Great Snow 1717 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 10 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: No thanks I agree.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 22 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Deep interior favored on GEFS and EPS with this one.... for now.. Will be a ton of waffling around the next 6 days.. Definitely a thread the needle look with not much cold to be found 6z gfs shows you how to get it done. Will need a bomb with the perfect track to get a good event. Some pretty big timing differences on GEFS and EPS anywhere from Monday to Thursday AM also about 25% of the members are really amped.. Yup. 6z gfs is about as ideal as it can be and even that is marginal for south peeps. Working with shitty airmasses…nothing new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 29 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Deep interior favored on GEFS and EPS with this one.... for now.. Will be a ton of waffling around the next 6 days.. Definitely a thread the needle look with not much cold to be found, 6z gfs shows you how to get it done. Will need a bomb with the perfect track to get a good event. Some pretty big timing differences on GEFS and EPS anywhere from Monday to Thursday AM also about 25% of the members are really amped.. Lol…the last two yrs, everything has been a thread the needle situation. No changes with this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 7 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: I agree.. It’s real and it’s spectacular. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: It’s real and it’s spectacular. ....enjoy, perhaps you can go outdoors and do something,,, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 2 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: ....enjoy, perhaps you can go outdoors and do something,,, I sure hope you do! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Happy Blizzard of 78 anniversary, I scored 30+ living in Southern ORH County; jumping off the garage was done with ease and no broken bones! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 It has been tough to muster more than a dusting with these 5-10dBZ snow showers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 With pretty much everything else suppressed or warm early next week and the GEFS in general.. that 6z run is sold to the lowest bidder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: With pretty much everything else suppressed or warm early next week and the GEFS in general.. that 6z run is sold to the lowest bidder. Enough ensemble support to keep an eye on. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Enough ensemble support to keep an eye on. Yeah. Kind of feel like something is brewing. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Deep interior favored on GEFS and EPS with this one.... for now.. Will be a ton of waffling around the next 6 days.. Definitely a thread the needle look with not much cold to be found, 6z gfs shows you how to get it done. Will need a bomb with the perfect track to get a good event. Some pretty big timing differences on GEFS and EPS anywhere from Monday to Thursday AM also about 25% of the members are really amped.. I’ve been saying this for days now, this isn’t really interesting for SOP in any form, even up until you get near Hubb and Ineedrain. Zero confidence this will thread the needle needed to get a snow event here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 I'd sign up for something like the Euro OP has - 970mb SE of the benchmark And agreed that there are plenty of interesting ensemble members to not keep an eye on it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I’ve been saying this for days now, this isn’t really interesting for SOP in any form, even up until you get near Hubb and Ineedrain. Zero confidence this will thread the needle needed to get a snow event here when do we have more than zero confidence past 5 days? it's a crapshoot but just something to track at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 -41.69 Soi today wow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah. Kind of feel like something is brewing. The rhhea in your belly ? 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The rhhea in your belly ? I honestly had that last week...no bueno. I was out of work Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 @CoastalWx did 06z eps look better aloft at 144? I only got sfc mean…spacing looked better but can’t tell if trough looked a bit healthier or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 16 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: The rhhea in your belly ? after reviewing the 6z GFS from the toilet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: @CoastalWx did 06z eps look better aloft at 144? I only got sfc mean…spacing looked better but can’t tell if trough looked a bit healthier or not. I can't see it at the moment as I don't have access to the trader site anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 17 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: when do we have more than zero confidence past 5 days? it's a crapshoot but just something to track at least True. The 6z gfs is about the textbook look to get this to work SOP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 6z pasted BOS for sure. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: True. The 6z gfs is about the textbook look to get this to work SOP Yeah still ways this can work..just need that thing called Luck Granted..speaking strictly of snow threats. Safe to lock in cutters past day 5 this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I honestly had that last week...no bueno. I was out of work Tuesday. A lot of Ffftttt ‘ing going on? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 27 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: @CoastalWx did 06z eps look better aloft at 144? I only got sfc mean…spacing looked better but can’t tell if trough looked a bit healthier or not. NS and SS are more disjointed. SS is more hung back... should be better in theory as the NS should be able to get out ahead and suppress heights Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Eps 0z top 6z bottom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Yeah if you’re gonna separate those two streams, then you def want that northern stream running out far enough ahead so it didn’t suppress the southern stream too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 5 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Eps 0z top 6z bottom ridge axis a bit further east along the west coast as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Hey…it’s something to track. Ya, we know how these have gone the last two years, so very low confidence for sure. And these models have been all over the place, as you’d expect at 7-8 days out, but something is there… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 6 Share Posted February 6 Maybe this will happen next week? https://x.com/ryansnoddon/status/1754863934991929482?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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