Damage In Tolland Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Clipper starting to come back Friday into Saturday 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tavwtby Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 not sure why this doesn't match the box map fully, has a little 12-18 streak from say Beckett down to maybe Norfolk or me? thought they collabed on these maps... regardless I take Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 22 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Clipper starting to come back Friday into Saturday There’s some threats after the clipper too. 2/20-21 is starting to show up more. Some guidance tries to sneak in a smaller threat 2/17-18 too. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 2 hours ago, ORH_wxman said: There’s some threats after the clipper too. 2/20-21 is starting to show up more. Some guidance tries to sneak in a smaller threat 2/17-18 too. I still see no signs of this ghost-blizzard everyone keeps honking over. Don't get me wrong, this is one of my identified windows, but I don't see many signs of life on guidance. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 20 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I still see no signs of this ghost-blizzard everyone keeps honking over. Don't get me wrong, this is one of my identified windows, but I don't see many signs of life on guidance. I mean, the OP euro last night at D9-10 was pretty obvious…but if we hate OP runs, the general pattern for something is there on the ensembles….you have a trough entering the Midwest/Oh valley with a 50/50 in place and even a bit of a WAR to try and push this back west if it tries to escape east. I’m not honking or anything yet but there’s certainly potential 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: I mean, the OP euro last night at D9-10 was pretty obvious…but if we hate OP runs, the general pattern for something is there on the ensembles….you have a trough entering the Midwest/Oh valley with a 50/50 in place and even a bit of a WAR to try and push this back west if it tries to escape east. I’m not honking or anything yet but there’s certainly potential Euro ensembles definitely are robust and colder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: I mean, the OP euro last night at D9-10 was pretty obvious…but if we hate OP runs, the general pattern for something is there on the ensembles….you have a trough entering the Midwest/Oh valley with a 50/50 in place and even a bit of a WAR to try and push this back west if it tries to escape east. I’m not honking or anything yet but there’s certainly potential Well, this is what I mean...potential, sure, but getting within a week I would like to see something warrant a honk. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 6 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, this is what I mean...potential, sure, but getting within a weak I would like to see something warrant a honk. We’re only at a beep. Let’s honk at D4-D5. That’s when our best events show up (out of seemingly nowhere when potential is underlying) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 12 minutes ago, NorEastermass128 said: We’re only at a beep. Let’s honk at D4-D5. That’s when our best events show up (out of seemingly nowhere when potential is underlying) Yes but the biggies generally show themselves a week out. Lets see where it stands tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 57 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, this is what I mean...potential, sure, but getting within a weak I would like to see something warrant a honk. Yeah I hear you. This pattern has been chaos on guidance. Lot of shortwaves in the flow. It could easily end up as nothing. GFS has two moderate threats before that…sometimes we miss those when searching for the unicorns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Snow is melting quick even at 1400 in Ashburnham.. nice day though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lava Rock Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 52.3F for the high. Mud citySent from my SM-G981U1 using Tapatalk 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Best EPS LR clown in 2 years 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
inter Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 We go zonal at the end of the EPS. Will the groundhog be right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It's in 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 what “ghost poster” highlighted any blizzard on the 20th … I guess that must just be sarcasm but there’s been suggestion of ‘period of interest’ in the ens means. Ex, it took time for this 13th thing to emerge out of this positive PNA too. So long as we maintain that steep temperature gradient from north to south at Continental scale, the entire period is going to be volatile as baseline …so the background potential is going to be elevated. but I will enter that I don’t think we’re gonna have a protracted winter into March unless we see some index variations that are favorable for that pretty soon start to show up on the coherency horizon. … This is not 1956 climate and I know it’s hard for people to get their head around this, but warming and seasonal change is a spring loaded affair in this era of history. We have the benefit of a very strong and deep negative EPO but that ends around the 20th… And the PNA is modestly positive at that time but does tend to collapse negative afterwards. If we do not have a fresh insert of cold air, it will get warm pretty quickly ahead of schedule and probably faster than people think. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 Another stunning day! Snowpack is taking an absolute beating. Yesterday really did a number on it - as did the 35 degree low last night. I trudged down into the woods and took a 4k vid of the west branch Warner River as well. Water has come up, but nothing extreme by any stretch of the imagination. Unlisted link - > 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 11 Share Posted February 11 3 hours ago, ineedsnow said: Snow is melting quick even at 1400 in Ashburnham.. nice day though yeah that's a beating...was in Ashburnham/New Boston on Friday, still had 3-5" left at that time. One of the roads (Stowell Rd. iirc) was like 1400' right near Watatic, may have been 6" solid up there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I have a sneaking suspicion that Tuesday will account for most of what falls the rest of the season....which is fine because I already have one foot in the fantasy draft room. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, Torch Tiger said: yeah that's a beating...was in Ashburnham/New Boston on Friday, still had 3-5" left at that time. One of the roads (Stowell Rd. iirc) was like 1400' right near Watatic, may have been 6" solid up there lol that's exactly where I was mother in law lives on stowell rd 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 15 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: lol that's exactly where I was mother in law lives on stowell rd such a banger of a winter road, almost need 4wd to get thru 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 It’s only 30% into the month so far but these departures are incredible. Might be beating a dead horse after a couple months of these departures, but the fact that there has been snow on the ground for most of the winter has been the surprising part. 1V4… +13.7 (100+ year POR) MVL… +13.3 BTV… +11.9 (140+ year POR) MPV… +10.8 Yesterday was 55/30 and a +27 at both MPV and MVL. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 24 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: such a banger of a winter road, almost need 4wd to get thru lol she does her driveway is steep lol wicked view of wachusett though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 46 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: lol that's exactly where I was mother in law lives on stowell rd I was in Ashburnham after the last storm and they had 8-9 inches, while I had 2, my appt was almost in New Hampshire, right on the border. I was on E Rindge Rd. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have a sneaking suspicion that Tuesday will account for most of what falls the rest of the season....which is fine because I already have one foot in the fantasy draft room. Yup, nothing jumping out down the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 28 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Yup, nothing jumping out down the line. I'm done with long range H5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm done with long range H5. Yeah, it’s gotten tiresome at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 The deep cold that was modeled for later this week seems to have disappeared. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: The deep cold that was modeled for later this week seems to have disappeared. Shocking Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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