stormy Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 hour ago, CAPE said: Not gonna lie, I really want the 5-6th window to work out. Been tracking it for ages it seems, and it is still almost 10 days away lol. How great would it be to get a moderate event leading into what looks like the period with the most upside this winter. Good Luck Cape! The 18z GFS says southern suppression but there is a plenty of time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 DT is excited INCREASING THREAT FOR MAJOR WINTER STORM FOR TENN VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC FEB 4-5 3:45 PM · Jan 27, 2024 · 5 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 36 minutes ago, Ji said: lol.:..dude is going to collapse by d7 GFS was an utter Trainwreck from start to finish. Thankfully just the op. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 hours ago, midatlanticweather said: @Ji - What is happening in Loudoun! LOL! Anyways, this was a wild run. Ill get. More excited If other models jump on board 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 HH GEFS is better 14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, CAPE said: HH GEFS is better all good changes here 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 to channel DT a bit… that 18z GEFS… WOOF 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Can’t ask for much more at that range. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: Ill take that!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: I hope DT can make it, he’s got a long way to go. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AtlanticWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 this signal is kinda wild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 jesus 9 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Plenty of spread among the members but pretty much par for the course at this range. Nice signal for a moderate MA winter storm imo. 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 “The big ones are sniffed out early.” Long way to go so this seems appropriate 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, brooklynwx99 said: jesus Not gon’ lie, that is quite the upper air map and associated surface. Love it 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 17 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: jesus 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 So if this "super block" ends up just slightly weaker than currently advertised, then we could potentially have a KU storm around Feb 5-6? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Just now, Fozz said: So if this "super block" ends up just slightly weaker than currently advertized, then we could potentially have a KU storm around Feb 6? I think the potential is there regardless. And not just for the 6th. February has a chance to be really special. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: You need the @stormtracker one 1 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 This looks sweet. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, clskinsfan said: I think the potential is there regardless. And not just for the 6th. February has a chance to be really special. It just seems so unreal. I always thought the Valentine to PD period would be our big one, and this pattern wouldn't even be ripe until mid-month. Now we're talking a potential MECS on Feb 6 with many more big storms possible down the road? Last time I felt this way was December 2009. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 @ravensrule just imagine if the Ravens win the Super Bowl and then the following day we get a 12-18" storm 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 1 minute ago, Fozz said: @ravensrule just imagine if the Ravens win the Super Bowl and then the following day we get a 12-18" storm You don’t want to know what I would have to do with my underwear. It would be epic. Let’s start praying now. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 Based on the height anomaly maps, every wave is digging insanely far south so I think a Carolina crusher is more likely for the 6th. But of course you never know. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 23 minutes ago, Fozz said: So if this "super block" ends up just slightly weaker than currently advertised, then we could potentially have a KU storm around Feb 5-6? It's not the h5 look that historically produces a KU. The 'super block' bs is hyperbole. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 4 minutes ago, CAPE said: It's not the h5 look that historically produces a KU. The 'super block' bs is hyperbole. Do you think a big southern slider is in play (with more moderate snow for us like 1/30/2010), or was the 00z Euro out to lunch? This whole look seems very suppressive to me. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 17 minutes ago, Fozz said: Based on the height anomaly maps, every wave is digging insanely far south so I think a Carolina crusher is more likely for the 6th. But of course you never know. Yeah. That is a brick frikin wall to the north. But at this range we have no idea where that wall will set up. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 19 minutes ago, Fozz said: Do you think a big southern slider is in play (with more moderate snow for us like 1/30/2010), or was the 00z Euro out to lunch? This whole look seems very suppressive to me. If that NS vortex is stronger/further south then yeah it could end up suppressing a stronger wave to our south(yay NC), or if the wave is on the weaker side it might just become damped/strung out as it moves east and won't amount to much of anything even for places further south. Still plenty of options on the table. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted January 28 Share Posted January 28 You don’t want to know what I would have to do with my underwear. It would be epic. Let’s start praying now. 1 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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