NW_of_GYX Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 6 minutes ago, dryslot said: I spent the last 4 weeks in NW Maine where there was snow. All time rat. Still think 15-16 was worse here though. Anyone have temp departures for DJF that year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 1 minute ago, NW_of_GYX said: All time rat. Still think 15-16 was worse here though. Anyone have temps for DJF that year? I need another 12" to tie 2015-16 which is the worse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 2 minutes ago, dryslot said: I need another 12" to tie 2015-16 which is the worse. I don’t remember well enough and wasn’t taking records then. I just recall that December being an unbelievable torch, even torchier than this one. But maybe I’m wrong. There must have been a decent stretch in that year if you got to 50”. I just don’t remember it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 26 Share Posted February 26 3 minutes ago, NW_of_GYX said: I don’t remember well enough and wasn’t taking records then. I just recall that December being an unbelievable torch, even torchier than this one. But maybe I’m wrong. There must have been a decent stretch in that year if you got to 50”. I just don’t remember it. Snowfall 2015-2016 Date Snowfall Total 11/23/15 0.50 50.10 12/19/15 T 12/29/15 4.80 12/30/15 0.50 01/09/16 0.50 01/12/16 9.80 01/16/16 4.30 01/18/16 1.30 01/29/16 1.00 02/05/16 7.00 02/09/16 4.50 02/16/16 3.00 02/20/16 1.50 02/24/16 0.80 03/02/16 2.30 03/07/16 0.50 03/21/16 4.50 04/06/16 0.50 04/26/16 2.80 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 I believe I had mid 40s for snow that winter. That feels like 14-15 after last two years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I believe I had mid 40s for snow that winter. That feels like 14-15 after last two years. What do you avg there? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEPASnow Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 8 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The way things have been going, we will. But since we didn't see an El Nino pattern this winter, hopefully not. Agreed on active....only question is will we top 200 IMO...which is a crucial number for me in terms of winter. so we don't want the Ace to go above 200 or we do for better chance for east coast winter potential next season? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 27 minutes ago, dryslot said: I spent the last 4 weeks in NW Maine where there was snow. When I went snowmobiling in New Hampshire a couple weeks ago it was ok, not epic but enough. It snowed while were there, only a couple inches but looked and felt like winter. It's represented in dark blue on your map. I just thought Northern Maine was close to average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 minute ago, DavisStraight said: When I went snowmobiling in New Hampshire a couple weeks ago it was ok, not epic but enough. It snowed while were there, only a couple inches but looked and felt like winter. It's represented in dark blue on your map. I just thought Northern Maine was close to average. No, I don't believe anyone is near avg up here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 11 minutes ago, dryslot said: What do you avg there? Well if I use the more longer term average instead of 30 Yr it’s about mid 40s. 30 yr is low 50s. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 hour ago, NEPASnow said: so we don't want the Ace to go above 200 or we do for better chance for east coast winter potential next season? We do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 hour ago, NW_of_GYX said: All time rat. Still think 15-16 was worse here though. Anyone have temp departures for DJF that year? There aren't many in my life worse than this one...top of head: 1991-1992, 1994-1995, 2001-2002 and 2011-2012 Honorable Mention for 1998-1999 and 1999-2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 hour ago, NW_of_GYX said: All time rat. Still think 15-16 was worse here though. Anyone have temp departures for DJF that year? This one isn’t even remotely close to 15-16 up here. We’ve had several good storms and the mountain is already well past that winter’s totals. We literally didn’t get a 4” event in town that year. At least this year we’ve had snow cover pretty much most of the winter. Back in late November and early December we were ripping off damaging paste events weekly, that was fun at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 hour ago, DavisStraight said: When I went snowmobiling in New Hampshire a couple weeks ago it was ok, not epic but enough. It snowed while were there, only a couple inches but looked and felt like winter. It's represented in dark blue on your map. I just thought Northern Maine was close to average. Looking at the rough colors on CoCoRAHS, they’ve had less than this area in VT has for seasonal snowfall. We’ve been the luckiest despite insane departures. