WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: ICON is a very positive shift from 06z. ICON has also been a rock with this storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: You guys thought i was kidding last night when I said this was in the bag once thread #2 started. A northern stream wave trending south at gametime. @psuhoffman who would've thought? i've been looking at the runs and not necessarily seeing the jumps south others are mentioning. It must be a litttle bit, but is it not more the shortwave trending stronger and our favorable position within the left exit region of the jet stream? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Look at the jet streak shifting south (6z nam vs 12z nam). Puts DC proper (and areas just north) closer to the left exit area. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 I don’t expect a big shift on the gfs. It just seems like lately it just sticks to its gums. Think it would be a good sign if it did have a significant uptick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, paulythegun said: Look at the jet streak shifting south (6z nam vs 12z nam). Puts DC proper (and areas just north) closer to the left exit area. Think you accidentally grabbed the forecast loop not the trend loop 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, paulythegun said: Look at the jet streak shifting south (6z nam vs 12z nam). Puts DC proper (and areas just north) closer to the left exit area. Thats from the same run but two different time frames 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Cmon GFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lucketts Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 2-4” is another win (that makes 2 this week!). Are we expecting the show to begin before sunrise? If so, the morning commute could get very interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Always better when LWX has to play catch up. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 son of a gun, posted the wrong gif. here's that jet streak trend. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, nj2va said: Always better when LWX has to play catch up. its been going up and down. yesterday they had an area of 3-4 over my house and along the md/pa line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 4 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Thats from the same run but two different time frames my mistake - reposted below. looks more significant on teh real thing! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 57 minutes ago, Chris78 said: Nam looks in step with the Euro now EE rule!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Is JB screaming 1979 still? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: Is JB screaming 1979 still? Party like it's.... ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 5 minutes ago, pazzo83 said: EE rule!! Beat ya to that one buddy 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Always better when LWX has to play catch up. When they start off on the low side, you tend to see them uptick at game time. It’s when they start off bullish that you’re like shit, things can only go south from here. Since we’re into thread and forecast superstitions these days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Beat ya to that one buddy Showing our age lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Sorry if it was posted last night but the Ukie snow map cracked me up... cartopper for everyone except La Plata and that one particular house on that one particular hill... lol 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxdavis5784 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, caviman2201 said: Sorry if it was posted last night but the Ukie snow map cracked me up... no snow for anyone except La Plata and that one particular house on that one particular hill... lol Looks great for my hometown of Charlotte Hall 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ravens94 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 RGEM shifted south it looks 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Ravens94 said: RGEM shifted south it looks Shift baby shift! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 53 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Thought this would be a good time to make a rudimentary snow map for ole times sake. Apologies for the crude map design. Doing this on my phone, but still works good enough. Each area is a zone with a first call forecast. Might have a few edits later, but this could very well be my only call. Forecast Zone A: Nothing-1” (Trace begins north of Potomac latitude); Up to 2” possible if everything breaks right Zone B: 1-2” w/ max to 3” if everything breaks right Zone C: 2-4” (Highest across Parrs Ridge; elevations >600’) Zone D: 2.5-5” w/ local max of 6” (Highest along the M/D Line and elevations >850’. Lowest in elevations <275’ in valleys) Zone E: 5-10” Catoctins: 4-6” w/ max to 7” Usually being zone A means top notch as A is the best. You try to get a grade of A on most things. Not a D. This zone A means: awful, atrocious, agonizing, awfuckthis, and areyoukiddingme. But it happens. N&W will get to enjoy and thats fine. Got some snow this week. Watching it fall again for a bit will be nice too. The new thread didn't bring it back for everyone. It still needed a souther, diggier, wetter, more jet streakier pointed at Norfolk to be good for lets say Fredricksburg north. Can't win them all. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Here's the trend from the past three NAM runs for anyone that doesn't have access to the maps 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 what is the reason for the shift? is the coastal low slightly stronger? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, Shad said: what is the reason for the shift? is the coastal low slightly stronger? We closed the old thread and started a new one. 3 26 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 DT on FB talking about upping his numbers on his next snowfall map 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Just now, AlexD1990 said: DT on FB talking about upping his numbers on his next snowfall map Well he had 1” for most of us on first guess. So hopefully second provisional forecast map is better. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 1 minute ago, AlexD1990 said: DT on FB talking about upping his numbers on his next snowfall map But what will he have on his 6th call map? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 18 Share Posted January 18 Slightly wetter through 15, LP a bit stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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