Chase Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 or those who are crying take a look at the 06Z NAM 6 hour radar estimate. [[[[image cut]]]]] it has zilch in areas that are currently seeing mod. banding. for a 6 hour forecast thats pretty abysmal... I'm also waiting to see if at 10-11 am said moderate band disipates as per the RUC. overall, even the short range models are doing awful with this storm. Just look at a WV loop... its slowing drastically and getting captured. is this going to save us here? time will tell... but needless to say its nowcasting time. I haven't seriously looked at a model since 12Z yesterday That's the simulated radar for 8am this morning. Nearly dead on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 If RDU gets more snow than us it is super bleak It was clear to me that the coastal forms, winds up and there was a sharp west cut off to snow. Looking at the AQK radar, the bands extend to farmville, with light to moderate snow and heavy stuff RIC east...dry slot trying to form over VAB area. Looks close to modeled. The issue is the exact location the low tracks and its strength. Its like a psuedo miller B in that aspect, despite development in the GOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TUweathermanDD Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I definitely think the low could be getting captured vinyl, which could be a saving grace for me. Continuing to monitor the latest radar trends and RUC runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 first flakes detected here at 0945. game on. Of course its looking like a redskins game right now, but you never know...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Its like a psuedo miller B in that aspect, despite development in the GOM. Yes.. This was an argument earlier in the week. 80-90% of the time I figured DC area might get screwed. I'm hopeful still but not that hopeful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Starting to snow in Connecticut already and we haven't seen a flake in Baltimore. This is very reminiscent of a storm we had back in '89 where Easton just across the bvay had 12" and I was in Sparrows Point and didn't see a flake. Richmond got hit pretty good as well. Very remoinscent. I'm wondering if our western suburbs in DC and Baltimore even see a flake from this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Some flurries blowing around here, way to the NW of the precip shield. May be the theme for the day west of the Blue Ridge. 26 degrees, winds N 13. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Threatening to divert our flight to pittsburgh. Not sure why since no flakes at bwi. Have not boarded yet. Don't want to go to pittsburgh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Take some good pics. I'll send you a Viking t-shirt. You can clean your snow shovel with it. (It'll have Favre on the back) You want pictures? I'll give you pictures Here is my favorite GARDEN FLAG: And here is my dog LAMBEAU running in the snow: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowguy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Started snowing here about 2 miles from the Franconia/Springfield metro station. The flakes are sticking on impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Starting to snow in Connecticut already and we haven't seen a flake in Baltimore. This is very reminiscent of a storm we had back in '89 where Easton just across the bvay had 12" and I was in Sparrows Point and didn't see a flake. Richmond got hit pretty good as well. Very remoinscent. I'm wondering if our western suburbs in DC and Baltimore even see a flake from this LOLWUT?!? KBWI 251754Z 26005KT 10SM SCT020 OVC090 M01/M05 A3001 RMK AO2 SNE00 SLP163 P0000 60001 T10061050 10000 21017 58024 KBWI 251654Z 29004KT 9SM -SN SCT017 BKN090 BKN110 OVC200 M01/M05 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP170 P0000 T10061050 KBWI 251616Z 30003KT 6SM -SN SCT021 BKN060 OVC095 M01/M04 A3005 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251554Z 31003KT 5SM -SN BKN022 BKN060 OVC095 M01/M04 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP184 P0001 T10111044 KBWI 251539Z 32003KT 3SM -SN SCT008 BKN018 OVC035 M02/M04 A3008 RMK AO2 P0001 KBWI 251529Z 29004KT 1 1/2SM -SN SCT008 BKN015 OVC030 M02/M04 A3008 RMK AO2 P0001 KBWI 251513Z 33004KT 1SM R10/5500VP6000FT -SN SCT008 OVC012 M02/M05 A3008 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251504Z 32004KT 1 1/4SM R10/5500VP6000FT -SN OVC018 M01/M05 A3008 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251500Z 30006KT 2 1/2SM -SN OVC022 M01/M06 A3008 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251454Z 31004KT 3SM -SN SCT017 BKN026 OVC035 M01/M06 A3008 RMK AO2 SNB08 SLP187 P0000 60000 T10111056 53004 KBWI 251447Z 33004KT 3SM -SN OVC026 M01/M07 A3008 RMK AO2 SNB08 P0000 It snowed for almost 3 hours yesterday at BWI. Even got 0.01" QPF out of it as visibility hit 1 statute mile! