Monitoring the 29th/30th for significant impact coastal redevelopment - confidence only medium for now but is trending favorably.

[ineedsnow]

  On 1/24/2024 at 9:38 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

GL. Will you play outside in your birthday suit?

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Ya I don't have any shame lol

[MJO812]

Gfs looks alot better at H5 but slips away. 

[Damage In Tolland]

  On 1/24/2024 at 9:41 PM, MJO812 said:

Icon ensembles 

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Did anyone other than you know these even existed?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Icon eps lol.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2024 at 10:02 PM, MJO812 said:

Gfs looks alot better at H5 but slips away. 

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It actually looks worse at h5. It may be OTL but we shouldn’t discount a shredded pos given how thread needle this is.

[George001]

We need the northern energy to phase in and not be a kicker.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs rips the dopamine drip IV out.

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 1/24/2024 at 10:23 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gfs rips the dopamine drip IV out.

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That's your job

[CoastalWx]

Rather rip that out vs my gutters dripping.

[40/70 Benchmark]

GFS is always too aggressive with the N stream. Not worried about that.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

  On 1/24/2024 at 10:29 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS is always too aggressive with the N stream. Not worried about that.

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If there’s a stretch in time where it’ll nail it, it’s now, given the last 24 months 

[Prismshine Productions]

GEFS slightly improved over 12z... Still in business

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[The 4 Seasons]

Since we're posting weird and obscure model runs no one ever looks at... here's the 18Z GEM, looks a bit NW and more amped 

@MJO812

 

[Torch Tiger]

this event looks solid, best fronto/forcing looks pike north to SNH ish on the Euro.

[MJO812]

  On 1/24/2024 at 10:52 PM, The 4 Seasons said:

Since we're posting weird and obscure model runs no one ever looks at... here's the 18Z GEM, looks a bit NW and more amped 

@MJO812

 

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I already saw

[MJO812]

  On 1/24/2024 at 10:04 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Did anyone other than you know these even existed?

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Yes

[jbenedet]

GEFS type solution makes the most sense. 

Currently MJO warm phase state and PNA neutral and ++NAO but cold and suppression is still fighting very strong over northeast and SE Canada. Very El Niño esque. Can’t build a ripping WAR for shit.

Now, for this disturbance, jack up the PNA ridge allowing that CP airmass and UL height field to dip south over New England and western Atlantic and it’s major suppression. This is further compounded by the fact that there’s very limited baroclonity in the airmass which the disturbance originates, no countervailing forcing to build the downstream UL height field.

[The 4 Seasons]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:00 PM, MJO812 said:

I already saw

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of course you did lmao. your the king weenie, and i respect that. I found out the GEM ran on off hours a few years ago but no one ever talks about it, i mean it only goes out to 84hrs so its kind of useless. And the only place i can find it is that UQAM Meteocentre site. I really hope you get dumped on from this storm, it's been too long for NYC/LI and the southern half of CT for a solid warning event.

[George001]

Pope says no

[Prismshine Productions]

Slight improvement at h5 on the off hour GEM

Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk

[mreaves]

  On 1/24/2024 at 8:26 PM, dryslot said:

Wish i had that power, ha ha, If i could get it to go where i want it too, It would have to come north like 300 miles or so.....lol

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So you better start now. 

[Jersey Andrew]

  On 1/24/2024 at 9:41 PM, MJO812 said:

Icon ensembles 

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I’m supposed to be traveling to NYC Monday. Any chance I might need to move up trip?

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:19 PM, George001 said:

Pope says no

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Pope loves himself the gfs. We’ll see come Monday if we bow at the altar or we disrobe him, again, and walk him down the aisle of shame GOT style, again.

[Damage In Tolland]

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

[MJO812]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

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18z Euro isn't even out 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

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12z. 

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:32 PM, MJO812 said:

18z Euro isn't even out 

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It’s 630 so he must be a few IPAs deep already.

[NorEastermass128]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:34 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

It’s 630 so he must be a few IPAs deep already.

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Wasted Wednesday. Cooler SSTs have me cautiously optimistic if we have a marine influence. 

[CoastalWx]

  On 1/24/2024 at 11:30 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

18z EPS. This event will definitely favor elevations 

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That’s not our yet

[Damage In Tolland]

Beer