The 4 Seasons Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 31 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: My post to start out the thread from the 21. When i first read the title of this post i read it as Fap Feb. It still twists my brain looking at it and trying to say it out loud. Fab Fap Feb Flob <--- try saying that out loud 3x fast 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 25 minutes ago, NotSureWeather said: I can attest to that. I’m not sure what it actually is but I doubt it’s much more than 3”. 25 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Nobody along I-91 got 14" did they? Yea, this is all I mean. The storm was a blockbuser for that corridor over the interior....but it was relatively limited within the scope of the region..all I meant. No complaints on my end. My best event since March 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 41 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Hook and "Ladder" not latter What? ladder is a device you climb latter means later in a series... as in, the storm hooks in later on.... = hook and latter 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 13 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Yea, this is all I mean. The storm was a blockbuser for that corridor over the interior....but it was relatively limited within the scope of the region..all I meant. No complaints on my end. My best event since March 2018. hard to believe it's been since 2018 ... I did okay in that event, too - had a few 4" diameter tree limb snaps with branches littering yards and town squares. Didn't lose power though. It was a high density 31.5F classic spring blue storm if I recall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Euro ain't biting next week. Just buries it off of FL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: hard to believe it's been since 2018 ... I did okay in that event, too - had a few 4" diameter tree limb snaps with branches littering yards and town squares. Didn't lose power though. It was high density 31.5F classic spring blue storm The December 2019 event was in that ballpark, too...I had 2-3" more inches in that one TBH, but the 1/7/2024 deal had more ferocious rates....those predawn hours that Sunday were nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro ain't biting next week. Just buries it off of FL. the Euro's not very good at that range. but, that doesn't exactly give any nod to the GFS, either - which has its own problems with believability 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: the Euro's not very good at that range. but, that doesn't exactly give any nod to the GFS, either - which has its own problems with believability Go with the least snowy solution and then can always adjust to less snowy. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 GEFS and GEPS both look very good for mid-month. tall WC ridge building into AK, building -NAO, split flow, and deep E US trough 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 2 hours ago, The 4 Seasons said: When Scooter starts referring to himself in the 3rd person and starts talking like Jack from the Shining, you know we're in big trouble 2 hours ago, CoastalWx said: I'm basically at the bar like Jack was in that movie. "your money is no good here..." This sick irony is that Jack was completely snowed in after "days and days" of unrelenting snow. Just don't go fiddling with the boiler... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 one could argue it's actually getting pushed quicker with time, definitely no pushing back here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 6 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Go with the least snowy solution and then can always adjust to less snowy. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: the Euro's not very good at that range. but, that doesn't exactly give any nod to the GFS, either - which has its own problems with believability Yep. Just noting it. Not like both mean much this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS and GEPS both look very good for mid-month. tall WC ridge building into AK, building -NAO, split flow, and deep E US trough If we roll snake eyes with this look… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 14 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS and GEPS both look very good for mid-month. tall WC ridge building into AK, building -NAO, split flow, and deep E US trough I'd like that ridge a bit further east....couple that with an east-leaning block and I could see the deep-interior folks being strangled. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 17 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS and GEPS both look very good for mid-month. tall WC ridge building into AK, building -NAO, split flow, and deep E US trough Let’s just how the 50-50 doesn’t become too suppressive 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 13 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yep. Just noting it. Not like both mean much this far out. GEFS has about 1/3 solid hits for SEMA, and about 2 region wide storms. For reference those probs were at 0 last night on the 00Z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 21 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: GEFS and GEPS both look very good for mid-month. tall WC ridge building into AK, building -NAO, split flow, and deep E US trough That’s an interior favored look. It’s gonna get uglier before it gets better… 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s an interior favored look. It’s gonna get uglier before it gets better… Need to get the MJO through phase 7 and into 8. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Need to get the MJO through phase 7 and into 8. I think the coast would do fine there given the low heights extending into the N Atl with the trough axis overhead. most amplification looks to occur offshore there. also, that block is in the process of retrograding and extending westward I do think the interior is favored with the initial storm around the 14-15th, though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 14 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: That’s an interior favored look. It’s gonna get uglier before it gets better… I actually like that trough axis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Sell that d10 thread the needle gfs solution too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: I think the coast would do fine there given the low heights extending into the N Atl with the trough axis overhead. most amplification looks to occur offshore there. also, that block is in the process of retrograding and extending westward I do think the interior is favored with the initial storm around the 14-15th, though Right...I mean in that snap shot. I don't mean its going to remain that way. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 22 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: GEFS has about 1/3 solid hits for SEMA, and about 2 region wide storms. For reference those probs were at 0 last night on the 00Z run EPS is very wide right at 12z. Wish that came around a bit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 hour ago, Ginx snewx said: Hook and "Ladder" not latter No latter. It hooks and makes a latter (and unconventional) way to hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I actually like that trough axis. East based blocking and ridge too far west is not raising my excitement but it’s a static look. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 8 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: East based blocking and ridge too far west is not raising my excitement but it’s a static look. It's also a pretty cold look which I'll take. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Just now, CoastalWx said: It's also a pretty cold look which I'll take. same on the EPS. we have very good agreement today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Hook and ratter is more appropriate 10 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said: Hook and ratter is more appropriate Any chance you hook and latter into another forum? 1 22 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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