mreaves Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 4:55 PM, NW_of_GYX said: Sitting at 39" STD. Gonna really need some help here soon because we're rapidly falling behind. Over two weeks with no measurable snow in the heart of climo in NNE snow country is bad, no way around it. Expand On 2/13/2024 at 6:15 PM, dryslot said: 36.7" here, But i would rather see your area NW start cashing in, Its over before it even started for local riding and has been that way for a few years now, But lets get the foothills and mountains to get some, I would like to ride a few more weeks. Expand I'm sitting at 60", which is decent but as we know, it doesn't matter if it melts and snows again. I need some semblance of cold and retention. I think our club has groomed twice. There was some riding up until Thursday or Friday of last week. Its really limited now. I think there is some that could still be salvaged but we need more than an inch or two from a couple of clippers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 8:57 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Let's see how it looks next week. Love the period overall, but just can't anymore with the day 12 animations. Expand yeah i get it. it's been rough. just wait until you see the massive flat Aleutian ridge afterwards. in a strong Nino Feb! i mean, what the fuck 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 7:15 PM, dryslot said: I'm starting to look down the barrel of a .12 ga, I don't have a good feeling for much of anything the rest of this month, My back is sore from shoveling all the potential snow. Expand We went 24 days thru the middle of Dec with just 0.1" snow (and a boatload of rain), then had 30" in 5 storms over the next 18 days. So far this month we've had a one-hour flurry on 2/1 plus some catpaws in Saturday's TS. Would be nice to break this snow drought like it did in January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 8:38 PM, CoastalWx said: Can a brother get the NAM to be right? Expand Seriously. Nice clipper event and then it’s teeing up potential for Saturday. Would be nice to grab some events even if they aren’t huge. Hopefully we can time up a bigger one next week. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 State of the snowpack after surviving the onslaught of warm weather. Averaging 9.7" with 3.5" SWE (picture was the high measurement for the average). The south slope septic tank bare patch has spread like a disease though. Still hearing the neighbors out on snowmobiles (though I believe the local club might have the actual trails closed right now?) Hoping the clipper can overperform, but feeling a little pessimistic after the debacle that was this most recent storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 8:59 PM, brooklynwx99 said: yeah i get it. it's been rough. just wait until you see the massive flat Aleutian ridge afterwards. in a strong Nino Feb! i mean, what the fuck Expand Not a suprise to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:18 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Not a suprise to me. Expand i mean, normally, the fail mode in strong Nino Februarys is an overly oppressive GoAK low, not whatever the hell this is. this makes no sense 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:20 PM, brooklynwx99 said: i mean, normally, the fail mode in strong Nino Februarys is an overly oppressive GoAK low, not whatever the hell this is. this makes no sense Expand Been on the fake PNA all year, above fits the pattern very well and the above normal to much above March. This is top 5 warmest winter for the CONUS with many in the upper Midwest to NNE at the warmest DJF ever, why would that suddenly flip. I said same to Ray in January and his response was a 500mb composite of past Nino’s 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 8:58 PM, dryslot said: Some friends of mine rode in QUE this past weekend and went thru a pair of carbides up there. Expand Where abouts Jeff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:05 PM, ORH_wxman said: Seriously. Nice clipper event and then it’s teeing up potential for Saturday. Would be nice to grab some events even if they aren’t huge. Hopefully we can time up a bigger one next week. Expand Maybe it’s on to something lol… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 7:14 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: 29" on the season with average of like 62". Expand Try 9” with an average of 50”. Being at almost 50% of average isn’t that bad compared to a lot of others here. Still sucks though 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 8:54 PM, Damage In Tolland said: Not following why folks saying Saturday is sunny. Thats a solid signal for a light .. perhaps moderate .. event Expand Well I think one of the reasons is on WVIT, Ryan has us clear and sunny for the weekend. Weekend. No mention at all of a flake. Friday morning. However, Gil Simmons on WTNH talks about the chance of a snow event on Saturday. Very strange how one says it's a good possibility and the other says we're going to be sunny. It is very confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 I'll buy something when I see the flakes. I'm defeated and looking forward to warmth. