jbenedet Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 10 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: What I do love in the winter, especially now is my office room at home has east facing windows, and with the neighbor cutting down the two pine trees last year I get ample sunshine blasting in the room so it can be like 20 out and as long as it is sunny I get toasty. Yes that’s another good point. By this time of the year, for buildings/homes that get good sun, you’re def using less heat at 35 and full sun than 45 and clouds. And yea does a lot to improve your day to day sentiment in the heart of winter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 I was driving through Andover MA this past weekend and saw a field of broccoli heads coming up. Had to triple take it…. That’s at least a month early. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because you had a 18" snowstorm and aren't that far BN for snow. below normal snowfall and above normal temps doesn't deserve anything more than an F grade....it has felt like winter on about 7 days...and the departure from normal snowfall is going to increase over the next 7-10 days... Low temp for the winter so far has been 11 degrees. On pace to not have a single morning temp below 10 degrees. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 GEFS looking worse and worse in the pacific as we go run to run. For now a model war. FWIW GEPS more euro like bs gefs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, Great Snow 1717 said: below normal snowfall and above normal temps doesn't deserve anything more than an F grade....it has felt like winter on about 7 days...and the departure from normal snowfall is going to increase over the next 7-10 days... Low temp for the winter so far has been 11 degrees. On pace to not have a single morning temp below 10 degrees. Well it's all relative. Winter will be more AN in temps going forward so deal with it. In your metrics every winter will be a F-. You had a hell of a snow event a month ago. Your snowfall is not that far BN as it stands now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, weathafella said: GEFS looking worse and worse in the pacific as we go run to run. For now a model war. FWIW GEPS more euro like bs gefs. Might be time to call it? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Just now, Great Snow 1717 said: below normal snowfall and above normal temps doesn't deserve anything more than an F grade....it has felt like winter on about 7 days...and the departure from normal snowfall is going to increase over the next 7-10 days... Low temp for the winter so far has been 11 degrees. On pace to not have a single morning temp below 10 degrees. Agree, you can still get a somewhat respectable winter with slightly above normal temps in the means, but it’s been what +4 AN? That’s just too warm. Meanwhile Alaska has been getting hammered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Well it's all relative. Winter will be more AN in temps going forward so deal with it. In your metrics every winter will be a F-. You had a hell of a snow event a month ago. Your snowfall is not that far BN as it stands now. ..but the departure is increasing by the day... and I have long ago accepted the role the climate change has had on winter. I'm not one of the hype masters of the forum... 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, Allsnow said: Might be time to call it? Winter 23-24 reminds me of Duran's "No mas" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, George001 said: Agree, you can still get a somewhat respectable winter with slightly above normal temps in the means, but it’s been what +4 AN? That’s just too warm. Meanwhile Alaska has been getting hammered. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Euro goes from extremely suppressed to cutter in 12 hrs for early next week. Back to the glue factory. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JKEisMan Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro goes from extremely suppressed to cutter in 12 hrs for early next week. Back to the glue factory. Yeah, plowing into the Great Lakes. Great. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro goes from extremely suppressed to cutter in 12 hrs for early next week. Back to the glue factory. maybe we can muster up a severe threat 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Another 384 hours of GFS for 0.1” of precipitation. Impressive. Epicosity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 Gorgeous day with that hammering sun angle, poundtown!! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro goes from extremely suppressed to cutter in 12 hrs for early next week. Back to the glue factory. Like I said acouple hrs ago…just throw a dart blindfolded at this point. But I mean at 8 days out, that’s kind of what happens. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro goes from extremely suppressed to cutter in 12 hrs for early next week. Back to the glue factory. Hard to say what's going on in any/all guidance actually... There are arguments for and against any given solution, just about split evenly - making it difficult to associate a "correction vector" The problem with a strong change in the PNA mode is that a +PNA can support both a Lakes cut and a coastal proper scenario(s). It comes down to particulars with the whether the PNA is west or easterly biased... We've seen +PNAs with storms too far S-E too. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 In an attempt to distract you all from crackhead operational models, here's a couple of photos I took from the hill today. This time I took a real camera. Unfortunately Stowe doesn't seem like it's going to be possible - topography in the way that I just can't clear from my location at only 2000 ft. Okemo and Killington, however, were baring all. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said: Hard to say what's going on in any/all guidance actually... There are arguments for and against any given solution, just about split evenly - making it difficult to associate a "correction vector" The problem with a strong change in the PNA mode is that a +PNA can support both a Lakes cut and a coastal proper scenario(s). It comes down to particulars with the whether the PNA is west or easterly biased... We've seen +PNAs with storms too far S-E too. One thing on my list to do this spring/summer is a more extensive study into the PNA and the entire domain. But I also want to go back and look at some of the other teleconnection/oscillation patterns which are measured out that way and out over Europe/Asia. I used to have a massive list but can't find it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 39 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Because you had a 18" snowstorm and aren't that far BN for snow. Yeah it's a C at this point, probably a D by the 15th. 12z gfs has a renegade clipper on the 18th but that's basically it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 20 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: maybe we can muster up a severe threat Let me put some muster on this............. 2 1 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 ...I found snow not too far from me. It's still white like I remember it. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, BrianW said: All the flooding rains washed it out... That happened to me too but the second time I did it I bought this stuff you spray over it and it hardens it and puts a protective coating on top. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DavisStraight Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 45 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Might be time to call it? Something will pop up out of nowhere. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 13 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Something will pop up out of nowhere. In mid April 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 16 minutes ago, DavisStraight said: Something will pop up out of nowhere. A week plus away from any pattern shuffling on February 5th…and the Jersey boy wants to call winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BrianW Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 48 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: Gorgeous day with that hammering sun angle, poundtown!! Yep. Great day for those with solar to tell Eversource and National Grid to fuck off with their outrageous rates. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 EPS looks like it wants to move a low nearby or overhead early next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MBRI Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, BrianW said: Bi Weekly About to drop some Lesco. What a winter for deep green lawns. Wonder if that guy in RI is still mowing? @MBRI 4 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted February 5 Share Posted February 5 1 hour ago, weathafella said: GEFS looking worse and worse in the pacific as we go run to run. For now a model war. FWIW GEPS more euro like bs gefs. Exactly what we don’t want to see, the great look eroding as we approach. I wouldn’t be surprised however. This is a persistence stance, but that’s the vibe of the season and it hasn’t been disproven yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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