understudyhero Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 What exactly is a KU? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 9 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: I know there are sorta definitions for SECS/MECS/HECS but we need a forum wide consensus. I feel like if you polled six people here they’d give you different numbers. fwiw… SECS is widespread 8”. MECS 1’. HECS 18”+ I sort of divide it in a 4-8"/8-15"/15"+ 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 I sort of divide it in a 4-8"/8-15"/15"+Last banter post I’ll do in here today… I can’t get with a system that calls the two storms we had in January both SECS. If all but the quietest residential streets are cleared in one day it’s just a storm 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
benjammin Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 BECS 2'+?Sent from my SM-S918U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GATECH Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 5 minutes ago, understudyhero said: What exactly is a KU? https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitoring/rsi/nesis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WesternFringe Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 5 minutes ago, understudyhero said: What exactly is a KU? An epic east coast snowstorm. Authors Kocin and Uccellini literally wrote the book on it (2 volumes). Thus, the K and the U. Northeast Snowstorms Volume 1 and Volume 2 Set. (Volume 32) https://a.co/d/4hzHYhk eta: ninja’d by GATECH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderbolt Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 2 hours ago, frd said: From Tomer , here is his update from 5 days ago, so keep that in mind. He seems bullish for a Moderate to Major Mid Atlantic Snowstorm January 25 Update I typically like to provide general windows for snow potentials once the picture becomes somewhat clearer; in the following days since this post, I feel increasingly confident in narrowing down a potential window between around February 15-25 for the peak potential of a moderate-major Mid Atlantic and Northeast snowstorm, though a low potential exists as early as the 2nd week of February. Really this guys making a predicament, and it’s possibly 15 to 25 days away and even calling out possibly a major wow this guys got some big balls anybody know what this guy’s track record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 BECS 2'+?Sent from my SM-S918U using Tapatalk2 feet isn’t unheard of though so I wouldn’t consider that biblical. 3 feet plus imo. I’m an atheist though so what do I know haha . 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 I typically post in the Richmond thread, live in west end of town near “Short Pump”…lol Short Pump is actually a really nice area in Henrico county just NW of Richmond. I know the name sounds funny. Tons of good restaurants there. Anyways, back to weather, excited for all to score w/ this forecasted pattern setup in Mid Feb. Haven’t seen such a favorable pattern like this in years. Hope we can all start tracking a KU soon. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 17 minutes ago, thunderbolt said: Really this guys making a predicament, and it’s possibly 15 to 25 days away and even calling out possibly a major wow this guys got some big balls anybody know what this guy’s track record He is a very well respected MET. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 Because I think the NAO on LR models is responding to Stratosphere warming, here's research that I did on typical lagtime: Jan 13-24 10mb warming https://ibb.co/PhFsN3M Correlates at +25 days to 500mb -NAO... so that makes its window ~Feb 7-18. Obviously the 17-24 day CMC and EPS that brooklynwx posted goes beyond that window of time, so we'll see what happens. I would bet that the chance of a -NAO goes down toward the end of February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 25 minutes ago, WesternFringe said: An epic east coast snowstorm. Authors Kocin and Uccellini literally wrote the book on it (2 volumes). Thus, the K and the U. Northeast Snowstorms Volume 1 and Volume 2 Set. (Volume 32) https://a.co/d/4hzHYhk eta: ninja’d by GATECH I (along with probably 75% of the posters) have the set lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 And for those that went to WVU, I highly recommend picking up a copy of this book… 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 16 minutes ago, Scraff said: And for those that went to WVU, I highly recommend picking up a copy of this book… Is that used for their Atmospheric Dynamics II class, for the Met major??