Torch Tiger Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Looks for a while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Me too. At the very least you guys have had a plethora of 18+ memorable events, which I guess you’re paying the price for, in somewhat recent years. We haven’t had one since 2013…so I’m not sure what or who we’re paying. It’s been worse for you even there…I’ve gotten in on alot of 12-18 inchers over the last 10 years too. Now we scrimping for a couple inches…we’ll really appreciate the next decent one when it comes. 1/7 was somewhat decent however(a low end warning event), close to 8” in that here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 I’d like to hear Wills thoughts on Feb At what % do Medium range weeklies , Twitter Mets and ensembles have to fail *in the day 14 -21 time frame * that Amy mention of these to make a prognostication should be couched in a caveat that they are not of significant value at those lead times OR is there a case to be made that day 14++ ensembles have been worse than usual (I was under impression that range was never of much value regarding accuracy ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 55 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: may as well live in Miami Good morning Torch Tiger/everyone. Accu-Weather seems to be looking ai this winters, so far, performance from the sunny side of the street. Stay well. As always ….. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 11 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Looks for a while Mildish and dry. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Mildish and dry. Stein February? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, STILL N OF PIKE said: Stein February? I’d prefer Stein April but yeah, looks boring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Maybe now that it looks boring, something pops up. We’ve had some nice looks the last month or so…with not much to show. Maybe now that it looks boring, we do better? Can’t get much worse for a lot of us. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said: I’d prefer Stein April but yeah, looks boring. I mean at some point I suppose it was inevitable that the gravy train of QPF would be shut off The Huge QPF is also what made extreme S CT snowfall anomalies the last 2 winters pretty much epic rats to me Much easier to rat with normal to below normal QPF 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 12 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I mean at some point I suppose it was inevitable that the gravy train of QPF would be shut off The Huge QPF is also what made extreme S CT snowfall anomalies the last 2 winters pretty much epic rats to me Much easier to rat with normal to below normal QPF Same here. Just unreal porkage. Dumbfounding. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 This is a blockier version of 1973. The past two seasons I have bet against an awful result due to the anticipation of high latitude blocking....but it just hasn't mattered. Its sucked, anway, despite nailing the blocking. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Very frustrating. I give Raindance credit...he nailed that. And no, I didn't copy him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 39 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: It’s been worse for you even there…I’ve gotten in on alot of 12-18 inchers over the last 10 years too. Now we scrimping for a couple inches…we’ll really appreciate the next decent one when it comes. 1/7 was somewhat decent however(a low end warning event), close to 8” in that here. I’ve had several 12-16 events since 2013 too but we’ve missed the next level events to our south, west, north, and east by like 25miles each. This the longest stretch of not getting 16+ in my life and I grew up in CNJ lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: This is a blockier version of 1973. The past two seasons I have bet against an awful result due to the anticipation of high latitude blocking....but it just hasn't mattered. Its sucked, anway, despite nailing the blocking. Yup. Until we see sustained changes in the pac we will continue with these lean winters. One or two weeks with a okay pacific isn’t enough time to capitalize, 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 23 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I mean at some point I suppose it was inevitable that the gravy train of QPF would be shut off The Huge QPF is also what made extreme S CT snowfall anomalies the last 2 winters pretty much epic rats to me Much easier to rat with normal to below normal QPF Yea. A wet rat looks worse then a dry rat. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 When winters were winters. Walking across the Sound instead of walking into it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 5 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yup. Until we see sustained changes in the pac we will continue with these lean winters. One or two weeks with a okay pacific isn’t enough time to capitalize, As much eye rolling as this will elicit right now, I still don't totally buy that.....some of this is just plain bad luck after decades of snowing at least excuse imaginable. Shit like not garnering enough separation between PV lobes has and will always happen in any type of regime. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 minute ago, WxWatcher007 said: When winters were winters. Walking across the Sound instead of walking into it. That last paragraph is wild . People walked across the sound from Long Island to CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 That said, yes...the Pacific is more important. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: When winters were winters. Walking across the Sound instead of walking into it. They’d look at our winters now and just laugh. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 1 hour ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: We can’t have nice things so expect more of the same in march. I’m not even asking for big snows at this point, just for winter to feel like winter. As long as temps are above normal that’s not going to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: As much eye rolling as this will elicit right now, I still don't totally buy that.....some of this is just plain bad luck after decades of snowing at least excuse imaginable. Shit like not garnering enough separation between PV lobes has and will always happen in any type of regime. That’s fair, we haven’t had much break our way in years. It does seem like when we do get a favorable window the pacific orientation spoils the fun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 There is a clipper threat next week. Hopefully that can deliver and give us a few inches of snow even if the big threat is squashed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 Just now, Allsnow said: That’s fair, we haven’t had much break our way in years. It does seem like when we do get a favorable window the pacific orientation spoils the fun. Pacific certainly isn't helping....it's a bit of both... bad luck and a bad PAC. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Pacific certainly isn't helping....it's a bit of both... bad luck and a bad PAC. Agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 13 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: When winters were winters. Walking across the Sound instead of walking into it. Yore. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Very frustrating. I give Raindance credit...he nailed that. And no, I didn't copy him. What was his idea? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 18 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Yup. Until we see sustained changes in the pac we will continue with these lean winters. One or two weeks with a okay pacific isn’t enough time to capitalize, Exactly!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 19 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. A wet rat looks worse then a dry rat. It’s been awful 15 inches of rain here since 12/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 29 Share Posted January 29 17 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: When winters were winters. Walking across the Sound instead of walking into it. “The Hard Winter” of 1779-1780 – Emerging Revolutionary War Era Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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