H2O Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 10 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: The new thread effect might be 2 for 2. Its like Texas hold 'em. Our hole cards are usually 2/5 off suit. The first thread is the first burn card before the flop. The flop is the storm potential. Every every bad run is a burn card and every good run is the turn and the river. Sometimes even with 2/5 off suit we luckbox into a full house or flush. Sometimes with good storms we get a the straight flush. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: My kids' Banjo recital is tomorrow...should I cancel? Did you move back to Hagerstown? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 I know it has been mentioned but this entire week has basically been at or below freezing with a night in the single digits for some and a couple of nights in the low 10's. This should be immediate impact so anyone out clubbing tonight should make final call at 1am so they can get home safelyWinter Club Warning . 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 9 minutes ago, wxmvpete said: Absolutely. For just about everyone along and west of I-95 (including the metros), WPC 6-hr averaged SLRs are 10-12:1 generally between 06-12Z, but 12-18Z are 13-15:1 (Catoctins could approach 16:1), then 18-00Z tomorrow are 15-17:1. Question becomes how much moisture & lift can stick around the region that late. Can you make a specific ratio for MBY which is just under DC? I seem to have a 3.14159:1 ratio for my snows. Thanks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Just now, H2O said: Can you make a specific ratio for MBY which is just under DC? I seem to have a 3.14159:1 ratio for my snows. Thanks. That better be apple ratio 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Its like Texas hold 'em. Our hole cards are usually 2/5 off suit. The first thread is the first burn card before the flop. The flop is the storm potential. Every every bad run is a burn card and every good run is the turn and the river. Sometimes even with 2/5 off suit we luckbox into a full house or flush. Sometimes with good storms we get a the straight flush. It’s the Monty hall problem. You always want to switch doors 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: It’s the Monty hall problem. You always want to switch doors Or Schrodinger's cat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: My kids' Banjo recital is tomorrow...should I cancel? only piccolo should be canceled I thought this was well established 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 35 minutes ago, BristowWx said: What the hell is going on? All it does now is snow and there's nothing we can do about it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 1 minute ago, 87storms said: All it does now is snow and there's nothing we can do about it. Snowtown I guess. We should be used to it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 3 minutes ago, 87storms said: All it does now is snow and there's nothing we can do about it. Except in Georgetown 3 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 I'm calling it now, next weekend will trend into a big snowstorm 2 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Icon shifted a little south from the earlier run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Just now, paulythegun said: Icon shifted a little south from the earlier run. We're gonna reel this in. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: I'm calling it now, next weekend will trend into a big snowstorm Make a thread, so we can kill it and make a new one! I have a trip to Canaan and don’t want rain! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 3 minutes ago, GATECH said: Make a thread, so we can kill it and make a new one! I have a trip to Canaan and don’t want rain! No. Don't. We got a good thing going with this thread. Starting a new one might be bad juju.... Unless the 18z/0z runs lay an egg on us. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 6 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: We're gonna reel this in. Gotta be listening to this till snow starts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 7 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Icon shifted a little south from the earlier run. looks better for DC... and should make the delmarva folks happier 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Just now, Terpeast said: No. Don't. We got a good thing going with this thread. Starting a new one might be bad juju.... Unless the 18z/0z runs lay an egg on us. The thread always flips whatever the current vibe is, I’m sure all of our seasoned meteorologists agree that’s how weather works Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 4 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: looks better for DC... and should make the delmarva folks happier oh do tell.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 5 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: looks better for DC... and should make the delmarva folks happier 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: And Kuchera because it's prettier. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 14 minutes ago, GATECH said: Make a thread, so we can kill it and make a new one! I have a trip to Canaan and don’t want rain! Da Fuq? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Da Fuq? I think he meant make a thread for @aldie 22 call/post of a snowstorm next week 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 1 minute ago, StormyClearweather said: And Kuchera because it's prettier. Anyone see the bullseye? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I like the placement of the blue on this model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Also, 18z RGEM moved south as well with its QPF field and snow accumulations 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 2 minutes ago, Deck Pic said: It's still drier than most other guidance. I do think there is considerable bust potential for me and you. But it looks like we have a higher moe than we did yesterday With pretty much everything showing at least 1" I feel pretty good about not getting totally screwed. My imaginary over/under is 1.5" for inside the Beltway. Seems reasonable 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherQ Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 Actually posted WSW 5-6” for MD/DE line. Do I get my bingo piece for NE MD jackpot? Have to pull a shift in UMMS Hospital tmrw … should be an interesting commute 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 18, 2024 Share Posted January 18, 2024 And there's the playing catch up we talked about earlier...4-5” blob right over my house. Obviously accurate. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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