Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[ineedsnow]

21 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

GL. Will you play outside in your birthday suit?

Ya I don't have any shame lol

[MJO812]

Gfs looks alot better at H5 but slips away. 

[Damage In Tolland]

22 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Icon ensembles 

Did anyone other than you know these even existed?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Icon eps lol.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

10 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Gfs looks alot better at H5 but slips away. 

It actually looks worse at h5. It may be OTL but we shouldn’t discount a shredded pos given how thread needle this is.

[George001]

We need the northern energy to phase in and not be a kicker.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs rips the dopamine drip IV out.

[The 4 Seasons]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gfs rips the dopamine drip IV out.

That's your job

[CoastalWx]

Rather rip that out vs my gutters dripping.

[40/70 Benchmark]

GFS is always too aggressive with the N stream. Not worried about that.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

7 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS is always too aggressive with the N stream. Not worried about that.

If there’s a stretch in time where it’ll nail it, it’s now, given the last 24 months 

[Prismshine Productions]

GEFS slightly improved over 12z... Still in business

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[The 4 Seasons]

Since we're posting weird and obscure model runs no one ever looks at... here's the 18Z GEM, looks a bit NW and more amped 

@MJO812

 

[Torch Tiger]

this event looks solid, best fronto/forcing looks pike north to SNH ish on the Euro.

[MJO812]

8 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said:

Since we're posting weird and obscure model runs no one ever looks at... here's the 18Z GEM, looks a bit NW and more amped 

@MJO812

 

I already saw

[MJO812]

56 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Did anyone other than you know these even existed?

Yes

[jbenedet]

GEFS type solution makes the most sense. 

Currently MJO warm phase state and PNA neutral and ++NAO but cold and suppression is still fighting very strong over northeast and SE Canada. Very El Niño esque. Can’t build a ripping WAR for shit.

Now, for this disturbance, jack up the PNA ridge allowing that CP airmass and UL height field to dip south over New England and western Atlantic and it’s major suppression. This is further compounded by the fact that there’s very limited baroclonity in the airmass which the disturbance originates, no countervailing forcing to build the downstream UL height field.

[The 4 Seasons]

Just now, MJO812 said:

I already saw

of course you did lmao. your the king weenie, and i respect that. I found out the GEM ran on off hours a few years ago but no one ever talks about it, i mean it only goes out to 84hrs so its kind of useless. And the only place i can find it is that UQAM Meteocentre site. I really hope you get dumped on from this storm, it's been too long for NYC/LI and the southern half of CT for a solid warning event.

[George001]

Pope says no

[Prismshine Productions]

Slight improvement at h5 on the off hour GEM

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[mreaves]

2 hours ago, dryslot said:

Wish i had that power, ha ha, If i could get it to go where i want it too, It would have to come north like 300 miles or so.....lol

So you better start now. 

[Jersey Andrew]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

Icon ensembles 

I’m supposed to be traveling to NYC Monday. Any chance I might need to move up trip?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

11 minutes ago, George001 said:

Pope says no

Pope loves himself the gfs. We’ll see come Monday if we bow at the altar or we disrobe him, again, and walk him down the aisle of shame GOT style, again.

[Damage In Tolland]

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

18z Euro isn't even out 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

12z. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

18z Euro isn't even out 

It’s 630 so he must be a few IPAs deep already.

[NorEastermass128]

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s 630 so he must be a few IPAs deep already.

Wasted Wednesday. Cooler SSTs have me cautiously optimistic if we have a marine influence. 

[CoastalWx]

7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

That’s not our yet

[Damage In Tolland]

Beer