Bob Chill Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I've spent so much time concentrating on the precip to the southwest I haven't paid attention to up north. Whats up with the precip breaking out in central PA moving towards the SW? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Out of curiosity, what's the rush? Don't we want the storm to get off the coast and crank up? If it rushes that process, doesn't that screw us? I would think snow by daybreak would be fine. Any faster and I would worry about it being past us when it cranks up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BethesdaWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 For those worried about radar, right away I think of the 2/10/10 event.......we went from storm cancel to a blizzard so bad they pulled the plows off the road. Of course this is not the same situation, but the Radar looks fine IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 2 inches in Roanoke and still coming down at a good clip . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I've spent so much time concentrating on the precip to the southwest I haven't paid attention to up north. Whats up with the precip breaking out in central PA moving towards the SW? instability light snow, but a great sign the movement of the echoes over the midwest and northern mid atl indicates the flow is really starting to back in. The radar signatures over the SE is also starting to back and take on a more northward movement. Everything is pivoting to the left right now as the upper energy diving in has phased. The next few hours are key to see how the CCB starts to orient itself and if the precip begins to back in. Between now and midnight is the key. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 interesting.... some nice UVV's showing up on hour 4 of the 0Z RUC in NC that were not there on any of the past 3 RUCs at the same hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 instability light snow, but a great sign the movement of the echoes over the midwest and northern mid atl indicates the flow is really starting to back in. The radar signatures over the SE is also starting to back and take on a more northward movement. Everything is pivoting to the left right now as the upper energy diving in has phased. The next few hours are key to see how the CCB starts to orient itself and if the precip begins to back in. Between now and midnight is the key. yes, I was going to post on that myself and I see someone has already brought it up look at the radar out of Charleston, WV the snow showers are heading S/SE from northern WV and the synoptic snows are developing and moving NE I can't say I recall ever seeing that before http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=NCR&rid=rlx&loop=yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Temp 30.2 Light/moderate snow - 1.5" All surfaces are now covered Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 yes, I was going to post on that myself and I see someone has already brought it up look at the radar out of Charleston, WV the snow showers are heading S/SE from northern WV and the synoptic snows are developing and moving NE I can't say I recall ever seeing that before http://radar.weather...id=rlx&loop=yes I was thinking the same thing. I can't remember watching a coastal develop down south and precip to the N with that trajectory. We have a really dynamic and volitile setup going on. No wonder it caused model hell leading up to it. Timing has been such a critical part of the evolution. Subtle changes can cause large swings in the outcome. Just too much damn fun watching this unfold over the last week! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SREF's remain rock solid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SREF are in, they came east a little but not nearly as bad as 18z GFS/NAM 1" line through PHilly .5 through DC .25 along the blue ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SREF goes absolutely berserk with the low tomorrow afternoon off the coast, actually back the low to the W for about 6 hours and tuck it in 50 miles east of ACY and bomb it down around 975. That is a smoothed mean, unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SREF are in, they came east a little but not nearly as bad as 18z GFS/NAM 1" line through PHilly .5 through DC .25 along the blue ridge they look almost identical to last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SREF goes absolutely berserk with the low tomorrow afternoon off the coast, actually back the low to the W for about 6 hours and tuck it in 50 miles east of ACY and bomb it down around 975. That is a smoothed mean, unreal. I saw that and actually expected to see more qpf from it we just might if SREF's are right, the bust potential is for the qpf to come in higher than proged imho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SREF are in, they came east a little but not nearly as bad as 18z GFS/NAM 1" line through PHilly .5 through DC .25 along the blue ridge They are not east at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 you are right, I was comparing them to the 3z instead of the 15z, they are slighty least of 3z, almost identical to 15z they look almost identical to last run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 They are not east at all. yea as I just replied to mitch i goofed was comparing to the 3z not the 15z. Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 SREFS are absolutely NOT east...in fact they came a hair west with the 1" line Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The 0Z RUC is pretty solid as well. Seems like the east shifting has come to an end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 They are not east at all. i see already imma have to quit this board before the night is over with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 come one guys, show Hoffman some mercy lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I saw that and actually expected to see more qpf from it we just might if SREF's are right, the bust potential is for the qpf to come in higher than proged imho There are a couple possable reasons for that. It might be indicating that this really wraps up tightly. ANother solution is that a few members erroneously have dispaced precip fields (like we often see from some of the SREF members) and throw off the mean. Either way with that track probably do good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I like those SREF's a lot. I don't understand how the QPF isn't higher actually with banding given the whole SREF run. Very interested in what the GFS is going to show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 come one guys, show Hoffman some mercy lol its ok let them have their fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 its ok let them have their fun How can we when you piss on QPF differences of .00000001 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 come one guys, show Hoffman some mercy lol He just caused some weenie to murder his family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 The 0Z RUC is pretty solid as well. Seems like the east shifting has come to an end. really trying hard to get those high UVV's into our area from the SE if it can, we'll see the 6-10" for certain http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/ruc/hr3/index_700_l_loop.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 He just caused some weenie to murder his family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 He just caused some weenie to murder his family. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 He just caused some weenie to murder his family. Oh no, a whole package of hot dogs, gone..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.