Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,607
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    NH8550
    Newest Member
    NH8550
    Joined

VA/WVA/MD/DC CHRISTMAS 2010 OBS THREAD


Midlo Snow Maker

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.3k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Been snowing for about last hour. Nice little dusty coating on everything, including street. Merry X-Mas everyone. What a fun, torturous, skitzofrenic week it has been. Enjoy your morning (until 12Z's come out) and lets get back to it later. Good luck everyone and a blessed Holiday to all. Even JI.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Can someone explain in laymen's terms why it has been so difficult forecasting this storm? Even up until now, we seem to be back in the mix for accumulating snow. I followed the storms in February and they didn't seem to have this much uncertainty. It just seems that this storm has been a particular hard one to get a handle on. Thanking everyone in advance for their replies.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Can someone explain in laymen's terms why it has been so difficult forecasting this storm? Even up until now, we seem to be back in the mix for accumulating snow. I followed the storms in February and they didn't seem to have this much uncertainty. It just seems that this storm has been a particular hard one to get a handle on. Thanking everyone in advance for their replies.

Explosive/rapid cyclogenesis is a sensitive process in its infant stages and when you're dealing with 4+ days out, only a relatively small change in upper level features can have a big impact on when and where that begins. In this case, the handling of the southernmost disturbance was fairly poor, and when combined with phasing and timing issues, resulted in a huge track spread across the major models (lots of confusion and uncertainty -- don't forget that our atmosphere is HIGHLY chaotic) Most often, the heaviest snows occur in a band only 100-150 miles wide (sometimes smaller than that), so even relatively small track changes can have big implications for snowfall accumulation at a particular spot.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...