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Latest measurement: 3.8" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowpocalypse Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 http://www.footsforecast.org/ 9:30 AM Sunday 12/26/2010 | SYNOPSIS: Despite the slower-than-anticipated onset of snow north of Richmond, VA - evidence is mounting that one this storm arrives in your area, it may do so in force. The low pressure center, currently off the NC coast, is west of where many computer models projected it to be. This in combination with the increasing "tilt" of precip and upper level wind patterns increases our confidence the storm is going to deliver a heavy hit to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast today into tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BaltimoreWxGuy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 How strong is the low right now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Just don't go looking for the forecast for Groton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 So what exactly went "wrong" for us? Looking at national radar, the storm doesnt look that bad. The only thing different is the precip seems to be moving NE instead of N. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Starting to snow in Connecticut already and we haven't seen a flake in Baltimore. This is very reminiscent of a storm we had back in '89 where Easton just across the bvay had 12" and I was in Sparrows Point and didn't see a flake. Richmond got hit pretty good as well. Very remoinscent. I'm wondering if our western suburbs in DC and Baltimore even see a flake from this Dude, it's all gonna work out it'll snow here by noon I guarantee it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 So what exactly went "wrong" for us? Looking at national radar, the storm doesnt look that bad. The only thing different is the precip seems to be moving NE instead of N. Nothing yet. The Boy cried wolf before the wolf was even born! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 LOLWUT?!? KBWI 251754Z 26005KT 10SM SCT020 OVC090 M01/M05 A3001 RMK AO2 SNE00 SLP163 P0000 60001 T10061050 10000 21017 58024 KBWI 251654Z 29004KT 9SM -SN SCT017 BKN090 BKN110 OVC200 M01/M05 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP170 P0000 T10061050 KBWI 251616Z 30003KT 6SM -SN SCT021 BKN060 OVC095 M01/M04 A3005 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251554Z 31003KT 5SM -SN BKN022 BKN060 OVC095 M01/M04 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP184 P0001 T10111044 KBWI 251539Z 32003KT 3SM -SN SCT008 BKN018 OVC035 M02/M04 A3008 RMK AO2 P0001 KBWI 251529Z 29004KT 1 1/2SM -SN SCT008 BKN015 OVC030 M02/M04 A3008 RMK AO2 P0001 KBWI 251513Z 33004KT 1SM R10/5500VP6000FT -SN SCT008 OVC012 M02/M05 A3008 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251504Z 32004KT 1 1/4SM R10/5500VP6000FT -SN OVC018 M01/M05 A3008 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251500Z 30006KT 2 1/2SM -SN OVC022 M01/M06 A3008 RMK AO2 P0000 KBWI 251454Z 31004KT 3SM -SN SCT017 BKN026 OVC035 M01/M06 A3008 RMK AO2 SNB08 SLP187 P0000 60000 T10111056 53004 KBWI 251447Z 33004KT 3SM -SN OVC026 M01/M07 A3008 RMK AO2 SNB08 P0000 It snowed for almost 3 hours yesterday at BWI. Even got 0.01" QPF out of it as visibility hit 1 statute mile! Snow wasn't caused by this system tho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdwx Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 flurries have started here in SE Baltimore County Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Should get snow into dc this hr.. It waited for me Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Latest measurement: 3.8" let us know when you get to 3.805" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
capecod04 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 I was talking about this coastal low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Should get snow into dc this hr It is pretty cold out...that tiny bit of moisture from the clipper into cold temps was immediate havoc....why am I posting again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 As bad as I hate to miss a good snow, its still very interesting to watch all this. First the model mayhem, now the obs. Some very light radar returns showing up in my area. Thing is, they are moving NE to SW and the main radar shield is moving just the opposite. Very interesting. I wish I knew the explanation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Actually I see flakes outside as we pull into Union Station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dalfy Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 FWIW 992 just south of cape hatteras... this thing is moving north and bombing out.. why everyone thinks its over is beyond me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidlothianWX Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 let us know when you get to 3.805" Will do. OK, I'm there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Don't know who foot is but I'm going with him Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted December 26, 2010 Share Posted December 26, 2010 Snow wasn't caused by this system tho. Different packet of energy, same trough... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.