mdhokie Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Nothing yet. The Boy cried wolf before the wolf was even born! I meant to get DC/Balt into the super heavy stuff that NYC/SNE is likely to see? I feel like in the past we've always been worried more about the R/S line than actually getting precip. Lately its either been snow or no snow. What ultimately caused the heavy stuff to stay east? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 It is pretty cold out...that tiny bit of moisture from the clipper into cold temps was immediate havoc....why am I posting again? So I can have someone to mock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 They are now cancelling flights into dca. I think I am ****ed coming out of nashville now to bwi for a 12:15 pm arrival. I am guessing from all this they expect it to snow, guys. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 FWIW 992 just south of cape hatteras... this thing is moving north and bombing out.. why everyone thinks its over is beyond me. If that's really 992 in that position which I doubt...that should nail us Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowguy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Don't know who foot is but I'm going with him They are a bunch of overzealous teenagers...sounds like their forecast is right up your alley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Different packet of energy, same trough... You're reaching but yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vinylfreak89 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 That's the simulated radar for 8am this morning. Nearly dead on. sorry but this is not what i qualify as dead on. mod precip in SE DE for example where the model had zilch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 So I can have someone to mock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThePhotoGuy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Started to flurry here while I was putting out my new thermometer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 They are now cancelling flights into dca. I think I am ****ed coming out of nashville now to bwi for a 12:15 pm arrival. I am guessing from all this they expect it to snow, guys. They cancel flights for 1" of snow around here.. Why I left at the crack of dawn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinBerk Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I notice the NWS discussion this morning identify the SFC Low deeper and farther west than models indicated... they hedged bets back 12 hrs on forecast, but I am sticking with that closer track and this map. It is make or break time. Anyone who sees the WV, tell me if that trough is not undercutting this thing. What is the Euro from last week verifies???? Here were my thoughts yesterday as the models backed off... http://www.abc2news.com/dpp/weather/weather_blogs/nowcasting-the-christmas-storm-development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I meant to get DC/Balt into the super heavy stuff that NYC/SNE is likely to see? I feel like in the past we've always been worried more about the R/S line than actually getting precip. Lately its either been snow or no snow. What ultimately caused the heavy stuff to stay east? We won't get the heavy stuff like NYC/SNE is going to get. It's climo. People need to stop crying, especially considering what we had last year. Everyone... It's 3-6"+ !!! Look at climo for December! Look at climo for the year! Now put it in La Nina! Count your lucky stars that DCA and the surrounding area is looking at a storm that is climatologically above average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I notice the NWS discussion this morning identify the SFC Low deeper and farther west than models indicated... they hedged bets back 12 hrs on forecast, but I am sticking with that closer track and this map. It is make or break time. Anyone who sees the WV, tell me if that trough is not undercutting this thing. What is the Euro from last week verifies???? Here were my thoughts yesterday as the models backed off... http://www.abc2news....orm-development Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Morning everyone...going by this thead we are screwed/looking great, low about to bomb/lows going east, about to snow hard and precip will never get here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 They're being crazy cautious, that's for sure. My wife vetoed going out on the 6 am fligth ian. I should have fought harder for earlier. Pilot says he thinks we can make it w/out diverting to pittsburgh. Hope he's right. Whole thing amazes me, as not snowing yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 New RUC again gives us a nice shot of snow from 8pm to midnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 occasional fluffy in Leesburg....WELL AHEAD OF SCHEDULE.....RED FLAG!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 They're being crazy cautious, that's for sure. My wife vetoed going out on the 6 am fligth ian. I should have fought harder for earlier. Pilot says he thinks we can make it w/out diverting to pittsburgh. Hope he's right. Whole thing amazes me, as not snowing yet. 6a flights are horrible.. Can't blame her! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
astarck Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Snow slowly picking up in intensity about 5 miles ENE of EZF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 This storm is awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 occasional fluffy in Leesburg....WELL AHEAD OF SCHEDULE.....RED FLAG!!! I just saw a flurry. Have you noticed ever since i moved into your hood we have been unusually dry:( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 @This is going to be the biggest Shanendoah Valley screw job I have ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Flurries have started in Odenton. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NattyBo Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Back from the Jebwalk (is it really a Jebwalk if you're in downtown Rockville?) I think I saw two flurries the whole time, but it may have been my imagination. Wind seemed to be blowing steadily from the N-NW with a few decent gusts, especially when I got up on hills. My thermometer says its 27.7 in my back yard. What's going to be more frustrating to watch today, the weenie radar/models or the Skins? Both seem equally apt to let me down at this point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Here is my expectation of where the back edge ultimately sets up based on radar trends...light stuff closer to the black line and heavier as it goes east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowguy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Morning everyone...going by this thead we are screwed/looking great, low about to bomb/lows going east, about to snow hard and precip will never get here. Would you expect anything different? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowJoe Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Thank you, Master of the Obvious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Don't know who foot is but I'm going with him Its high schoolers . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I really don't want to divert to and be stuck in pittsburgh. Weenies unite and send good thoughts to my plane, please. We will either be last flight to land at bwi for awhile or I am having a christmas travel nightmare... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Couple of tiny flakes just came down in Vienna. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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