CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:42 PM, CoastalWx said: Violently agree to the point of picking you up and shaking all the change out of your pockets. Expand Kind of like this 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 Damn that would be impressive .. Take ORH for example temps in the mid to upper 30s as precip starts Sunday evening, changes to snow .. temps tank 15 degrees Monday morning, flash freeze with 6"+ of snow and temps in the teens Monday with some blowing and drifting powder on the 3" of paste .. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:54 PM, Ginx snewx said: Let's do this and follow it up the the modeled NJ cyclogen. Expand Sneaky little critter on 2/2. LFG! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 Morch 2014 type of e firehose 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:58 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Morch 2014 type of e firehose Expand 2013...but no that was way different. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:54 PM, Ginx snewx said: Let's do this and follow it up the the modeled NJ cyclogen. Expand Lol just saw that, 1-2' plus of snow during the worst look of winter at 500mb .. that's how you run a torch, seems like GFS leading the charge in that pattern .. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:48 PM, Spanks45 said: One huge positive right now, its start precipitating around 108 hrs.....not 150. Almost time for the Nam to start showing 40" of snow Expand You know it has one of those coming this season 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 EPS is nice too. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:41 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: True the WCB definitely dies out before us in New England .. Just tired here of the constant last minute push NW that takes us out of the goods Expand Over the years I’ve basically taught myself to assume it will go to shit and if I’m wrong that’s great. I’m on the coast though so it’s easier for things to go wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 From 2000-2015, this system would just keep amping up on subsequent model runs. The past few years, the opposite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 Let's keep that dry FU sliver from Maine out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 7:04 PM, RDRY said: From 2000-2015, this system would just keep amping up on subsequent model runs. The past few years, the opposite. Expand A srn stream system like this more often than not will. Look at this season for example. Sure not always, but that's the MO of these systems. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:52 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said: ya I was saying this, the first half of the storm is inside day 4 for tonights runs .. miss the days when euro day 3.5 was the truth Expand We have chased a lot of snow around here recently that started around 180 hrs or so only to have it fall apart within 100 hrs....hopefully this continues to trend favorably at this point 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2024 Author Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:31 PM, CoastalWx said: I'll take it. Little OE too. Expand It really is charmed change in the cold air handling. I mean ... prior runs were bullying in a wholesale arctic plunging Ontario jet, which was causing confluence to become overwhelming and suppressing what was already an uninspired wave space/cyclone. Now, not only is the wave space/cyclone stronger, but that fisting N/stream has backed way off, but still there is enough with confluence to supply a fresh cold air source to mix into the top of the circulation. These 12z runs really on whole/blend or whatever, is really the epitome of what enthusiasts would be hoping as a turn around. And the trend may not be done. Said wave space/mechanics are just now nosing onboard in the NW. I mean if that comes in more powerful, and the PNA ridge continues it's correction taller... what does that mean. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 24, 2024 Author Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:54 PM, Ginx snewx said: Let's do this and follow it up the modeled NJ cyclogen. Expand Haha wondered if anyone else saw that NJ model critter hardly two days later. That would be another 10" for you to PVD to Scott axis while Kevin ....oh so barely misses it with 2" lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:47 PM, mahk_webstah said: Is it possible that piece could ultimately phase in if the sw is more amped, slower deeper? Expand When you see 4 or more pages of post you know which areas are getting hit when the models come out. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 can we get this to track over the CC canal please? 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 7:37 PM, SJonesWX said: can we get this to track over the CC canal please? Expand No 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:47 PM, mahk_webstah said: Is it possible that piece could ultimately phase in if the sw is more amped, slower deeper? Expand Same thought / question here. Get that little kinked wave involved more. EDIT: I see Tip already answered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 I think Jeff will be able to get this to come north. Come to papa.... 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 That one rogue 981 in the Bay...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 90th percentile is a warning event Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 8:03 PM, mahk_webstah said: I think Jeff will be able to get this to come north. Come to papa.... Expand I'll see your Jeff, and raise you a TBlizz meh 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 Seems like a good cluster hanging west of the mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 8:03 PM, mahk_webstah said: I think Jeff will be able to get this to come north. Come to papa.... Expand Wish i had that power, ha ha, If i could get it to go where i want it too, It would have to come north like 300 miles or so.....lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 The next couple days is when you really need to see where the poster lives to interpret if the run is good for your backyard , because it’s everyone for themselves (more than normal ) 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 8:49 PM, STILL N OF PIKE said: The next couple days is when you really need to see where the poster lives to interpret if the run is good for your backyard , because it’s everyone for themselves (more than normal ) Expand Definitely. If I see Dryslot first to post the euro i just log off. It's the perfect time saver option 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 6:56 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Sneaky little critter on 2/2. LFG! Expand Would be a nice bday present for me 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 On 1/24/2024 at 9:16 PM, ineedsnow said: Would be a nice bday present for me Expand GL. Will you play outside in your birthday suit? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 24, 2024 Share Posted January 24, 2024 Icon ensembles 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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