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Jan 19th Snow on Snow: the this always works until it doesn't thread


psuhoffman
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Always better when LWX has to play catch up.  :tomato:
StormTotalSnowWeb1.jpg

When they start off on the low side, you tend to see them uptick at game time. It’s when they start off bullish that you’re like shit, things can only go south from here. Since we’re into thread and forecast superstitions these days
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53 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said:

IMG_7758.jpeg.f3332c5fe4da6a58e61ab24be6c1368d.jpeg

Thought this would be a good time to make a rudimentary snow map for ole times sake. Apologies for the crude map design. Doing this on my phone, but still works good enough. Each area is a zone with a first call forecast. Might have a few edits later, but this could very well be my only call. 
 

Forecast

Zone A: Nothing-1” (Trace begins north of Potomac latitude); Up to 2” possible if everything breaks right

Zone B: 1-2” w/ max to 3” if everything breaks right

Zone C: 2-4” (Highest across Parrs Ridge; elevations >600’) 

Zone D: 2.5-5” w/ local max of 6” (Highest along the M/D Line and elevations >850’. Lowest in elevations <275’ in valleys)

Zone E: 5-10” 

Catoctins: 4-6” w/ max to 7”

Usually being zone A means top notch as A is the best.  You try to get a grade of A on most things.  Not a D.  This zone A means: awful, atrocious, agonizing, awfuckthis, and areyoukiddingme.  

 

But it happens.  N&W will get to enjoy and thats fine.  Got some snow this week.  Watching it fall again for a bit will be nice too.  The new thread didn't bring it back for everyone.  It still needed a souther, diggier, wetter, more jet streakier pointed at Norfolk to be good for lets say Fredricksburg north.  Can't win them all.

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3 hours ago, LeesburgWx said:

I never realized how Loudoun is so far north of DC on a west to east basis. Looks to make quite the difference for this storm. 

When I lived in Herndon we used to visit my cousins in Harper's Ferry a lot, and I picked up shifts often at the TGI Fridays in Leesburg, the difference in winters that were actually colder (obviously years when there is no snow anywhere don’t matter) was huge between Herndon and Leesburg. I know I’m 1994 Leesburg had snow over almost the whole winter when we had none. They kept getting 2-4” of snow when we just got ice every storm!  

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