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VA/WVA/MD/DC CHRISTMAS 2010 OBS THREAD


Midlo Snow Maker

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I shall no longer comment on the NAM since Randy got mad at me for saying it was a red flag this morning

its either gonna score a coup or completely miss this storm

if the SREF's weren't so bullish after 4 straight runs, I would be more concerned

but there's always that nagging doubt

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What we need to watch for in the next couple of hours is whether the moderate to heavy moisture condenses around the LP along the coast. If we start to see that over the next couple of hours than I wouldn't be surprised if the NAM is on to something. For now though, things looks great from a nowcast point of view.

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Based on the current models as well as historical trends of banding, I'd say a safe forecast 8 hours out is 2-14" across the Balt DC area :) lol, this storm is ridiculous

More like 0-14. I've never spent so much time analyzing models....if this all goes to waste I'll shoot myself in the package and be done with it.

Given the constant flip flopping, if the GFS by some Miracle holds serve, I think we can count the NAM as an unlikely outlier.

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