psuhoffman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Snow on snow, lets do this 12 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 After being very stubborn with only 1-3" for Monday-Tuesday, WBAL of course flips to too bullish for Friday with widespread 2-4". 2 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Keep hope alive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: After being very stubborn with only 1-3" for Monday-Tuesday, WBAL of course flips to too bullish for Friday with widespread 2-4". Classic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: After being very stubborn with only 1-3" for Monday-Tuesday, WBAL of course flips to too bullish for Friday with widespread 2-4". Are they still using the RPM model? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 After being very stubborn with only 1-3" for Monday-Tuesday, WBAL of course flips to too bullish for Friday with widespread 2-4". Live and die by the GRAF 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Random Chaos said: Are they still using the RPM model? 2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Live and die by the GRAF They actually showed the Euro just now on their broadcast, so better than when they were showing the HRRR on the 6pm news Monday. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18z gfs is just the beginning of the PSU miracle south trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I’m going with the AccuWeather forecast gives us the most snow 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Is thread a joke?. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I like this thread and feel good about our chances. Just remember though the euro will not have this new data available about our new thread. So we need to wait until the 0Z runs to see the results of our new thread. 3 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, ravensrule said: Is thread a joke?. Are you serious Clark? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, WinterWxLuvr said: Are you serious Clark? I can guarantee you we will now get hammered…. With 1” 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Live and die by the GRAF OUTSTANDING PERFORMANCE!!! "WE GOT GRAF'D!!" 1 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I’ll say this about the RPM. It absolutely nailed the March 2013 storm. It’s radar depiction from the night before was exactly what happened. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Seems like the expected snowfall map from LWX increased from this morning for northern areas 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, Kleimax said: Seems like the expected snowfall map from LWX increased from this morning for northern areas That map looks similar to the first storm with a new date and time stamp in their initial calls 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Mount Holly with a WWA for central/northern DE, eastern PA, and most of NJ. 1-3/2-5 deal from south to north. A bit of waxing and waning the last few days, but this is the general outcome guidance has been consistently depicting. 1-2 here is fine with me. Never expected anything more with this synoptic setup. This DFH WWS is stellar. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Roger Smith Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 What you need is for weather (snowstorm) here in s/c BC to translate e.s.e. without entirely losing its identity over the plains states as most guidance has been suggesting, and only a shadow of this aggressive system (12" snow in 16h and 5-10 more expected) surviving ... this is because no coherent center of low pressure is able to keep going (on guidance) and the energy almost dissipates before trying to recover over Ohio and s PA on its way to join forces with an offshore low that won't in and of itself be a snow producer, your snow if any would come from any processes within the inland secondary (which is the shadow of this sizeable western snowfall associated with a low tracking east into WA and later ID, then s.e. to WY tonight). You might see 0.5 to 1.5 inches from an inverted trof (Norlun) situation or a weak circulation forming at last minute before being sucked out to sea, or you could see 2-4 inches from a more organized system, top end would be 4-8 inches if my low gets more sustainable beyond about Scottsbluff to Goodland KS and can keep trucking east on I-80 as more than just elevated virga and light snow which is what is being suggested on a lot of guidance now. It's too bad because 90% of lows like this keep an identity and keep going across central plains states. This one seems to be dumping its load over Pac NW and s BC and giving up the fight. Best results for you would be to see models tracking any kind of coherent low east from WY-NE or even CO-KS regions on Thursday into IL-IN by early Friday. I will do a snow dance when I go out to shovel out my car later. (s.o.g. in the bush here is now close to 30" and 25" of it fell since Jan 6, it was quite bare frozen snow before). 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeDeeHCue Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 8 minutes ago, Kleimax said: Seems like the expected snowfall map from LWX increased from this morning for northern areas See? You throw the first “thread” out there as a sacrifice to Boreas, if the despair amuses him, he delivers. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 24 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: I like this thread and feel good about our chances. Just remember though the euro will not have this new data available about our new thread. So we need to wait until the 0Z runs to see the results of our new thread. Wrong, I called them and asked for a special date ingest on our account. Don’t be surprised if it’s an improvement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just my two copper coin's worth (not much, probably!)... So after watching this event and checking the discussion here, I think the expectation really should be that we'll have a wintry feeling day with on the order of an inch or so (in most places). I don't see any point in haggling over what models and what cycles show some minor 0.1" difference from run to run at this point, just a day and a half out. That is my general feeling and expectation now. Disappointing after some of the indications we saw earlier? Sure. And who knows, maybe trends will end up wetter or we'll over-perform and get a couple of inches or so. Either way, I cannot complain that much...it caps of a rather wintry week to be honest, before we go into the wilderness of blah next week...after which, hopefully, we'll have better chances again toward the last couple of days of this month or early February (and on into the first part of March!). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 15 minutes ago, CAPE said: Mount Holly with a WWA for central/northern DE, eastern PA, and most of NJ. 1-3/2-5 deal from south to north. A bit of waxing and waning the last few days, but this is the general outcome guidance has been consistently depicting. 1-2 here is fine with me. Never expected anything more with this synoptic setup. This DFH WWS is stellar. That is pretty early for a WWA... Most of the time they issue the day before a storm unless they were under a Winter Storm Watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Probably will look at models for first time on this one at 0z and then confirmation at 12z Thursday. Thats how it’s working right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 26 minutes ago, Kleimax said: Seems like the expected snowfall map from LWX increased from this morning for northern areas Looks like Deep creek/Canaan are the places to be this weekend. Wisp will probably be 100% open after this next storm and could top 60” on the year so far. Mountains have had a great January for the ski resorts. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, Interstate said: That is pretty early for a WWA... Most of the time they issue the day before a storm unless they were under a Winter Storm Watch I suppose the general consistency across guidance has bolstered their confidence, and there is an increasing signal over the past few runs of the NBM for 2-4"+ from N DE into central NJ. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: Looks like Deep creek/Canaan are the places to be this weekend. Wisp will probably be 100% open after this next storm and could top 60” on the year so far. Mountains have had a great January for the ski resorts. I think I’m gonna ski white grass this Saturday. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 15 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Wrong, I called them and asked for a special date ingest on our account. Don’t be surprised if it’s an improvement. You’ve got pull. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deck Pic Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: Looks like Deep creek/Canaan are the places to be this weekend. Wisp will probably be 100% open after this next storm and could top 60” on the year so far. Mountains have had a great January for the ski resorts. yeah.hopefully keeps up and Garrett/Tucker can have big winters. Canaan is up to 82" and has had measurable in 10 out of the last 11 days. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Deck Pic said: yeah.hopefully keeps up and Garrett/Tucker can have big winters. Canaan is up to 82" and has had measurable in 10 out of the last 11 days. Once I get past my busy period at work I am hoping to head out there. That probably coincides with the upcoming advertised milder period unfortunately lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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