WinterWolf Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 40 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I had more snow in November than in December and February combined. And that was only around 2.5” That’s how it was here last year. What are you at for a total this season so far? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 34 minutes ago, SJonesWX said: sitting at 2.5" for the month of Feb, with 10 days left and not much on the horizon. So yeah, I'd call this a Feb. Flop You beat me by 1” so far. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: What did you have that year? never mind. Looks like you had 50” I had 30” that season and I’m a little ahead thanks to January Yes, 50”, Avg is 75”. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 19.4° and still windy. Picked up 0.1" from squalls last night. The fact I ran outside to measure that sad amount before it was vaporized by the sun goes to show you how bad this winter has been. Up to a whopping 2.9" for Feb now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Think back to those dry Euro monthly maps that many folks tossed . Turns out they were correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Think back to those dry Euro monthly maps that many folks tossed . Turns out they were correct Because of the first half of the month. Back half was modeled wetter. We’ll have rain opportunities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Think back to those dry Euro monthly maps that many folks tossed . Turns out they were correct Figured the spigot would eventually turn off, but thought it would have done so awhile ago. If only all that rn were sn we'd be a much better spot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 28 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: That’s how it was here last year. What are you at for a total this season so far? 35”ish. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tunafish Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 If we get no additional snow this month, it'll be the 2nd least snowiest Feb on record for PWM with 0.6". 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, dryslot said: You beat me by 1” so far. 2.5" in Feb with only 0.09" LE, plus 0.35" in the 2/10 TS. Only need an inch to pass 2/06 and escape last place. (2005-06 had 45.0" thru Jan 31 and only 7.8" after. Then the next winter had 19.1" thru Jan 31 and 76.2" after. Combine the 2 winters and things look close to average. ) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 The latter mid range and extended GEFs are completely out of phase with the EPS across the continent. It's pretty obvious those recent GFS runs that walled off the warmth with a denial-enabling mix ptype boundary is just part of an overall tendency to speed the flow along and slip the N/stream into a different R-wave signal --> more confluence... --> eternally winter ... okay. I guess it could. The teleconnector projections (numerical) however, from all three ensemble systems, sides with the EPS. The signal is a warm one for the first week of March. The operational version of it ( and the GGEM by the way...) are less like the GFS' atmospheric Laurentide Ice Sheet facade sitting W-E through our region. Assuming the warm weighty side transpires, does it couch a more exotic warm run? For the record, I conjectured that for "concept awareness," not intending as an actually outlook. Synergistic heat bursts ( which by the way... Saskatchewan and N. Scotland both saw a heat bursts in January, where both registered 70 F ... pretty sick at those latitudes) behave like emergent properties out of noise. The models process atmospheric input in complex geophysical processes, out in time, but synergistic emergence is a by product along the way - similar to chaos/spontaneous materialization. They are present as long as background ... but disappears when it evolves into something else and abandons. I don't have much confidence in either the GEFs vs the EPS/GEPS. Simple logic would lean toward the EPS and GGEPs, considering that even the numerics of the GEFs themselves are warm. But the GEFs has contaminating transient trough modes within that general construct - which can sometimes take place, too. Flip a coin I guess. I'd rather 2012 knocked on the door but heh - 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 ...Rare ice sighting in the middle of Lava Lake. Looks like I can get out there and ice fish...If I weigh as much as a sparrow. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: The latter mid range and extended GEFs are completely out of phase with the EPS across the continent. It's pretty obvious those recent GFS runs that walled off the warmth with a denial-enabling mix ptype boundary is just part of an overall tendency to speed the flow along and slip the N/stream into a different R-wave signal --> more confluence... --> eternally winter ... okay. I guess it could. The teleconnector projections (numerical) however, from all three ensemble systems, sides with the EPS. The signal is a warm one for the first week of March. The operational version of it ( and the GGEM by the way...) are less like the GFS' atmospheric Laurentide Ice Sheet facade sitting W-E through our region. Assuming the warm weighty side transpires, does it couch a more exotic warm run? For the record, I conjectured that for "concept awareness," not intending as an actually outlook. Synergistic heat bursts ( which by the way... Saskatchewan and N. Scotland both saw a heat bursts in January, where both registered 70 F ... pretty sick at those latitudes) behave like emergent properties out of noise. The models process atmospheric input in complex geophysical processes, out in time, but synergistic emergence is a by product along the way - similar to chaos/spontaneous materialization. They are present as long as background ... but disappears when it evolves into something else and abandons. I don't have much confidence in either the GEFs vs the EPS/GEPS. Simple logic would lean toward the EPS and GGEPs, considering that even the numerics of the GEFs themselves are warm. But the GEFs has contaminating transient trough modes within that general construct - which can sometimes take place, too. Flip a coin I guess. I'd rather 2012 knocked on the door but heh - I think I’m in the lean warm camp, but not a continuous stretch like the EPS has been occasionally advertising. Maybe 2-3 warm days and then a sneaky s/w to muck it up for a couple of days before the warmth tries to advect back in. OH valley-south and westward probably roast. Although if we can really