Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 The E MA melts would be interesting Thought #2 would interest you guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Roger! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 All work and no play makes scooter a dull boy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 7 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ha...Eric Webb said the exact opposite Thursday AM. I am in your camp....once the February reload expires in early March, then we rip the bandaid off. Yeah...I'm behind in this thread ... But, that's all I meant. something like that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Yeah...I'm behind in this thread ... But, that's all I meant. something like that Hopefully both of you are wrong. We need winter to start. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, MJO812 said: Hopefully both of you are wrong. We need winter to start. I don’t think they’re saying it won’t 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, Allsnow said: I don’t think they’re saying it won’t They like a quick turn to spring in March . Spring can wait until May 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 42 minutes ago, Heisy said: Thought #2 would interest you guys . If you're a winter storm enthusiast ... you may want to pay attention to how the 31st/3rd period modulates over future runs... Having a recurring theme in the runs ( note the 00z GGEM, too ) of a powerful diving JB jet, while still loading ( altho less, still positive) +PNA tendencies across the continental footprint ... I mean, it's just not dismissible quite yet that something would evolve. That's been occasionally hinted across all of them at one point or another, recently. Euro... Even extrapolating the ICON. This was always a 27th thru the 5th period of interest fwiw. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: They like a quick turn to spring in March . Spring can wait until May Nothing lasts forever. Your hopes should be for one 4-6 inch event in Brooklyn before winter ends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 8 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: If you're a winter storm enthusiast ... you may want to pay attention to how the 31st/3rd period modulates over future runs... Having a recurring theme in the runs ( not the 00z GGEM, too ) of a powerful dive E of JB, while still loading ( altho less, still positive) +PNA tendencies across the continent ... I mean, it's just not dismissible quite yet. This was always a 24th thru the 5th period of interest fwiw - Def agree here, instead of focusing on periods that aren’t very forecastable, the period you mentioned has shown some potential as we get closer to it. After that ..maybe we can hit 70 around Feb 7 give or take , seems like the ceiling is there for a couple days of a very warm period , thou who knows how that will break and or if NE corner is immune to it . Not much more than a coin flips faith in mid February turning out better than average pattern but there is obviously cause for optimism , esp as long as model agreement doesn’t delay it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 If you're a winter storm enthusiast ... you may want to pay attention to how the 31st/3rd period modulates over future runs... Having a recurring theme in the runs ( note the 00z GGEM, too ) of a powerful diving JB jet, while still loading ( altho less, still positive) +PNA tendencies across the continental footprint ... I mean, it's just not dismissible quite yet that something would evolve. That's been occasionally hinted across all of them at one point or another, recently. Euro... Even extrapolating the ICON. This was always a 24th thru the 5th period of interest fwiw.Yea that was close to fuel to fire.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 That ridge is just a bit too far east I think for later next week. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 21 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: That ridge is just a bit too far east I think for later next week. Probably "as is" ..sure. But that "ridge" could end up being less of a full latitude R-wave signature, and more of a blocking node as we get closer - if that happens, we relax the field underneath. That's what happened in the early Feb days of 1978. I saw 06z GFS and remembered other guidance taking turns ( more or less...) and then it dawned on me - wait a sec. Low and behold, it's number 2 on the CPCs list ... umm... not shit. I'm just speculating here. This is not a forecast. I'm also not really trying to up the potency of the d-drip ( LOL ) either. It's just that that we're not making this shit up - CPCs has it there because it is true. Now... granted the analog has that on the 8th, which was after that storied event was already winding down, ... the 'idea' of it is certainly similar genetics. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 hours ago, dendrite said: The E MA melts would be interesting That whole solution looks sus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prismshine Productions Posted January 26 Author Share Posted January 26 I would mald so hard due to me being in Dallas til the 4th...Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 24 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: I would mald so hard due to me being in Dallas til the 4th... