WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Hey maybe we can write the whole month of February off by this afternoon, after the EPS comes out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Is a storm hitting the coast at Daytona, and moving SE from there considered suppression? OTOH, this is eight days away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 22 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Hey maybe we can write the whole month of February off by this afternoon, after the EPS comes out. Yeah, may as well just wrap this up and in another month or so I can start tracking tick bites. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Yeah, may as well just wrap this up and in another month or so I can start tracking tick bites. My thoughts too…I hear half of February is flushed already here on January 28th, so maybe we can flush the whole month by 1:30 today, and then go straight to 65-70 by March 1st. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: My thoughts too…I hear half of February is flushed already here on January 28th, so maybe we can flush the whole month by 1:30 today, and then go straight to 65-70 by March 1st. Is this year last year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Is this year last year? Well I need about 2” to break last years 12” snowfall total. So I’m hoping I can get that 2” more by 3/31, and break last years total. But who knows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Well I need about 2” to break last years 12” snowfall total. So I’m hoping I can get that 2” more by 3/31, and break last years total. But who knows? Oh you’ll definitely get another 2” of rain by 3/31. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Souls crushed and backs broken in here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 People craving for some dews and heat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Euro is kind of interesting for eastern areas next friday night/Saturday. Drops that ULL straight south and it’s really cold/unstable profile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is kind of interesting for eastern areas next friday night/Saturday. Drops that ULL straight south and it’s really cold/unstable profile. How bout us poor western folks? It’s always astern areas…WTF? 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: How bout us poor western folks? It’s always astern areas…WTF? 0.0 shot but at least we’re not raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: 0.0 shot but at least we’re not raining. Going to be very cold next weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is kind of interesting for eastern areas next friday night/Saturday. Drops that ULL straight south and it’s really cold/unstable profile. Maybe a snow shower if close my eyes and click my heels. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: My thoughts too…I hear half of February is flushed already here on January 28th, so maybe we can flush the whole month by 1:30 today, and then go straight to 65-70 by March 1st. I'm all ears if someone has a different take, but I don't see how anything significant gets to us with that block where it is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Really unorthodox setup next week. Not sure how that's gonna play out. Funky setup nonetheless 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro is kind of interesting for eastern areas next friday night/Saturday. Drops that ULL straight south and it’s really cold/unstable profile. Ukie backs some in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm all ears if someone has a different take, but I don't see how anything significant gets to us with that block where it is. Maybe we get lucky and something pops lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 12 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: How bout us poor western folks? It’s always astern areas…WTF? I mean if this drops further west then it would be a pretty decent storm. Unlikely at this time but it’s been pretty volatile on guidance. But even some steady light stuff with that temp profile, it could add up to several fluffy inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Few saw this coming 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 4 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I mean if this drops further west then it would be a pretty decent storm. Unlikely at this time but it’s been pretty volatile on guidance. But even some steady light stuff with that temp profile, it could add up to several fluffy inches. I notice your saying drops…is this like a clipper type thing? Man, we need to catch some type of break here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Just now, WinterWolf said: I notice your saying drops…is this like a clipper type thing? Man, we need to catch some type of break here. It’s not a classic clipper because those come out of NW or at least central Canada…this is dropping from almost up near Baffin Island. It’s an exotic pattern…I am not counting on anything right now, but it is within the envelope of possibilities to see at least a few inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: It’s not a classic clipper because those come out of NW or at least central Canada…this is dropping from almost up near Baffin Island. It’s an exotic pattern…I am not counting on anything right now, but it is within the envelope of possibilities to see at least a few inches. Ya I hear ya. I mean c’mon Mother Nature…throw us a little bone for god sakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Normally the thought of cold and dry makes me I'll, but I could use some frigid air to eat into some of this season's huge positive departures. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Normally the thought of cold and dry makes me I'll, but I could use some frigid air to eat into some of this season's huge positive departures. Let the outlook go. I need some mildish sun soon or I may lose it. