AstronomyEnjoyer Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: I doubt it will work out that way but if LA can pull off 12” of rain, that would be pretty historic. Yeah, only reason I posted that was because I was watching the evolution of the GFS on the full USA map and noticed some pretty striking colors forming over the LA area. That would also re-destroy all the roads in Death Valley that were just destroyed in I think summer of 2022? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDRY Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Mood flakes in the NYC. We take. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Flakes coating surfaces here this A.M. roads are slick. 28 degrees 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Maybe some light snows in Southeast mass early next week? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe some light snows in Southeast mass early next week? Congratulations 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Scooter getting sucked back in. Might be some south shore goodies with that colder airmass and onshore flow next week and then after that the ensembles showing a loaded pattern by mid-month. 3 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Scooter getting sucked back in. Might be some south shore goodies with that colder airmass and onshore flow next week and then after that the ensembles showing a loaded pattern by mid-month. He and we will have to get through another cutter first before Ray’s winter saving pattern sets in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe some light snows in Southeast mass early next week? Enjoy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe some light snows in Southeast mass early next week? Glad you said it not me. Im already on probation for mentioning that yesterday. Maybe someone lucks out with a spot 1 or 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 44 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Maybe some light snows in Southeast mass early next week? Congrats 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Hey I’m just saying lol. When you have the winter I’ve had and it’s quiet for days and days going forward, we take what we can get. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 42 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Scooter getting sucked back in. Might be some south shore goodies with that colder airmass and onshore flow next week and then after that the ensembles showing a loaded pattern by mid-month. I need something to break right....I feel like the last two years, last season and this one, I have had damn good seasonal efforts that just haven't amounted to anything where it counts...snowfall. I feel like I have largely had the pattern right, but it just refuses to snow. You try to point out great looks to validate the forecast and it just gets eye rolls. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 some models showing .1-.15 in that timeframe. Tiny Tim doesn't complain when he gets scraps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 12 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Congrats I like the 3" spot in Maine.. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 I anxiously await this period. Dry it out for a bit, get another biggie, and then let’s Morch. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Just now, dendrite said: I anxiously await this period. Dry it out for a bit, get another biggie, and then let’s Morch. It definitely beats whatever abomination occurred all last week. concur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Just now, dendrite said: I anxiously await this period. Dry it out for a bit, finally get a biggie, and then let’s Morch. Generally agree except… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I need something to break right....I feel like the last two years, last season and this one, I have had damn good seasonal efforts that just haven't amounted to anything where it counts...snowfall. I feel like I have largely had the pattern right, but it just refuses to snow. You try to point out great looks to validate the forecast and it just gets eye rolls. It’s been a historically warm DJF, snowfall aside 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Today is the 4th day in a row I have seen at least a couple snow flakes. I guess that's days and days. DIT nailed it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 5 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s been a historically warm DJF, snowfall aside the upcoming meltdowns are going to be epic!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 7 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s been a historically warm DJF, snowfall aside I would say if I had to point to a "smoking gun", so to speak....it would be the +EPO.....that is probably why it has been so warm. But even with the warmth, there have been chances to snow..January left a lot on the table and I still had nearly 30". I feel like have been pretty accurate with respect to the El Nino, polar fields and the PDO/PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 The outcomes to date have been pretty damn textbook significant El Niño. Just following that seasonal forecast would have yield great accuracy results to date 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would say if I had to point to a "smoking gun", so to speak....it would be the +EPO.....that is probably why it has been so warm. But even with the warmth, there have been chances to snow..January left a lot on the table and I still had nearly 30". I feel like have been pretty accurate with respect to the El Nino, polar fields and the PDO/PNA. You had close to the January jackpot (all of the Northeast) wouldn’t say any was left on the table for you. NYC had 2 inches 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: You had close to the January jackpot (all of the Northeast) wouldn’t say any was left on the table for you. NYC had 2 inches Yes there was. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Big snows will always be close in Dec and Jan, we live in New England lol. I def would not feel good about a forecast on that merit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 Just now, jbenedet said: Big snows will always be close in Dec and Jan, we live in New England lol. I def would not feel good about a forecast on that merit. Except that pattern in mid late January was pretty text book. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I need something to break right....I feel like the last two years, last season and this one, I have had damn good seasonal efforts that just haven't amounted to anything where it counts...snowfall. I feel like I have largely had the pattern right, but it just refuses to snow. You try to point out great looks to validate the forecast and it just gets eye rolls. That’s what makes a rat in this part of the world 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 41 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Scooter getting sucked back in. Might be some south shore goodies with that colder airmass and onshore flow next week and then after that the ensembles showing a loaded pattern by mid-month. I would say that is an understatement if not for the fact that "doubt" has the benefit two weeks. 320 hours is unfortunately for confidence/determinism, just beginning to emerging through the "coherency lens" Otherwise, I have not seen one as impressive as what I am looking at in years, both analytically, and in the "feel." Vast array of both linear and non-linear factors are in teleconnector convergence. Linear is visible geometry of the hemispheric Rossby wave dance out in time - follow it along. Non-linear being the influences that cannot be readily seen, such as longer term correlations; and yes, the "groove"/feel of it is included in this latter 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 32 minutes ago, jbenedet said: The outcomes to date have been pretty damn textbook significant El Niño. Just following that seasonal forecast would have yield great accuracy results to date correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 6 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said: correct We'll see what happens.....there is still room for a 1958 like flip, at least to a degree in terms of snowfall. It will not be that cold, no. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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