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 2 hours ago, NW_of_GYX said: All time rat. Still think 15-16 was worse here though. Anyone have temp departures for DJF that year? In terms of grooming, we have already surpassed all the grooming done in 15-16. There has been riding but obviously not consistent and not statewide. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 32 minutes ago, powderfreak said: Looking at the rough colors on CoCoRAHS, they’ve had less than this area in VT has for seasonal snowfall. We’ve been the luckiest despite insane departures. I think so. I’ve had 64” so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Clear weather tonight and I was able to set out some heavier equipment in the yard now that I've got a grass patch opening up. The setup and the shot. 29 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 5 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Clear weather tonight and I was able to set out some heavier equipment in the yard now that I've got a grass patch opening up. The setup and the shot. t pretty amazing shit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Let's not start this s*** again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Thank god fall is almost over. 2 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Overseed this weekend? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 FZFG earlier as deep winter rolls on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 20F this morning and already 41F by 9am. Recovered 20F in a couple hours lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 11 hours ago, raindancewx said: I've actually found a lot more predictive 'events' with La Nina than El Nino over the years. A few examples: Early heat waves in the West (ABQ first 90F high, where 1 is May 1, 31 is May 31, etc) in La Nina are highly correlated to cold winters in the Rockies/West for La Nina. This is from my outlook for 2022-23. I've always assumed this worked because it meant a coherent MJO wave in phase 4-5-6-7 was showing up around 5/1. At a standard 45 day MJO lag (more dark arts, i.e. counting), that turns to 6/15, 7/30, 9/15, 10/30, 12/15, 1/30, 3/15 which indicates that 4-5-6-7 will show up several times in winter, when it is a cold signal here. MJO 5 is generally cold here early on (Nov-Jan). La Nina cold snaps in the West are also highly tied to ACE in the Atlantic - In the absence of cold snaps in the West, the cold either isn't anywhere in America, or it is going to the East. But really for the East, the high ACE thing is more of a good snow year indicator than a cold indicator. 23 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: The following analysis of the top 10 ACE seasons suggests to me that a weak to moderate correlation of ACE to BOS/NYC snowfall the next cold season quite possibly exists, especially BOS, though ACE definitely shouldn’t be weighted heavily: Top 10 ACE years/snowfall following cold season 1933 NYC: 52.0”; BOS: 62.7”; mod La Nina 2005 NYC: 40.0”; BOS: 39.9”; wk La Nina 1893 NYC: 39.2”; BOS: 64.0”; mod La Nina 1926 NYC: 22.3”; BOS: 41.1”; neutral 1995 NYC: 75.6”; BOS: 107.6”; mod La Nina 2004 NYC: 41.0”; BOS: 86.6”; wk El Niño 2017 NYC: 40.9”; BOS: 59.9”; mod La Niña 1950 NYC: 9.3”; BOS: 29.7”; neutral 1961 NYC: 18.1”; BOS: 44.7”; neutral 1998 NYC: 12.7”; BOS: 36.4”; strng La Nina AVG NYC for top 10 ACE: 35.1” vs 28.5” mean of all years since 1868-9 or 23% above mean snowfall 2 MAN (including record heaviest), 4 AN, 0 NN, 2 BN, 2 MBN; 60% of top 10 ACE seasons had above snowfall median to follow —————————————- AVG BOS for top 10 ACE: 57.3” vs 43.1” mean all years since 1890-2 or 33% above mean snowfall 2 MAN (both in top 5), 3 AN, 4 NN, 1 BN, 0 MBN; 70% of top 10 ACE seasons had above snowfall median to follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Remember how the period from 2/15 to 3/10 was going to rock? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 45 minutes ago, powderfreak said: 20F this morning and already 41F by 9am. Recovered 20F in a couple hours lol. yeah, I inadvertently posted the 'diurnal watch day' in the March thread. Today should be right up there. It's yesterday's air mass plus 4 or 5 just guessin'. MAV was 58-ish down here BDL-FIT-ASH. Good candidate day for typical solar transition season machine numbers being too low, however much notwithstanding. 26 -> 45 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Even with snowbanks and some snow in places they’re out sweeping some streets today . 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: 20F this morning and already 41F by 9am. Recovered 20F in a couple hours lol. I stopped at the car wash on the commute this morning to beat the inevitable crowds later today. Good chance the fields next to 100 north of Stowe will be snow free by the end of the day today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 27 Share Posted February 27 14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Terrible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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