40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s not a complete portrait until you post the kuchie. That reminds me of 4/1/1997. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26 Author Share Posted January 26 It’s not a complete portrait until you post the kuchie. HereSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: Reinvigorated it too around 234-240 with another vort lobe. Almost reminds me of Dec ‘92 the way that happened on the Saturday after the initial violence on Friday. Highly doubt we see anything from that but there’s a low probability we can squeeze a shortwave underneath. Its day 10, but not like this is one of those weekly product charts cooked up in George's basement meth-lab....this is on the radar, folks. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 32 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: i don’t think that the GFS solution is likely by any means, but it certainly is a possibility No, it’s not. Zero Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 6 minutes ago, qg_omega said: No, it’s not. Zero I have news for you...models do not print out physically implausible solutions. Don't waste any more of your 5 disputing this fact, dude. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: It’s not a complete portrait until you post the kuchie. And that is a thing of dreams. I know it's a fantasy, but boy, that would take everything that has happened so far the last few years away for all of us a lot of the areas who haven't seen much snow. There's always the chance. And I'll probably take a weenie for this one 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, Snowcrazed71 said: And that is a thing of dreams. I know it's a fantasy, but boy, that would take everything that has happened so far the last few years away for all of us a lot of the areas who haven't seen much snow. There's always the chance. And I'll probably take a weenie for this one Even if we slash the amounts by a half, the evolution is still very low probability imo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have news for you...models do not print out physically implasubible solutions. Don't waste any more of your 5 disputing this fact, dude. Waste your time on this guy. He's like a leech. Yeah, zero interest in a constructive conversation. But as people have stated before, he has every right to post his trash comments. I just overlook them now and laugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 9 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Here Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk The more realistic map... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Even if we slash the amounts by a half, the evolution is still very low probability imo. Just curious, do you have a plausible reason why? I don't disagree with you that the chances are lower, but I did notice when you comment on what's going on, you're kind of like the glass half empty type of person. I hope you're wrong in this case. But if it doesn't happen, there will be a next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 30 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: Need a wall hanger anyone? Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Shiaaa meung! That's nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have news for you...models do not print out physically implausible solutions. Don't waste any more of your 5 disputing this fact, dude. If you actually took any meteorology courses you would know that statement is incorrect 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Hubbdave with 40” while forecasting 12-18”. “Surprised” 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 10 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: Just curious, do you have a plausible reason why? I don't disagree with you that the chances are lower, but I did notice when you comment on what's going on, you're kind of like the glass half empty type of person. I hope you're wrong in this case. But if it doesn't happen, there will be a next time. I’m actually not. More full than empty but there’s been nothing to be positive about for years now so lets keep it real. Here are the last several op runs, very consistent huh? Also, this specific run you have a pv lobe diving straight south over the GLs which requires surgical precision to the west from a ridge placement standpoint. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, qg_omega said: If you actually took any meteorology courses you would know that statement is incorrect They’re printing out solutions based on what they’re assimilated with and going forward. So while that solution is unlikely, it’s seeing something. You can argue the data it assimilates with is incorrect and it didn’t initialize right, or it’s not handling features properly going forward, but that’s different vs your statement. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: If you actually took any meteorology courses you would know that statement is incorrect Why are you still here. Don't you realize from all your comments and statements that you've made in the past that you have close to zero respect from anyone? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, qg_omega said: If you actually took any meteorology courses you would know that statement is incorrect If you were allowed to post anymore today, you could explain why you are so woefully misguided. 2 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: If you were allowed to post anymore today, you could explain why you are so woefully misguided. I might have to put this in my signature 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 23 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have news for you...models do not print out physically implausible solutions. Don't waste any more of your 5 disputing this fact, dude. Still want him back ?? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said: Still want him back ?? No. Thanks, @ORH_wxman. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 It’s very unlikely but it isn’t impossible. It’s an unusual evolution, but we have seen clippers dive south, bomb out over the Atlantic and evolve into a blizzard before. My biggest concern is the temp profile, I’d prefer to see modeled temps in the mid 20s not low 30s throughout the storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 9 minutes ago, George001 said: It’s very unlikely but it isn’t impossible. It’s an unusual evolution, but we have seen clippers dive south, bomb out over the Atlantic and evolve into a blizzard before. My biggest concern is the temp profile, I’d prefer to see modeled temps in the mid 20s not low 30s throughout the storm. Exactly...its probably about as likley as @WinterWolfshowing up to a CC convention, but there is a physical path. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Hell of a way to run a Nationwide torch 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Exactly...its probably about as likley as @WinterWolfshowing up to a CC convention, but there is a physical path. So... Serious question. How do we know when something is a definite when it's 10 days out. If we look back at our big snow storms or blizzards we've had in the past. Were they more of a lock within 10 days, where we knew the pattern was perfect and it was going to happen? Or did we have similar setups where we just weren't sure until we got closer ( as far as temps and where the storm will go and what kind of energy will be infused to make it a large snowstorm ) Just curious is all. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Euro not as aggro as the GFS but it does have the diving shortwave, see what it does here… . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 6 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said: So... Serious question. How do we know when something is a definite when it's 10 days out. If we look back at our big snow storms or blizzards we've had in the past. Were they more of a lock within 10 days, where we knew the pattern was perfect and it was going to happen? Or did we have similar setups where we just weren't sure until we got closer ( as far as temps and where the storm will go and what kind of energy will be infused to make it a large snowstorm ) Just curious is all. Nothing is definite, but the huge events are rooted on a hemispheric scale with mass teleconnector convergence, like Mach 1993 and PD II etc....even Feb 2013....so its just about nailing down the details. This is different in that its just a pinched off ULL under a block....toss a dart. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Ridge placed a little E this run, this thing should still get funky though . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Wow, GFS support to a degree heh . 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 LOL. That ridge forms a block and comes up with these exotic solutions on the op runs. I wasn't sure that would happen this morning...but yep, that's pretty funny. Clown range still of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Lol euro almost pulls it off. It does give accumulating snow from it. Just no 30 and 40 burgers like the insane GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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