Sn0waddict Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Meanwhile in Nova Scotia. Damn.. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 4 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: I’m thinking they may be the same person? Kinda odd to have two people so similar in posting style to just randomly pop up and start mass posting Nah they’re different. Totally different IPs. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Oh, and uh, duh, Mount Sunapee Itself. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: a very hot and dry summer followed by a cold and snowy winter is what usually happens when a strong el nino transitions to a la nina, those are my favorite combos. I loved 2010 and I'm hoping for a repeat. 1983-1984 wasn't that great of a winter...1998-1999 sucked, but that was a strong La Niña, which I doubt next year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 31 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1983-1984 wasn't that great of a winter...1998-1999 sucked, but that was a strong La Niña, which I doubt next year. We can hope for either a 1995-96 or 2010-11 (or combo lol) Was 1966-67 cold neutral? That would be a nice analog since 1965-66 is getting compared to this winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diggiebot Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 13 minutes ago, LibertyBell said: We can hope for either a 1995-96 or 2010-11 (or combo lol) Was 1966-67 cold neutral? That would be a nice analog since 1965-66 is getting compared to this winter. Don’t bet against the streak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: We can hope for either a 1995-96 or 2010-11 (or combo lol) Was 1966-67 cold neutral? That would be a nice analog since 1965-66 is getting compared to this winter. Neutral. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LibertyBell Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Neutral. A met in our subforum seems to think next winter may be neutral because he thinks the el nino staying strong later means there's a chance it might not become a la nina next winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 4 hours ago, dendrite said: Nah they’re different. Totally different IPs. I've used VPN on here before, no one could detect it. So my first thought is VPN, but not sure what the point would be. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 0z gfs a disaster for SNE. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: 0z ec looks great for SNE. I agree! Thanks Mr. Tiger! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: 0z gfs a disaster for SNE. Suppression 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 End of Euro would be epically sweet. Still snowing with foot plus on the ground. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Look we have a real good pattern setting up. The threats will start to show themselves in a few days. For now maybe signals? But all that matters is the larger scale setup and how stable the pattern looks. Looks like there will be be threats unless there is suppression. I don’t expect to see anything serious until maybe Tuesday or Wednesday, perhaps for the 12th? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: I agree! Thanks Mr. Tiger! what looks grrrreat? The Rainer? Or the Stein surrounding? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 22 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Look we have a real good pattern setting up. The threats will start to show themselves in a few days. For now maybe signals? But all that matters is the larger scale setup and how stable the pattern looks. Looks like there will be be threats unless there is suppression. I don’t expect to see anything serious until maybe Tuesday or Wednesday, perhaps for the 12th? Want to see the look hold thru the 6’th Dont want to see the western ridge erode or pacific go poopy I think we will still have decent chances in Feb if that occurs to a moderate degree but like Will has said we want a pattern improving as we go from day 10+ to inside day 7-8 and we got a few more days to see if that -PDO base state is still sort of a thorn as we go from day 12-15 to day 6-8 on great patterns 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1983-1984 wasn't that great of a winter...1998-1999 sucked, but that was a strong La Niña, which I doubt next year. 83-84 was a bit better in northern Maine - 171" and the most massive pack I've seen. Reached 80" on Big Twenty Twp (northern tip of the state) in mid-March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 4 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Want to see the look hold thru the 6’th Dont want to see the western ridge erode or pacific go poopy I think we will still have decent chances in Feb if that occurs to a moderate degree but like Will has said we want a pattern improving as we go from day 10+ to inside day 7-8 and we got a few more days to see if that -PDO base state is still sort of a thorn as we go from day 12-15 to day 6-8 on great patterns I understand what you are saying, and we’ve been burned a lot the last couple of years. It just doesn’t seem like there’s a lot of Contra indications right now. If there were the qanon omega and Papi would be posting those 300 hour plus operational charts. The sense I get from reading the meteorologists is that the large scale forces that are creating the upcoming pattern set up to force a good pattern. There doesn’t seem to be a lot of wiggle room. The pattern progression globally in other words, is leading us in this good direction. First snow is popping up on my weather underground app for the 11th 12/13. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Remember when we thought this might retrograde towards us? It was a brief thought, but here are some WebCams from Sydney Nova Scotia.https://www.weatherbug.com/traffic-cam/north-sydney-nova-scotia-ca 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 1983-1984 wasn't that great of a winter...1998-1999 sucked, but that was a strong La Niña, which I doubt next year. It ended well though(83-84)..had a couple nice snowstorms in mid and late March…that changed the tenor around nicely. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 29 minutes ago, tamarack said: 83-84 was a bit better in northern Maine - 171" and the most massive pack I've seen. Reached 80" on Big Twenty Twp (northern tip of the state) in mid-March. Estcourt Station. It’s ironic that they call it the Big Twenty Township..when it only incorporates two townships lol. Estcourt Station has like 4 people, that is one remote area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 just a gorgeous evolution... very high confidence for a semi permanent 50/50 ULL, west based blocking, and a stream of waves off the Pacific undercutting the AK ridge. all three ensembles share this same progression as well, there is great agreement there too i'm kinda wondering if that trough moving eastward in the Pacific is the storm, or if we just get a lobe from said trough\ 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 18 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: just a gorgeous evolution... very high confidence for a semi permanent 50/50 ULL, west based blocking, and a stream of waves off the Pacific undercutting the AK ridge. all three ensembles share this same progression as well, there is great agreement there too i'm kinda wondering if that trough moving eastward in the Pacific is the storm, or if we just get a lobe from said trough\ I recall when you posted posted 2 ago that you weren’t going to post for a week and see How it goes i want to see some day 2,3,4,5, 6 animations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: I recall when you posted posted 2 ago that you weren’t going to post for a week and see How it goes i want to see some day 2,3,4,5, 6 animations yeah, I was strongly considering that! lmao it seems like we have more confidence now, though. the change is going to occur, just a matter of how long it lasts and how much the pattern actually produces 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Will Ray be happy with all the storms going south, but at least it helps his outlook for those places? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 Suppression depression very real in this pattern change . Was very evident in that map Will posted a few days ago . Northern stream heavy and hoping something amplifies off of NJ. Still time to correct to more favorable though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Will Ray be happy with all the storms going south, but at least it helps his outlook for those places? It’s all about outlook verification. He’ll happily give snow away to accomplish the feat. What a nice guy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Suppression depression very real in this pattern change . Was very evident in that map Will posted a few days ago . Northern stream heavy and hoping something amplifies off of NJ. Still time to correct to more favorable though. Don’t forget about the rainers before the h5 epocity sets in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 I was getting worried about the lack of rain. My lawn is all brown and dried out. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 4 Share Posted February 4 1 minute ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I was getting worried about the lack of rain. My lawn is all brown and dried out. You’ve got full snow cover lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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