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:41 PM, weathafella said: I'll buy something when I see the flakes. I'm defeated and looking forward to warmth. Expand No warmth to speak of though….your heading to Florida, so you’ll find it there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 More than doubled my season total today. Was at 11” for the season up to yesterday(horrid), and with the 12.5” today, it brings me up to 23.5”(much better), but I Average 50”, so about half way there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:20 PM, brooklynwx99 said: i mean, normally, the fail mode in strong Nino Februarys is an overly oppressive GoAK low, not whatever the hell this is. this makes no sense Expand It probably won’t verify in the end. The various ensembles have no idea what the MJO is gonna do the next few weeks so it’s likely the idea won’t be close to what actually happens 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:22 PM, qg_omega said: Been on the fake PNA all year, above fits the pattern very well and the above normal to much above March. This is top 5 warmest winter for the CONUS with many in the upper Midwest to NNE at the warmest DJF ever, why would that suddenly flip. I said same to Ray in January and his response was a 500mb composite of past Nino’s Expand You asked me to give a reason why the pattern would be different in February and that was my response. I also made it clear why this year is more prone to Maritime forcing than other el Nino seasons. You always cherry pick quotes from people. The composite is what it is, but I also had years in there like 1995, 2007 and 1973 for a reason. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:47 PM, WinterWolf said: More than doubled my season total today. Was at 11” for the season up to yesterday(horrid), and with the 12.5” today, it brings me up to 23.5”(much better), but I Average 50”, so about half way there. Expand You are about in par with my season now relative to average. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:44 PM, WinterWolf said: No warmth to speak of though….your heading to Florida, so you’ll find it there. Expand Wait for the end of the month into March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:28 PM, BombsAway1288 said: Try 9” with an average of 50”. Being at almost 50% of average isn’t that bad compared to a lot of others here. Still sucks though Expand You have had good, or at least normal seasons mixed in during this several year stretch. I have not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:20 PM, brooklynwx99 said: i mean, normally, the fail mode in strong Nino Februarys is an overly oppressive GoAK low, not whatever the hell this is. this makes no sense Expand It's the warm west PAC/-PDO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:44 PM, WinterWolf said: No warmth to speak of though….your heading to Florida, so you’ll find it there. Expand Yup. Warmth, spring baseball, returning late month. I’ve had it with this above normal temperature winter that doesn’t feel warm and every which way to not snow. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 10:02 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: Wait for the end of the month into March. Expand No guarantees there though either…. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:58 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: You asked me to give a reason why the pattern would be different in February and that was my response. I also made it clear why this year is more prone to Maritime forcing than other el Nino seasons. You always cherry pick quotes from people. The composite is what it is, but I also had years in there like 1995, 2007 and 1973 for a reason. Expand was I wrong to push back on it, my reasoning was posted when we had that exchange in Jan 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 9:23 PM, WinterWolf said: Where abouts Jeff. Expand 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 10:06 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: It's the warm west PAC/-PDO. Expand I think people forget El Niños can fail because of reasons other than the massive Aleutian vortex too. 91-92 94-95 and 06-07 all in essence failed for reasons other than that. That said, none of those was anywhere near as strong as this one was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Patrick-02540 Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 And down she goes. Finally looks and feels like February in these parts. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 On 2/13/2024 at 10:14 PM, dryslot said: Expand Thanks. Everybody needs snow. Had to cancel our trip up to the county…no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GCWarrior Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Saturday looking a little disjointed on the GFS. Was hoping to see it make a move towards the positive. Still plenty of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 13, 2024 Share Posted February 13, 2024 Ended up driving south to Whitman to take my son and his friend sledding. About 3 inches of glue here. Frozen up too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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