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk that's how we all know we're reduxing 1978 now .. Thank you for your sacrifice, and congratulations! You are now a member. You cannot be a considered entry into the weather event seeking league of extraordinary hearts, until you've passed that mandatory hazing ritual by god where for some bizarre uncanny parallax of universal events... it is imperative you are away during the precision temporal bounds of the biggest ... whatever happened in the genre coveted as most dear. Just ask Jerry ... he'll explain it to you lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 hour ago, Allsnow said: I don’t think they’re saying it won’t I have noticed that the inability to engaged in nuanced thought is one of the most prevalent issues on this forum. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 16 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: I would mald so hard due to me being in Dallas til the 4th... Sent from my SM-S146VL using Tapatalk I would leap into the Merrimack and have an EMT on stand by to revive me only so that I could leap again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would leap into the Merrimack and have an EMT on stand by to revive me only so that I could leap again. I’d swing by , drug you and throw you in the Corsica as i head NW into monads or to lake Winni. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I would leap into the Merrimack and have an EMT on stand by to revive me only so that I could leap again. That’d be some nice payback for us WOR peeps…feel our pain boys! Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I’d swing by , drug you and throw you in the Corsica as i head NW into monads . I'd only be there in spirit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have noticed that the inability to engaged in nuanced thought is one of the most prevalent issues on this forum. Yep. It has gotten indisputably worse too over the years. Everything is eithe “MECS/HECS or bust” or “new climate is like DC” or “winter is over, we’re kicking the can again on the pattern change” The hilarious part is you to ORH might end up with a 30 inch month of January if this next storm produces warning snowfall. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, WinterWolf said: That’d be some nice payback for us WOR peeps…feel our pain boys! Lol. Eh....I wouldn't say the playing field is leveled for my area yet....one event doesn't attone for a several year bone-fest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Eh....I wouldn't say the playing field is leveled for my area yet....one event doesn't attone for a several year bone-fest. I think SW CT has been boned much worse than NE mass as a % of climo goes on a five year basis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 32 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yep. It has gotten indisputably worse too over the years. Everything is eithe “MECS/HECS or bust” or “new climate is like DC” or “winter is over, we’re kicking the can again on the pattern change” The hilarious part is you to ORH might end up with a 30 inch month of January if this next storm produces warning snowfall. Its largely due to social media IMHO....its fostering an increased proclivity towards iimpulsivity and instant gratification, which is inimical to critical thinking and conducive to an increased tendency to make perfunctory judegements. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 14 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Its largely due to social media IMHO....its fostering an increased proclivitry towards iimpulsivity and instant gratification, which is inimical to critical thinking and conducive to an increased tendency to make perfunctory judegements. All media Hype/ twist for emotional response / attention = ratings So there is a flood of BS / and if you are not manipulating or twisting some headline to induce a added emotional response (and higher ratings) that is probably seen as lost potential revenue / clicks etc and add in on top of that the politicalization of the day creeping into everything I don’t think folks realize the layers of impact this has on ability and desire to critical think , reason , have a respectful convo and even figure out or trust what ..is goin on ha 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: I think SW CT has been boned much worse than NE mass as a % of climo goes on a five year basis IDK...maybe because I have done so much "better" in the shitty years...like last year and this year, but the fact is that its tough to find a spot thats been below normal every year since March 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: I have noticed that the inability to engaged in nuanced thought is one of the most prevalent issues on this forum. HAHAHA ... and here it only took, ... 15 years of engagement? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yep. It has gotten indisputably worse too over the years. Everything is eithe “MECS/HECS or bust” or “new climate is like DC” or “winter is over, we’re kicking the can again on the pattern change” The hilarious part is you to ORH might end up with a 30 inch month of January if this next storm produces warning snowfall. Yeah, January hasn’t been the disaster some Make it out to be. Phl,bwi and dca all above avg in snowfall currently. The real skunk zone has been Bos down the coast into nyc area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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