40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 12 minutes ago, Layman said: He has been discussing that nuisance commute when there's a little bit of snow... Thankfully its south of me and its Saturday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 That def a bit more interesting with a ULL that deep on the GFS. That threat is still a long ways out so there is time for it to look a lot more threatening. Keeping expectations low but there is longwave support for something. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: RAP like HRRR tomorrow and going nuts with an inv trough feature lol. 3-4" ORH-TAN. We take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Models look better for 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 23 minutes ago, Heisy said: Little interesting here . We trending…we morphing . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
512high Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Thankfully its south of me and its Saturday. What! Every bit helps Ray, 3/4" last night Nashua.....time is running out! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 33 minutes ago, Heisy said: Little interesting here . In my opinion ... ... both the GGEM and GFS would be top tier events if it were not for this velocity management problem. This g-damn speed in the flow has been a canvased negative interference going back multiple years. In both these 12z renditions of the 24th potential, the models are just zipping the S/stream too quickly by and it out paces the N/stream ability to subsume/or absorb into the same wave space ... rendering the system to shear ... It's correctable from this range.. But, the speed aspect is real - that part of it is less than clear Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Layman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 33 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Did this even come close to verifying? I'm near the 2-3" red dot of Portsmouth and look to have hit 2" on the money. Super light and fluffy and mostly blown away now with all the wind. Grass blades were covered this morning but are about 50% visible now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 4 minutes ago, Layman said: I'm near the 2-3" red dot of Portsmouth and look to have hit 2" on the money. Super light and fluffy and mostly blown away now with all the wind. Grass blades were covered this morning but are about 50% visible now. Got 2 not 3-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Digityman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 39 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Did this even come close to verifying? I think Portland got 0.5" Freeport maybe 0.6543" So, nope. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 42 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said: Did this even come close to verifying? I picked up 1" with a forecast of 2-4". Good thing I don't have a jack fetish. Ha! 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Like the GEFs trend on that ... now below 998 with more members substantially lower aligned along the climate route (between the BM and ACK) 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 The 2" that I picked up has already been vaporized on the south facing deck. Whatever snow was collected by the stratus has melted down to 0.11". Sun angle is getting up there, eek! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Gfs wants to Mar 2001. Not there yet but it’s far from Kevin’s Morch 2012. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Gfs wants to Mar 2001 us. Not there yet but it’s far from Kevin’s Morch 2012. Can’t say I’m surprised. We tried to tell him… 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Like the GEFs trend on that ... now below 998 with more members substantially lower aligned along the climate route (between the BM and ACK) Geps also Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Based on a GFS op run 3-4 weeks out?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 HRRR continues to like S.CT/South Shore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Based on a GFS op run 3-4 weeks out?? Well what are you basing it on? Doesn’t really matter at that lead what you look at lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 3 hours ago, powderfreak said: The clipper is coming through. Probably going to hit double digits. Snowing very hard. Rare photo of myself this AM. Dude... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 minute ago, WinterWolf said: Well what are you basing it on? Doesn’t really matter at that lead what you look at lol. Ensembles and global Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Ensembles and global Good luck with those too….cuz they’ve been so accurate lately….right? The point is it doesn’t look even close to March of 12. And if for some reason it ends up like March of 12, I will give you the credit you deserve for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 I would defininitely weigh the ensembles over the OP this far out. But I doubt those verify verbatim Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Back on the trails after 3” of snow up here last night, Having lunch in the forks at the Hawks Nest 45mile ride over. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Windy windy windy!! That forecast definitely verified. Must have been a few gusts near 50 and lots 30-40. Impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: In my opinion ... ... both the GGEM and GFS would be top tier events if it were not for this velocity management problem. This g-damn speed in the flow has been a canvased negative interference going back multiple years. In both these 12z renditions of the 24th potential, the models are just zipping the S/stream too quickly by and it out paces the N/stream ability to subsume/or absorb into the same wave space ... rendering the system to shear ... It's correctable from this range.. But, the speed aspect is real - that part of it is less than clear I feel like that is just as large a mitigating factor of CC than temps and probably more so, given that them rises are more realized on clear nights. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted February 16 Author Share Posted February 16 Poor BostonSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 41 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Can’t say I’m surprised. We tried to tell him… Stand by on that....go back three weeks and look at the posts RE February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 22 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: I would defininitely weigh the ensembles over the OP this far out. But I doubt those verify verbatim I would weigh anything that doesn't snow/snows a little over anything that snows alot- 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 1 hour ago, Layman said: I'm near the 2-3" red dot of Portsmouth and look to have hit 2" on the money. Super light and fluffy and mostly blown away now with all the wind. Grass blades were covered this morning but are about 50% visible now. QPF was below the .15-.25 noted in AFDs. The fluff factor mitigated that a bit - the meager 0.07" here produced 2.1". The last 2-4" forecast (Jan 29) had the same 0.07" but only 1/2". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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