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 A lot of high anticipation is quite obvious this afternoon. Will mid February to mid March thrill snow lovers in the tristate region or will it end in disappointment???? We cannot know at this time. Ask me around April 1. Psu has often referred to 1958 Feb/March. The advertised possibilities are now reminding me of 1960. During mid Feb - mid March of 1960, brutal cold and repetitive snowstorms nearly paralyzed the western Carolina's and Virginia. While your dreaming about the possibilities, read the details of 1960 from Laurence Lee of NOAA: file:///C:/Users/James/Downloads/Review_Feb-Mar_1960(1).pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 9 minutes ago, stormy said: A lot of high anticipation is quite obvious this afternoon. Will mid February to mid March thrill snow lovers in the tristate region or will it end in disappointment???? We cannot know at this time. Ask me around April 1. Psu has often referred to 1958 Feb/March. The advertised possibilities are now reminding me of 1960. During mid Feb - mid March of 1960, brutal cold and repetitive snowstorms nearly paralyzed the western Carolina's and Virginia. While your dreaming about the possibilities, read the details of 1960 from Laurence Lee of NOAA: file:///C:/Users/James/Downloads/Review_Feb-Mar_1960(1).pdf Here’s the link: https://www.weather.gov/media/gsp/localdat/cases/2010/Review_FebMar_1960.pdf 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 1 hour ago, WesternFringe said: An epic east coast snowstorm. Authors Kocin and Uccellini literally wrote the book on it (2 volumes). Thus, the K and the U. Northeast Snowstorms Volume 1 and Volume 2 Set. (Volume 32) https://a.co/d/4hzHYhk eta: ninja’d by GATECH Right...they have a "severity" scale of 1-5 for the top events, based upon areal coverage, population density, and of course amount of snow. "Lesser" events below the KU scale are the more moderate events which they also cover in those volumes. I'm more or less in line with what others consider for the categories, and all of them should be warning-level or higher: SECS...4-8" solid event. MECS...12"+ HECS...18-24"+, typically covering a wide area of the East Coast. This would also be considered a "KU" storm, one that would be discussed and referred to historically. But even this has nuances for specific "IMBY" amounts...I got ~12" for the Feb. 9-10, 2010 event (though very hard to measure!), but I consider it a HECS based because it had true blizzard conditions, a whiteout for several hours, and it was very cold. Plus other locations nearby got 18" or much more. It also, of course, covered a wide area. BECS...as I mentioned before, enough snow that Moses would have to part the snow drifts on the DC Beltway!!! Maybe enough snow that @Ji would complain that it's TOO MUCH! Or enough that even @Jebman would decline to attempt shoveling it. 3 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 11 minutes ago, WVclimo said: Here’s the link: https://www.weather.gov/media/gsp/localdat/cases/2010/Review_FebMar_1960.pdf Thanks!! I was just ready to try again with the link. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 30 Share Posted January 30 I Love those classic cars buried in snow during early March of 1960............................................. https://winstonsalemtimetraveler.com/2020/03/18/wayback-wednesday-the-snowy-march-1960-wednesdays/ 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 2 hours ago, Conway7305 said: live in west end of town near “Short Pump” You poor bastard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Conway7305 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 5 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: You poor bastard. lol, we’re snow broke down here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 31 Author Share Posted January 31 Lol, 18z musta looked great! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Lol, 18z musta looked great! Got rid of that SW energy. Still, I'll be disappointed if we leave the period without 15-20". The biggest issue with +PNA's historically is that they are dry, but there is no dry tendency this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Lol, 18z musta looked great! Gfs and canadian ensembles look the same. There’s not much to add to what’s already been said 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: Gfs and canadian ensembles look the same. There’s not much to add to what’s already been said I think he's referring to the. mirage storm for the 5th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 The good vibes are pairing well with the Blanton’s I’m consuming right now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 1 minute ago, 87storms said: The good vibes are pairing well with the Blanton’s I’m consuming right now. What letter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 What letter?T, tho I guess it would be cooler if it was an S lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 26 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I think he's referring to the. mirage storm for the 5th. Ah, I was looking past that one! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 31 Share Posted January 31 5 hours ago, understudyhero said: What exactly is a KU? Something you’re not likely to see this year. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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