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Jan 19th Storm OBS Thread


DCAlexandria
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Euro pretty much nailed the Monday system once we got inside 48 hours. An inch or so low on totals across the board but did very solid with the placement of the heaviest precip. If you take a blend of the Euro, GFS NAM HRRR and RAP, there’s reason to think 3-5 with 6” lollies is also *possible* in the immediate Baltimore suburbs WNW of 95 in a boom scenario

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Oh my goodness. With the euro spitting out a 5 over Central MD...NAM says hold my beer and spits out THIS jack bubble:
nam-218-all-md-total_snow_kuchera-5752000.thumb.png.fa09cfa657ee50c919615017f5d15d2c.png

Soooo… do we just ignore these because it’s so close to game time? Euro and NAM both spit out the same thing near Baltimore. NAMs jack is just more expansive. Hrrr was similar too. Interesting to say the least.

… the EE rule says game ON.
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8 minutes ago, jayyy said:


Soooo… do we just ignore these because it’s so close to game time? Euro and NAM both spit out the same thing near Baltimore. NAMs jack is just more expansive. Hrrr too. Interesting to say the least.

… the EE rule says game ON.

Since the other minds are asleep, I can't defer to them, so...Hey, if the best global along with two mesos did it, maybe they're seeing something. We shall see!

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Since the other minds are asleep, I can't defer to them, so...hey, if the best global along with two mesos did it, maybe they're seeing something. We shall see!

24f178a0640030bc0f2c3cae7cd6040e.jpg

I mean… she is pretty juicy. Solid precip expansion happening in VA WV and S OH. Certainly much more organized than I expected based what models showed 36-48 hours ago. Most models had .2 of QPF
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