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 47 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Few saw this coming I mean the rate of warming is undeniable. It's also becoming normalized. People thought December wasn't that warm because it wasn't like 2015. Ok but it was still #2-3 all time. Sorry it didn't have +15 departures 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, SnoSki14 said: I mean the rate of warming is undeniable. It's also becoming normalized. People thought December wasn't that warm because it wasn't like 2015. Ok but it was still #2-3 all time. Sorry it didn't have +15 departures I don't think I saw anyone not feeling as though December was an absolute torch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Unless the larger synopsis changes the best winter storm enthusiasts can hope for toward the end of the week is a 'hook-and-latter' scenario - a lesser known storm type because they seldom set up. They're just exceptionally rare. The last good one I recall in fact may be that February event in 1997 ( I think it was the year). Out of seemingly nowhere the then ETA model, which only went out to 48 hours, came in on the FOUS 12z grid with something like 1.4" of total liquid equiv. at Logan in 55 mph NNE rips with temp crashing through the 20s, by that same late afternoon. This, from previous periods having little or nothing happening at all. Oops! A very potent S/W knifed down along N-->S azimuth.. probably why it was largely if not entirely missed by previous global guidance ( models were not as advanced as present era). The 500 closed off and the cyclone that formed ..., doing so already well SE of eastern L.I., got captured, and while bombing it moves NW. This is different from "back-lash" Schwoegology - not the same thing. It's basically taking a normal SW-->NE moving precip wall, but having it move SE--> NW.. Imagine the standard model and rotate it 90 deg... Winter storm warnings went up for eastern MA in a rush. Blizzards for SE zones and the lower Cape. Walter Drag was writing the AFDs that day... As it were, it never did get far NW ...at least, not as far as the UML/Merrimack Valley area in Lowell. We had undulating sky of snow plumes that occasionally shat shattered sparsely distributed aggregates in the gelid wind. It was like 15 F with that virga bulging motion overhead, and if I wasn't so pissed off for that sickening feeling that that was all we were going to get, I might have thought that spectacle was fascinating to bear witness... A specter that really went exotic at sun set when the sky exploded into this fiery orange and salmon exposure of those undulating plumes, under-lit by the setting sun. They almost looked like the plasma roils of fire... But, the 12 degrees by then made it abundantly clear the visage had nothing to do with heat. I think they did get upwards of a foot in those SE zones though. I'm not saying that's happening ... but, if I were going to prescribe a pattern that I thought might lead to the creation of a hook-and-latter scenario, that might be it. Exceptionally high meridian bias there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 15 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Unless the larger synopsis changes the best winter storm enthusiasts can hope for toward the end of the week is a 'hook-and-latter' scenario - a lesser known storm type because they seldom set up. They're just exceptionally rare. The last good one I recall in fact may be that February event in 1997 ( I think it was the year). Out of seemingly nowhere the then ETA model, which only went out to 48 hours, came in on the FOUS 12z grid with something like 1.4" of total liquid equiv. at Logan in 55 mph NNE rips with temp crashing through the 20s, by that same late afternoon. This, from previous periods having little or nothing happening at all. Oops! A very potent S/W knifed down along N-->S azimuth.. probably why it was largely if not entirely missed by previous global guidance ( models were not as advanced as present era). The 500 closed off and the cyclone that formed ..., doing so well SE of eastern L.I., got captured, and while bombing it moves NW. This is different from "back-lash" Schwoegology - not the same thing. It's basically taking a normal S-->N moving precip wall, but having it move SE--> NW.. Take the standard model and rotate it 90 deg... Winter storm warnings went up for eastern MA in a rush. Blizzards for SE zones and the lower Cape. Walter Drag was writing the AFDs that day... As it were, it never did get far NW ...at least, not as far as the UML/Merrimack Valley area in Lowell. We had undulating sky of snow plumes that occasionally shat shattered sparsely distributed aggregates in the gelid wind. It was like 15 F with that virga bulging motion, and if I wasn't so pissed off for that sickening feeling that that was all what we were going to get, I might have thought that spectacle was fascinating to bear witness... A specter that really went exotic at sun set when the sky exploded into this fiery orange and salmon exposure of those undulating plumes, under-lit by the setting sun. They almost looked like the plasma roils of fire... But, the 12 degrees by then made it abundantly clear the visage had nothing to do with heat. I think they did get upwards of a foot in those SE zones though. I'm not saying that's happening ... but, if I were going to prescribe a pattern that I thought might lead to the creation of a hook-and-latter scenario, that might be it. Exceptionally high meridian bias there. I think it was February 1999. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 55 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: Let the outlook go. I need some mildish sun soon or I may lose it. Ray’s got a big 2wk stretch in late Feb. We’re looking forward to it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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