Jan 19th Snow on Snow: the this always works until it doesn't thread

[StormyClearweather]

For those who want to compare Kuchera with non-Kuchera. It's the same for MBY, but pretty different for some. 

 

[SnowGolfBro]

Let’s keep juicing! 

[stormtracker]

I hope the Grindr Forecast System is probably gonna hold.  It never gets this excited.   Blend the snowiest model with the other snowiest model and go from there.

[paxpatriot]

30 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Hot off the press:

And there's the playing catch up we talked about earlier...

[WinterWxLuvr]

I said a couple of days ago, that if it was less than 6 inches I wasn’t interested. But since everyone else is so excited, I think I’ll just stick around.

[LeesburgWx]

If we can trend to 3"+ then we can trend to 4"+ by morning

[WxUSAF]

^my interpretation of 10:1 vs Kuchera going off those maps is that, like @Bob Chill was saying, any snow that falls later in the afternoon is high ratio fluff. Main round is basically 10:1. 

[WxUSAF]

4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

It looks like the goods get here quickly too.  We’re ripping at dawn. 

Makes the school decisions easy, as if there was any doubt

[stormtracker]

1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I said a couple of days ago, that if it was less than 6 inches I wasn’t interested. But since everyone else is so excited, I think I’ll just stick around.

This one got on my nerves.  I was just over it last night and crashed.  I dunno.  I'm still weary

[H2O]

[high risk]

I'll take a few of those convective bursts of snow at the end of the event, please.

 

[joc111]

Fedcasting that OPM orders max telework tomorrow due to anticipated conditions during the morning commute period.

[BristowWx]

Just now, high risk said:

I'll take a few of those convective bursts of snow at the end of the event, please.

That one has me name on it.  And my other local friends.  

[nj2va]

10 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

3k flushes DC. Lfg!

Time to update your total in the snowfall totals thread.  Move that decimal one spot to the right.

[MillvilleWx]

6 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I hope the Grindr Forecast System is probably gonna hold.  It never gets this excited.   Blend the snowiest model with the other snowiest model and go from there.

@ravensrule

[WVsnowlover]

Glad to finally see the excitement start to build for this on here. We're getting to the point where we might want the south trend to stop. Hopefully it can continue to juice up a little more up until game time.

[stormtracker]

Just now, MillvilleWx said:

@ravensrule

Shit.  I know, right?

[mappy]

2 hours ago, pazzo83 said:

lol her head will explode if she sees this

my head exploded a decade plus ago when i saw them for the first time. i give the man credit, to create maps that consistently awful to interpret is rather impressive. 

[WinterWxLuvr]

4 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

The new thread effect might be 2 for 2. 

People are going to someday believe

[MillvilleWx]

Just now, mappy said:

my head exploded a decade plus ago when i saw them for the first time. i give the man credit, to create maps that consistently awful to interpret is rather impressive. 

It’s an art. Even I’m impressed at the consistency all these years 

[nw baltimore wx]

10 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

I said a couple of days ago, that if it was less than 6 inches I wasn’t interested. But since everyone else is so excited, I think I’ll just stick around.

I’ve dated women like you when they find out I’m a decent cook.

[BristowWx]

At least we don’t have to say just the “grass is covered”. spoiler alert it’s already covered!  Probably for most of us anyway

[wxmvpete]

9 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

^my interpretation of 10:1 vs Kuchera going off those maps is that, like @Bob Chill was saying, any snow that falls later in the afternoon is high ratio fluff. Main round is basically 10:1. 

Absolutely. For just about everyone along and west of I-95 (including the metros), WPC 6-hr averaged SLRs are 10-12:1 generally between 06-12Z, but 12-18Z are 13-15:1 (Catoctins could approach 16:1), then 18-00Z tomorrow are 15-17:1. Question becomes how much moisture & lift can stick around the region that late.

[deer]

7 minutes ago, high risk said:

I'll take a few of those convective bursts of snow at the end of the event, please.

 

The FV3 had this yesterday actually. Thought it was off its rocker

[ravensrule]

13 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

I hope the Grindr Forecast System is probably gonna hold.  It never gets this excited.   Blend the snowiest model with the other snowiest model and go from there.

Can you please send me your Grindr login so you don't have to deal with amateurs anymore. 

[LeesburgWx]

 

[ravensrule]

33 minutes ago, LeesburgWx said:

I'm all in. Wetter 

Ummmmmm...... On second thought i don't want to get banned. 

[aldie 22]

I know it has been mentioned but this entire week has basically been at or below freezing with a night in the single digits for some and a couple of nights in the low 10's. This should be immediate impact so anyone out clubbing tonight should make final call at 1am so they can get home safely

[Warm Nose]

10 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

The new thread effect might be 2 for 2. 

[stormtracker]

13 minutes ago, Deck Pic said:

The new thread effect might be 2 for 2. 

My kids' Banjo recital is tomorrow...should I cancel?