EverythingisEverything Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Se va does not need that low pressure any closer lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frostbite_falls Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 If we can get into the good omegas, I think we have a shot at great ratios as the temps around 600-650mb will be near -15C. I'd say maybe 10-12:1 as it stands, but if we get the omegas maybe 15-17:1? Thanks for the info Doc--Omegas for everyone! On me! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Master of Disaster Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Winter Storm Warnings to come out within the hour for all counties in MD bordering the bay. Mont, Fred, Washington Winter Weather advisory. But those three may be upgraded later to a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Winter Storm Warnings to come out within the hour for all counties in MD bordering the bay. Mont, Fred, Washington Winter Weather advisory. But those three may be upgraded later to a warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Winter Storm Warnings to come out within the hour for all counties in MD bordering the bay. Mont, Fred, Washington Winter Weather advisory. But those three may be upgraded later to a warning. What about DC/ Arlington/Alexandria and Fairfax? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 First time in winter I can recall the ole fringe magnet isn't working. I thought it was working this morning but alas....not this time. It's going to be interesting to see just how much those guys can get up North...looks epic in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 What about DC/ Arlington/Alexandria and Fairfax? They don't border the bay so adv i'd assume. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nice @ the band coming up from the SW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
real Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nice @ the band coming up from the SW... looks like its advancing even faster than had progged. I'm thinking DC is good for 4 to 8, and frankly, wouldn't be surprised if this one turns into an over-achiever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 First time in winter I can recall the ole fringe magnet isn't working. I thought it was working this morning but alas....not this time. It's going to be interesting to see just how much those guys can get up North...looks epic in spots. I would not give up yet; nothin's in the bag with this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nice @ the band coming up from the SW... My deck is actually starting to turn white already. The snow is really really fine but coming down at a good clip now so I think we'll be OK out here. 3" sounds reasonable. Enjoy your rainstorm Jake. Look at all that green heading to RIC. LOL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Nice @ the band coming up from the SW... and it IS snowing in Roanoke so it ain't virga Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 new SREF's pout not a huge change probably a hair east of 9Z run through 24 hrs, but not much could just be a bit of a delay, we'll have to wait for the rest of the run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RIC Airport Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 and it IS snowing in Roanoke so it ain't virga RIC officially reporting snow now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Anybody care to speculate as to the down the road effects of those pressure falls in the gulf. They seem pretty drastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 SREF's very consistent with 9z run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 My deck is actually starting to turn white already. The snow is really really fine but coming down at a good clip now so I think we'll be OK out here. 3" sounds reasonable. Enjoy your rainstorm Jake. Look at all that green heading to RIC. LOL. DT is reporting snow in Chester, and the airport is reporting snow as well, so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr No Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Anybody care to speculate as to the down the road effects of those pressure falls in the gulf. They seem pretty drastic. The sooner it bombs the better for most. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 The sooner it bombs the better for most. I'm sure we will have many folks with eyes peeled on the surface obs and mesoanalysis...weenies will look at RUC every hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 17z and 18z already busted SLP in Gulf per Unysis, at least, its down to 1010 at 19z ve. 1012 forecast from RUC both of those hours http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sfc_con.php?image=pr&inv=0&t=cur Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NYC-BOS will win this one, we won three over them last year-- I can take the loss. Still, I'm hoping for an advanced bomb not currently predicted by models to bring us in on the goods. Or even a 2/12/2006 situation where the deformation band stretches down to our CWA even after it passes our latitude. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 general pivot of entire precip field already taking place it seems to me http://www.accuweather.com/us/radar/sir/ne/radar.asp?play=true Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 I'm sure we will have many folks with eyes peeled on the surface obs and mesoanalysis...weenies will look at RUC every hour I'm studying them religiously. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 NYC-BOS will win this one, we won three over them last year-- I can take the loss. Still, I'm hoping for an advanced bomb not currently predicted by models to bring us in on the goods. Or even a 2/12/2006 situation where the deformation band stretches down to our CWA even after it passes our latitude. that scenario would be the 15z SREF's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ger Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 general pivot of entire precip field already taking place it seems to me http://www.accuweath...r.asp?play=true Nice signature. We just need the bomb to happen around the VA/NC border instead of Delaware Bay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 LWX is prob trying to take a peek at the 18z NAM before issuing warnings... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDstorm Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 OK, everybody line up. It's radar hallucination time---- weenies to the west/paranoids to the east. MDstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 LWX is prob trying to take a peek at the 18z NAM before issuing warnings... it already went goofy at 12z, killing the precip shield in VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 Light, steady snow coming down now Temp 33.7 DP 20.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 25, 2010 Share Posted December 25, 2010 general pivot of entire precip field already taking place it seems to me http://www.accuweath...r.asp?play=true Definitely looks like it mitchnick. By the way folks none of that is Virga! Snow is falling steadily across the RIC metro area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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