powderfreak Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 39 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Dude... What a morning. It’s still snowing nicely too. 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Rain and wind have definitely verified here this season. Snow, not so much. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 38 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I would defininitely weigh the ensembles over the OP this far out. But I doubt those verify verbatim Sure..but they’ve sucked too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I still don't like the look of the GEFS...trended badly from 06z, I thought....north again. GEPS looked good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 16 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would weigh anything that doesn't snow/snows a little over anything that snows alot- Have to agree. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 24 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What a morning. It’s still snowing nicely too. jelly The winds were roaring at the Beast, straight up the mountain. One lift was running but with frequent stops as the seats of the chairs were getting blown upright as the chair descended. Most of the 2-3" that fell was blown to hell, but there were a few nice pockets where it collected in protected spots and was subsequently pretty deep... always an interesting transition from wind buffered hardpack to that stuff. Great thing about eastern skiing is it's always different... day to day, and even on the same day, same mountain, same trail. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Hi Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Euro def starting to look more interesting for something higher end….long time to go obviously but good to see many of the pieces in place 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 47 minutes ago, dryslot said: Back on the trails after 3” of snow up here last night, Having lunch in the forks at the Hawks Nest 45mile ride over. My Polaris would have made the pic a little better, but stupid work got in the way 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Euro def starting to look more interesting for something higher end….long time to go obviously but good to see many of the pieces in place you actually do have a lot in place... vort moving out of the W US, anomalous PNA ridging, a weak but present Davis Strait block to displace the TPV, and an Atlantic trough that almost provides a sort of pseudo 50/50 low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PWMan Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The 24th will absolutely happen because we're scheduled to fly to Key West that morning. Our one big snow event this season was when I was trying to get back from Chicago on 1/5. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Great airmass in place with the freezing line over a moose den. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: you actually do have a lot in place... vort moving out of the W US, anomalous PNA ridging, a weak but present Davis Strait block to displace the TPV, and an Atlantic trough that almost provides a sort of pseudo 50/50 low Only thing we don’t have is a good antecedent airmass (surprise!) but obviously a big dynamic system could overcome that. Airmass could improve some as we get closer….the setup could look a bit different. People will have to remember this is D7-8 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Great airmass in place with the freezing line over a moose den. Northern stream is cold. Feels like you’d need that inserted into the system at some point to turn it into something major. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 A 961 low with low QPF. That's an odd one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radarman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Berks and S Greens are probably running greater deficits than just about anybody. That solution would help. edit- or not if we're looking at QPE I guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 24hrSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 HOLY mackerel on that run, huh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DJln491 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 5 minutes ago, PWMan said: The 24th will absolutely happen because we're scheduled to fly to Key West that morning. Our one big snow event this season was when I was trying to get back from Chicago on 1/5. We appreciate your sacrifice 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Northern stream is cold. Feels like you’d need that inserted into the system at some point to turn it into something major. Yeah it tries to get incorporated last minute. Will need that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: A 961 low with low QPF. That's an odd one. yeah... it's a solution caught in 'physical emergence' if you will. The next run will be 974 but 30" LOL If this run scanned recursively back through it's solution it would probably have refined an inky CCB blog curved all the way back to Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: 24hr Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk lol, 5". make it bigger or go home. Make Winter Great Again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Yeah it tries to get incorporated last minute. Will need that. I think I’d like the evolution better if the southern vort went east a bit and then got captured by the northern stream digging and pulled back NW. That would create a cold CCB Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Just now, ORH_wxman said: I think I’d like the evolution better if the southern vort went east a bit and then got captured by the northern stream digging and pulled back NW. That would create a cold CCB Feb 13? LOL. It's amazing how bad the antecedent airmasses have been the last two years. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MRVexpat Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 46 minutes ago, powderfreak said: What a morning. It’s still snowing nicely too. Fuck ya. More fake snow plz. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 36 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I still don't like the look of the GEFS...trended badly from 06z, I thought....north again. GEPS looked good. Not trying to gaslight - you see what you see... But, from my perspective it was better than the 06z because it was more coherent. The 06z was not as deep pressure, and spread out over a larger area. You actually gain on this iteration, conceptually, because we need to get the advent of system more secure before we start divvying up who gets f*ed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Feb 13? LOL. It's amazing how bad the antecedent airmasses have been the last two years. Yeah can’t buy a good setup….but who knows. Maybe we’ll get the unicorn bombing out that makes the airmass less of a concern. We’re due for an April ‘97…not trying to get greedy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah can’t buy a good setup….but who knows. Maybe we’ll get the unicorn bombing out that makes the airmass less of a concern. We’re due for an April ‘97…not trying to get greedy. I would forgive two years worth of winter sins for that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, dryslot said: Back on the trails after 3” of snow up here last night, Having lunch in the forks at the Hawks Nest 45mile ride over. Friend of mine was just telling me she went to The Forks for snowmobiling last week and had a good time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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