and UL height field to dip south over New England and western Atlantic and it’s major suppression. This is further compounded by the fact that there’s very limited baroclonity in the airmass which the disturbance originates, no countervailing forcing to build the downstream UL height field.

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I knew this would be coming at some point. Everyone zigs and the pope zags. Predictable as the day is long.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:50 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I knew this would be coming at some point. Everyone zigs and the pope zags. Predictable as the day is long.

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He’s had some really bad calls in the past from riding the gfs so we’ll see, if the gfs shits the bed, if he will be around to witness his own walk of shame.

I think the gfs is plausible though but I’m not discounting something more consolidated. Just Not buying the 12z euro though. Something more of middle ground makes sense. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:50 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I knew this would be coming at some point. Everyone zigs and the pope zags. Predictable as the day is long.

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No doubt it keeps growing more amped, now.

[kdxken]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:50 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I knew this would be coming at some point. Everyone zigs and the pope zags. Predictable as the day is long.

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What do they say about glass houses?

[dryslot]

Man, I see were digging deep into the model bag and some are confused of which runs are which.

[dryslot]

I should post about the 18z Euro to see who logs off......................

[dendrite]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:05 AM, dryslot said:

Man, I see were digging deep into the model bag and some are confused of which runs are which.

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Just take the run you like the most over the last 5 days and crop the timestamp out

[dryslot]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:06 AM, dendrite said:

Just take the run you like the most over the last 5 days and crop the timestamp out

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Models have ticked colder today on the friday s/w, I may see more snow from that one then the Sun-Mon one.

[Damage In Tolland]

Suddenly Dryslot and Dendy are posting and excitable after silence for days. When that happens it’s over in SNE . Congrats up north  

[dendrite]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:09 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

Suddenly Dryslot and Dendy are posting and excitable after silence for days. When that happens it’s over in SNE . Congrats up north  

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I was more excited a few days ago when I was getting jacked and it was a Sunday event. I’m pushing any Monday morning sloppy SNE seconds south.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:03 AM, kdxken said:

What do they say about glass houses?

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[JoeSnowBOS]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:05 AM, dryslot said:

I should post about the 18z Euro to see who logs off......................

Why back way off from 12z? Assumed that would be the case….many jumped on one run.


.

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:38 PM, CoastalWx said:

Twitter ftl

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00Z EPS is even better than 18Z, 100% chance of 12+

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:10 AM, dendrite said:

I was more excited a few days ago when I was getting jacked and it was a Sunday event. I’m pushing any Monday morning sloppy SNE seconds south.

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Thanks bud, you've stolen enough snow for a decade, let us have a win 

[dryslot]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:10 AM, dendrite said:

I was more excited a few days ago when I was getting jacked and it was a Sunday event. I’m pushing any Monday morning sloppy SNE seconds south.

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Last 24 hrs there's nothing to get excited about up here for that period, Maybe that changes going forward, I'll be up north riding Friday-Sunday so will have limited access.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

Well of course I'm excited. The much vaunted and infallible ICON has blessed me with a weenie jackpot at my location with its latest run. No way this can go wrong for me now.

[mahk_webstah]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:22 AM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Well of course I'm excited. The much vaunted and infallible ICON has blessed me with a weenie jackpot at my location with its latest run. No way this can go wrong for me now.

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Will it be excommunicated for coming north? 

[brooklynwx99]

18z ECMWF is very similar to 12z… nothing like the GFS still

[HoarfrostHubb]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:25 AM, brooklynwx99 said:

18z ECMWF is very similar to 12z… nothing like the GFS still

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CT Blizz sees visions of the future

[dryslot]

At 18z on the Euro, Hr 90 at the surface looked a bit NW of the 12z run at hr 96, That's as far as it goes out.

[mreaves]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:29 AM, dryslot said:

At 18z on the Euro, Hr 90 at the surface looked a bit NW of the 12z run at hr 96.

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See, you’re already starting to pull. 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:06 AM, dendrite said:

Just take the run you like the most over the last 5 days and crop the timestamp out

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This is the bad boy I'm shooting for.

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:40 AM, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

This is the bad boy I'm shooting for.

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No.

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:25 AM, mahk_webstah said:

Will it be excommunicated for coming north? 

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I'm not sure how the Germans feel about the Pope these days. 

[Damage In Tolland]

What in the sam hell is going on in this thread? 

[AstronomyEnjoyer]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:44 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

What in the sam hell is going on in this thread? 

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Dendrite is an Admin, I was just doing what he told me to. 

[gonegalt]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:21 AM, dryslot said:

Last 24 hrs there's nothing to get excited about up here for that period, Maybe that changes going forward, I'll be up north riding Friday-Sunday so will have limited access.

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My river crossing is in. ITS 88 on CAR/PQI line. 

Stop by the tree house if you roll by!

[Prismshine Productions]

  On 1/25/2024 at 12:29 AM, dryslot said:

At 18z on the Euro, Hr 90 at the surface looked a bit NW of the 12z run at hr 96, That's as far as it goes out.

Ridge out front was slightly higher, that def would have curled NW

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[dryslot]

18z EPS came north a bit from 12z.