adelphi_sky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, WVsnowlover said: Last three GFS runs. The trend is our friend. I'd like to get more than Richmond. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, jayyy said: No one thinks that. Literally no one. He gets praised by the FB crowd. You can tell its always people with half a brain though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 45 minutes ago, nj2va said: Always better when LWX has to play catch up. No idea what they've seen that made them cut back on totals since last night. If anything, they should have increased them in some areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Shad said: He gets praised by the FB crowd. You can tell its always people with half a brain though That's basically the entirety of Facebook. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, anotherman said: That's basically the entirety of Facebook. I miss the days of DT going at it with Ji on this board. That was better than tracking a big dog storm 6 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, paxpatriot said: No idea what they've seen that made them cut back on totals since last night. If anything, they should have increased them in some areas. They'll be playing catch-up again. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 GEM is a tick south with QPF range but pretty damn close to a hold. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Minor but heights and flow backing off the coast on GFS, trend over last 3 runs To me the piece near WI/MN is slower and giving more space. helps spread things out more. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 27 minutes ago, nj2va said: We closed the old thread and started a new one. science!!! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 6 minutes ago, paxpatriot said: No idea what they've seen that made them cut back on totals since last night. If anything, they should have increased them in some areas. I believe this is computer generated. Also, remember that the temps are going to marginal, and mostly coming in during the daylight hours. This is going to be a northern tier storm. I think the map looks reasonable. Also, the NAM is on a island by itself with the 12Z run with the amount of snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, H2O said: To me the piece near WI/MN is slower and giving more space. helps spread things out more. Agree, acts less as a kicker with it being spaced out in the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, Interstate said: I believe this is computer generated. Also, remember that the temps are going to marginal, and mostly coming in during the daylight hours. This is going to be a northern tier storm. I think the map looks reasonable. Disagree with that last part. The very problem is that they cut back on totals in the northern tier where we agree the best totals will be. Makes no sense given the model trends in the last 12 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Interstate said: I believe this is computer generated. Also, remember that the temps are going to marginal, and mostly coming in during the daylight hours. This is going to be a northern tier storm. I think the map looks reasonable. Also, the NAM is on a island by itself with the 12Z run with the amount of snowfall. Is it? Have you seen the Euro? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 23 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I think ratios will exceed 10:1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, DDweatherman said: Is it? Have you seen the Euro? I said the 12Z model run... I believe the Euro starts around 1PM. No other model gets more than 2 to 2.5 inches in the DC/Balt area other than the NAM. Plus... it is going to be fairly light snow... with marginal temperatures. So even if you get that amount... that is not what is going to be actually on the ground. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 16 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Minor but heights and flow backing off the coast on GFS, trend over last 3 runs You can see in the snowfall map the heavier stripe starting to turn a little more sw to ne. That would indicate improvement in precip across the region because of the backing you mentioned. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: I think ratios will exceed 10:1 I agree, at least for the northern tier. 3-4" is looking like a solid bet for us at this point imo. Still time for precip amounts to ramp up a little as well. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Interstate said: I said the 12Z model run... I believe the Euro starts around 1PM. No other model gets more than 2 to 2.5 inches in the DC/Balt area other than the NAM. Plus... it is going to be fairly light snow... with marginal temperatures. So even if you get that amount... that is not what is going to be actually on the ground. Marginal temps where? Northern tier lows will be in the low 20's overnight (high teens in the Catoctins) with snow beginning around 3am and with snow pack on the ground. If that's marginal, we're all in a lot of trouble. 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 And the question of whether snow will stick and the talk of marginal temps … the ground is frigid. If it falls as a snowflake it will stay a snowflake. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And the question of whether snow will stick and the talk of marginal temps … the ground is frigid. If it falls as a snowflake it will stay a snowflake. Yeah I'm a tad confused as to why folks are talking about daylight hours and all that as if we're at the beginning of March, lol 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Gtfo with snow depth maps 2 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Interstate said: I said the 12Z model run... I believe the Euro starts around 1PM. No other model gets more than 2 to 2.5 inches in the DC/Balt area other than the NAM. Plus... it is going to be fairly light snow... with marginal temperatures. So even if you get that amount... that is not what is going to be actually on the ground. Wow, that's a Debbie Downer post if I've ever seen one. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, paxpatriot said: Marginal temps where? Northern tier lows will be in the low 20's overnight (high teens in the Catoctins) with snow beginning around 3am and with snow pack on the ground. If that's marginal, we're all in a lot of trouble. The most of the "Heavy Stuff" comes in on Friday... the Temps are supposed to be 30-32 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And the question of whether snow will stick and the talk of marginal temps … the ground is frigid. If it falls as a snowflake it will stay a snowflake. My thoughts exactly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: And the question of whether snow will stick and the talk of marginal temps … the ground is frigid. If it falls as a snowflake it will stay a snowflake. I am talking more about ratios than anything... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miss Pixee Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 3 hours ago, aldie 22 said: Looks a little better on the southern edges than 0z I'd hit that Everybody grab that light blue and pull...PULL!! 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paxpatriot Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 24 minutes ago, jayyy said: No one thinks that. Literally no one. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: The most of the "Heavy Stuff" comes in on Friday... the Temps are supposed to be 30-32 So? That’s below freezing and so is the ground. What’s your point? 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, Interstate said: I am talking more about ratios than anything... Ok. Could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonTownT Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 19 minutes ago, Interstate said: Also, the NAM is on a island by itself with the 12Z run with the amount of snowfall. The NAM obviously knows about this new thread, maybe word hasn't gotten to the others. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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