The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 5 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Oh, and such a lovely clown map it makes. So tempted to post it. don't do it prismshine productions 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Talk dirty, you filthy thang.... Don’t do it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Kinda warm near the coast but the Icon tends to do that but i'd take that track and intensity all day Lack of any real cold airmass is gonna be a problem (near the coast) though even if we do a get a bomb like this 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 2 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Don’t do it. I'm so hard up, I'd buy the ICON dinner for a blitz. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 I just looked, it's not that big of a deal....like 6-12". 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Kinda warm near the coast but the Icon tends to do that but i'd take that track and intensity all day Lack of any real cold airmass is gonna be a problem (near the coast) though even if we do a get a bomb like this For the love of God, please let this be something to track. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I just looked, it's not that big of a deal....like 6-12". in this winter though... I dont think this has much more higher ceiling anyway, maybe a little bit. But i think we'd all kill for a 6-12 event (for those who havent seen one since jan 2022 anyway) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: in this winter though... I dont think this has much more higher ceiling anyway, maybe a little bit. But i think we'd all kill for a 6-12 event (for those who havent seen one since jan 2022 anyway) Just saying, when I hear someone say a blizzard, I'm thinking at least like 18". 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 11 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I'm so hard up, I'd buy the ICON dinner for a blitz. we're hard up when we're excited for an end of run Icon prog. Well see what the real globals..my hunch is zero increased confidence Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Just saying, when I hear someone say a blizzard, I'm thinking at least like 18". havent seen 18 in over a decade, usually im thinking 10+ (double digits) but its really about the winds/vis but we won't get into those parameters/semantics here..i know what you mean 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Just now, The 4 Seasons said: havent seen 18 in over a decade, usually im thinking 10+ (double digits) but its really about the winds/vis but we won't get into those parameters/semantics here..i know what you mean Right..... Funny, I haven't sniffed normal snowfall in 6 years, still pulled off two events over 18" un that stretch....12/'19 and 1/'24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 GFS comin in hot? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 5 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: we're hard up when we're excited for an end of run Icon prog. Well see what the real globals..my hunch is zero increased confidence Gfs could be good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Turns out pretty meh but it was better thru 144. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Turns out pretty meh but it was better thru 144. It’s literally in the perfect spot based on how these have trended as we get closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 4 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Gfs could be good. Dont like the dueling areas of convection. That’s a surefire way to get a mundane solution. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 6-12" is a blizzard and 2-4" is hot....some beer goggles up in here lol 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Still think this is a long shot for southern peeps but at least we can track something for another 4 days before we congratulate the deep interior. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NotSureWeather Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 I think first time CMC, GFS and Icon all had the storm on the same run. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Canadian is a weak advisory event south of pike. I’d rather role the dice with a stronger solution like 12z 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 21 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 6-12" is a blizzard and 2-4" is hot....some beer goggles up in here lol Was looking at H5 early on thats why i posed it as a question. Clown maps aside i think the trend/consistency has improved from 12-18-00 today. 970s SE of the BM is still a pretty intense system We got a long ways to go though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Constellation Orion, taken earlier this evening. 80mm F/4 for 8 seconds ISO 12800. Fairly untouched, just compressed for forum limits. Even still, you can see the Orion Nebula, the Running Man Nebula, The Flame Nebula, and if you really know what to look for, a bit of the Horsehead Nebula. This is far from what a final stacked image could look like. You boost that signal to noise ratio up up and up, and you can pull out incredible details. Enough of clear skies though, I want it to snow. 13 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 54 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: 6-12" is a blizzard and 2-4" is hot....some beer goggles up in here lol 3-6" is "wrekt" for most Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Unc is a nice hit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Euro looks like a coastal revenge storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 0z Euro starts redemption for SNE on 13-14th vs. 12z Euro run: southern stream came in faster and better interaction with northern stream Still feels like wildly varying solutions but overall improving signal The 17-21th timeframe looks promising Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cleetussnow Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 5 hours ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said: Constellation Orion, taken earlier this evening. 80mm F/4 for 8 seconds ISO 12800. Fairly untouched, just compressed for forum limits. Even still, you can see the Orion Nebula, the Running Man Nebula, The Flame Nebula, and if you really know what to look for, a bit of the Horsehead Nebula. This is far from what a final stacked image could look like. You boost that signal to noise ratio up up and up, and you can pull out incredible details. Enough of clear skies though, I want it to snow. How much for Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 Can we just have the 6z GFS verify woah 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 7, 2024 Share Posted February 7, 2024 6z gfs bender again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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