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Jan/Early Feb Medium/Long Range Discussion Part 3


WinterWxLuvr
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1 minute ago, clskinsfan said:

I think the potential is there regardless. And not just for the 6th. February has a chance to be really special. 

It just seems so unreal. I always thought the Valentine to PD period would be our big one, and this pattern wouldn't even be ripe until mid-month. Now we're talking a potential MECS on Feb 6 with many more big storms possible down the road?

Last time I felt this way was December 2009.

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4 minutes ago, CAPE said:

It's not the h5 look that historically produces a KU. The 'super block' bs is hyperbole.

Do you think a big southern slider is in play (with more moderate snow for us like 1/30/2010), or was the 00z Euro out to lunch?

This whole look seems very suppressive to me.

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17 minutes ago, Fozz said:

Based on the height anomaly maps, every wave is digging insanely far south so I think a Carolina crusher is more likely for the 6th. But of course you never know.

Yeah. That is a brick frikin wall to the north. But at this range we have no idea where that wall will set up. 

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19 minutes ago, Fozz said:

Do you think a big southern slider is in play (with more moderate snow for us like 1/30/2010), or was the 00z Euro out to lunch?

This whole look seems very suppressive to me.

If that NS vortex is stronger/further south then yeah it could end up suppressing a stronger wave to our south(yay NC), or if the wave is on the weaker side it might just become damped/strung out as it moves east and won't amount to much of anything even for places further south. Still plenty of options on the table.

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