ramp those positive height anomalies into PQ it’ll give us a lot more wiggle room to avoid backdoors or late digging s/w’s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, HoarfrostHubb said: 35”ish. 36 here. what a string of rats though. Including this year, I am at 79% of normal over the last 6 years. Last year was the only above average, due to a stat-padding 27" March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 39 minutes ago, dendrite said: I think I’m in the lean warm camp, but not a continuous stretch like the EPS has been occasionally advertising. Maybe 2-3 warm days and then a sneaky s/w to muck it up for a couple of days before the warmth tries to advect back in. OH valley-south and westward probably roast. Although if we can really ramp those positive height anomalies into PQ it’ll give us a lot more wiggle room to avoid backdoors or late digging s/w’s. Agreed ... you now full disclosure. I'm also spooked a bit by last year's global heat surge. As far as I'm seeing around the world, that didn't like settle back and prove just a transient weirdness ( so far ...). Maybe that happens, but air, and sea did that? - "everywhere all at once" I'm surprised that doesn't resonate more than I think it really should. We just witnessed a planet ... a whole planet, detonate. Something went on that is still sending theoretical climate craniums scrambling to explain. The implications of which unfortunately can be scary. - oblivious Not trying to conjure up a Michael Bay dystopian theme here ( we can certainly go there, LOL ) Still, I can't help but wonder ... - is the hemisphere like "spring loaded"? As the sun creeps N across the latitudes by day, perhaps we near some threshold ... Suddenly, an unusually fast and furious seasonal recovery flashes over. We did it last March - we just didn't get the Eurasian weird heat over the U.S... China was like 95 F for week around the latitude of D.C. ( I think it was... ). Anyway, I don't think based on the awareness of the growing catalogue of outre global events ... that one should assume a 1990s climate portrait of a terminating winter into a 'bowling season' last hope before green up. That doesn't seem to be supported to put it nicely - Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: Because of the first half of the month. Back half was modeled wetter. We’ll have rain opportunities. When? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Picked up another 3” at home and at least 5” at the mountain last night. Good squalls. Some +SN obs at MVL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 9 hours ago, 8611Blizz said: Some of us are paid to be ready for snow of all amounts and we stay that way until early April. Well, here is an inside tip..(whispers)..you aren't getting the 6-8"... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Reminds me of 11-12. We're going to Lowes to get plants and PF is getting knee deep powder. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Reminds me of 11-12. We're going to Lowes to get plants and PF is getting knee deep powder. I hope we hit the 80s in March. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope we hit the 80s in March. Crack the Norway buds by the equinox... I wonder if that'd be a regional record. Not something anyone likely logs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Boston Harbor finally below 40F. Can we get a coastal? LOL. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Boston Harbor finally below 40F. Can we get a coastal? LOL. No Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 19 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope we hit the 80s in March. Start greening up the lawn before the near inevitable April blocking? Although if memory serves, last April was one of the nicest in a long time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 56 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Agreed ... you now full disclosure. I'm also spooked a bit by last year's global heat surge. As far as I'm seeing around the world, that didn't like settle back and prove just a transient weirdness ( so far ...). Maybe that happens, but air, and sea did that? - "everywhere all at once" I'm surprised that doesn't resonate more than I think it really should. We just witnessed a planet ... a whole planet, detonate. Something went on that is still sending theoretical climate craniums scrambling to explain. The implications of which unfortunately can be scary. - oblivious Not trying to conjure up a Michael Bay dystopian theme here ( we can certainly go there, LOL ) Still, I can't help but wonder ... - is the hemisphere like "spring loaded"? As the sun creeps N across the latitudes by day, perhaps we near some threshold ... Suddenly, an unusually fast and furious seasonal recovery flashes over. We did it last March - we just didn't get the Eurasian weird heat over the U.S... China was like 95 F for week around the latitude of D.C. ( I think it was... ). Anyway, I don't think based on the awareness of the growing catalogue of outre global events ... that one should assume a 1990s climate portrait of a terminating winter into a 'bowling season' last hope before green up. That doesn't seem to be supported to put it nicely - Congrats to the farmers, hungry people, people dying of cold. Michael Bay can make a movie based on the benefits of a warmer world. It always doesn't have to be doom and gloom but hype sells. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 29 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Reminds me of 11-12. We're going to Lowes to get plants and PF is getting knee deep powder. SnowNH’s memorable drunken rant at 2am that winter. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cut Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, Cold Miser said: ...Rare ice sighting in the middle of Lava Lake. Looks like I can get out there and ice fish...If I weigh as much as a sparrow. we haven't had ice in years. When my kid played hockey we would play on local ponds every year - haven't been able to skate on a pond in at least 4 or 5 years here in southern CT. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 40 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I hope we hit the 80s in March. It’s coming .2012 about to knock down doors 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Boring models 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, here is an inside tip..(whispers)..you aren't getting the 6-8"... No shit sherlock 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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