40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 2:56 PM, ORH_wxman said: Omega trying to spike footballs if we get a pattern he explicitly said wasn’t going to happen would be the meme…. Expand Exactly....everyone will cling to either the "no snow " or, H5 plots as validation in the face of mounting frustration. Can see it now.....everyone wins (loses). People need to salvage forecast victory in the face of dissapointment with respect to sensible weather outcomes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 1:49 PM, George001 said: I hope they all rain down there in the tropics Expand Don’t be mean George, everyone should have their fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 2:33 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said: I am not optimistic about this first 10 days of February or so....has SNE bone-job written all over it and the bickering will continue. People like Pope and Omega will be citing the lack of snow posting clown GIFS, while Brooklyn will be posting animated plots of a bowling ball plowing through Halifax and Georgia. Expand i do think that the pattern initially is more MA favored with that omega block, but it should open up for you guys. 2003 and 1983 both smack BOS. as did 78 and 58, of course. i’d feel better around my latitude though, at least for the first 15 days of the month 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 wow, setting up folks for disappointment and anguish as always 2 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 a model whos performance everyone has been shitting on for months is showing a D9-10 blizzard. it's got this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 3:03 PM, mahk_webstah said: Don’t be mean George, everyone should have their fun Expand He’s cracked. No blizzards. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 2:25 PM, Typhoon Tip said: This is an interesting post.. I mean, at first it reads, "... Dropping from Nunavut to ACY ... highly unlikely" ...implying thus it should be dismissible. But look out! - some scenario at D10 ( no less ) where it is probably even more preposterous per comparing climate, 30" of snow at Norfolk VA, must somehow have legs. I get it - we're dancing around some notion that one way or the other we'll see some reality that is disappointing and seems unfair ... lol Expand First, you need to understand the difference between an implication and an inference. I imply nothing other than it is unlikely. You infer that I am declaring it dismissible. Second, I don't give a damn what the clown maps say for Norfolk. I am implying that a significant storm on the east coast "makes some sense"...and that's a direct quote from my post. Lastly, I predict it "will have legs". I also predict that the 49ers and Ravens will win tomorrow...maybe I am wrong on all three...what do I know? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 27, 2024 Author Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 5:39 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: First, you need to understand the difference between an implication and an inference. I imply nothing other than it is unlikely. You infer that I am declaring it dismissible. Second, I don't give a damn what the clown maps say for Norfolk. I am implying that a significant storm on the east coast "makes some sense"...and that's a direct quote from my post. Lastly, I predict it "will have legs". I also predict that the 49ers and Ravens will win tomorrow...maybe I am wrong on all three...what do I know?Well if you believe the Super Bowl Logo color conspiracy, they willSent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 OP Euro is much further west with that ULL @ Day 7, compared to CMC/GFS Not that it has any sort of clue, but you're kinda looking for what the NAVGEM shows at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 6:43 PM, SouthCoastMA said: OP Euro is much further west with that ULL @ Day 7, compared to CMC/GFS Not that it has any sort of clue, but you're kinda looking for what the NAVGEM shows at that time Expand Ha, way to go euro! I just glanced quickly at the 24 hr increments on TT. Awesome storm with no cold air, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 6:55 PM, Go Kart Mozart said: Ha, way to go euro! I just glanced quickly at the 24 hr increments on TT. Awesome storm with no cold air, lol. Expand Yeah it's way west, but I'd rather see some wide goal posts at this range than all runs having it over New Brunswick. It's also the OP so I highly doubt that run won't be an outlier in the ensembles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 Just end ‘winter’ right now if the euro verifies. The final nail… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:02 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just end ‘winter’ right now if the euro verifies. The final nail… Expand how much for Philly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 Just how we would draw it up except… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:06 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just how we would draw it up except… Expand wow, she's even more hideous than I thought. look away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 Thank god it’s a day 9 fantasy run…that won’t be there at 0z, let alone tomorrow. But ya, that’s ugly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:09 PM, SouthCoastMA said: wow, she's even more hideous than I thought. look away Expand That would be the icing on the cake for this winter. Coming up on the 2 year anniversary of our last warning event here, and our last all snow event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:14 PM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That would be the icing on the cake for this winter. Coming up on the 2 year anniversary of our last warning event here, and our last all snow event. Expand The 1/7 storm a few weeks ago wasn’t a warning event for you there? I know it snowed at the end for you guys there…but it didn’t reach warning criteria? We managed to squeak out a warning here in that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:18 PM, WinterWolf said: The 1/7 storm a few weeks ago wasn’t a warning event for you there? I know it snowed at the end for you guys there…but it didn’t reach warning criteria? We managed to squeak out a warning here in that one. Expand I think Taunton had 4 or 5, so advisory. .5" here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:18 PM, WinterWolf said: The 1/7 storm a few weeks ago wasn’t a warning event for you there? I know it snowed at the end for you guys there…but it didn’t reach warning criteria? We managed to squeak out a warning here in that one. Expand Not here. He slanted 6” though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:11 PM, WinterWolf said: Thank god it’s a day 9 fantasy run…that won’t be there at 0z, let alone tomorrow. But ya, that’s ugly. Expand Yea. It’s a good signal with support but oh boy do we need to keep some cold around. You’d think that shouldn’t be an issue in peak climo but this is the 2020’s… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:25 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. It’s a good signal with support but oh boy do we need to keep some cold around. You’d think that shouldn’t be an issue in peak climo but this is the 2020’s… Expand I mean at some point ..we gotta catch a break. Rough stretch of late. But We’ll appreciate it that much more though when we do get a big one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:18 PM, WinterWolf said: The 1/7 storm a few weeks ago wasn’t a warning event for you there? I know it snowed at the end for you guys there…but it didn’t reach warning criteria? We managed to squeak out a warning here in that one. Expand I think I got 6 total? So maybe technically a warning, but it was spread out so not even sure it met the official criteria, and a warning was never issued 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:25 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Yea. It’s a good signal with support but oh boy do we need to keep some cold around. You’d think that shouldn’t be an issue in peak climo but this is the 2020’s… Expand You’re not gonna snow with a ULL going from Detroit to Pittsburgh then looping east and the back NW toward BUF. That’s an ugly upper air look. But that’s exotically far west compared to everything including the ensembles that just came out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: You’re not gonna snow with a ULL going from Detroit to Pittsburgh then looping east and the back NW toward BUF. That’s an ugly upper air look. But that’s exotically far west compared to everything including the ensembles that just came out. Expand How do they look(ensembles)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:50 PM, WinterWolf said: How do they look(ensembles)? Expand https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=epsens&p=sfcmslp-meanmem&rh=2024012712&fh=240 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:47 PM, ORH_wxman said: You’re not gonna snow with a ULL going from Detroit to Pittsburgh then looping east and the back NW toward BUF. That’s an ugly upper air look. But that’s exotically far west compared to everything including the ensembles that just came out. Expand Sell that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:06 PM, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said: Just how we would draw it up except… Expand So Viginia isn't getting 3 ft this run? Model chaos, should be a fun couple of weeks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:53 PM, ineedsnow said: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=epsens&p=sfcmslp-meanmem&rh=2024012712&fh=240 Expand Thanks pal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted January 27, 2024 Share Posted January 27, 2024 On 1/27/2024 at 7:53 PM, ineedsnow said: https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=epsens&p=sfcmslp-meanmem&rh=2024012712&fh=240 Expand Birdshot spread from a sawed off shotgun. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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