winter_warlock Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 0z Hrr has a good strip of 4"+ through central MD on snow depth! I wonder if they are narrowing in that it was the same area that got hit hardest by the last storm.. You think the snowdepth includes snow already on the ground or just the new snow coming? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Slightly more backed along the coast too. At worst it’s a hold me thinks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 So far, the most noticeable change is the sfc is colder leading in.Is it digging up or down? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Just now, winter_warlock said: You think the snowdepth includes snow already on the ground or just the new snow coming? It's new snow coming. I like it because it uses upper air temps to assess accurate ratios. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: So far, the most noticeable change is the sfc is colder leading in. Could mean higher ratios! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Look what the NAM is doing to WV before it gets here. A pummelling is incoming yall. 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Just now, Stormchaserchuck1 said: It's new snow coming Oh ok nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 3 minutes ago, AtlanticWx said: What's CSI? Conditional symmetric instability https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Conditional_symmetric_instability 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 3k has precip breaking out in the northern zones at 6Z and encroaching DC by 8Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 8am looks good 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 So far for us, there's no change in precip so far, but heavier precip is less aerial coverage Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 2 minutes ago, Ji said: Is it digging up or down? I'm not willing to make that call yet. Need more data Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Again, precip is less expansive overall but for US, it remains the same it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 NAM comes in with 3/4 inch per our rates. Will be winter wonderland in the morning. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Conditional Symmetric Instability? At this time of year? At this time of day? In the Mid Atlantic? Localized entirely on Mt PSU? 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 This event will outdo the past event. I’m certain, at least in Loudoun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Just now, baltosquid said: Conditional Symmetric Instability? At this time of year? At this time of day? In the Mid Atlantic? Localized entirely on Mt PSU? It's a regional occurrence. Usually confined to east Utica. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Likely a hold 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 sfc freezing is a smidge colder. Line cut across DC at 18z now it's an ass hair south...like 5 miles south. vort is also an ass hair souther 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 It looks like the RAP and HRRR. I am done with models at this point. It is radar time. We are all gonna get 3-5. Game time. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: $20 says they hold with advisory. Only spot I could see a warning is the Mason-Dixon counties. They will change to a warning when it’s almost over. I actually love it when they play catch up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Me likey. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Still snowing 18z. Last run it stopped by then 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Does it back build precip from the coastal? Nam’d Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 The low is 2 mb weaker but also a few miles closer to the coast at 12z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 noticeably colder at the sfc...it appears to be a hold 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 31 minutes ago, DarkSharkWX said: woah My Dad texted me earlier and said that there could be a Norlun trough that would drop 2-3”/hr rates along the Jersey Shore (that’s where they live most of the year, but they’re in Florida right now) I responded with “have you seen the latest HRRRDRRR, old man?!” 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 still going at 6pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 19, 2024 Share Posted January 19, 2024 Moves out of DC area around 21z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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