hstorm Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: We had “The Look” in 97-98 multiple times and got phasing southern stream coastal bombs 3 times I think? Just that temps were in the 40s and the rain/snow line was around frostburg… I lived in southern New England at the time. Even up there, 97-98 was a pretty bad winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 97-98 was OK in the Shenandoah Valley with some elevation. We got a lot of front end blitzes of snow that would change to sleet/rain, and then end as snow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 GFS flips over to snow on the Sunday gig. Still in the game north and west. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Natural Gas 33% drop this month. I've found a 0.4-0.5 correlation with the 2nd half of Winter (lower is warmer, higher is colder). https://ibb.co/JpSn9Mb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22 Author Share Posted January 22 Lol, the gfs looks tropically warm over the next 10 days. No chance of anything frozen in this Africa type heat. 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 8 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Lol, the gfs looks tropically warm over the next 10 days. No chance of anything frozen in this Africa type heat. Seriously. Enjoy your few days of warmth. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 minutes ago, snowfan said: Seriously. Enjoy your few days of warmth. 1 day in the 60s (and that’s 60 on the dot) on the 7 day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
str8liner Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 10 minutes ago, snowfan said: Seriously. Enjoy your few days of warmth. It will be nice to not having to listen to my furnace running 24-7 which ultimately makes my bank account get smaller. No models needed to forcast that. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22 Author Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, str8liner said: It will be nice to not having to listen to my furnace running 24-7 which ultimately makes my bank account get smaller. No models needed to forcast that. Most here would take a second mortgage if it meant cold and snow. 1 1 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 what happened to the Feb 1-7 heat? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Most here would take a second mortgage if it meant cold and snow. I'd sell a family member. 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 So, we're not keeping one eye half open about the Sunday thing? It's the longest of long shots, but I mean..there's a high right there. All we need is to thread the needle, and an eclipse or something 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: So, we're not keeping one eye half open about the Sunday thing? It's the longest of long shots, but I mean..there's a high right there. All we need is to thread the needle, and an eclipse or something Amen brother!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 7 minutes ago, Ji said: what happened to the Feb 1-7 heat? The new base state is unpredictable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 7 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, we're not keeping one eye half open about the Sunday thing? It's the longest of long shots, but I mean..there's a high right there. All we need is to thread the needle, and an eclipse or something It’s all we got for awhile so why not? If I lived on Mt PSU or in Winchester I’d definitely be watching. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 best GFS run in a long time. Has a 384 hour MECS developing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 22 Author Share Posted January 22 10 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, we're not keeping one eye half open about the Sunday thing? It's the longest of long shots, but I mean..there's a high right there. All we need is to thread the needle, and an eclipse or something Oh yes. Some of us are watching closely 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 LOL at the GFS, out at the end of its run! @Ji already mentioned above that it's actually trying to set up a MECS at that time, whatever it's worth. Could that be the @psuhoffman "getting snow in an imperfect setup" scenario? The 500-mb pattern is a mess, lots of moving parts (yeah, I know, and ops at range, but...). I guess if things are actually trending better toward the 2nd week of February, this would perhaps indicate a lead into that transition? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 97-98 too warm every time so we’ve done away with that this Jan and this year looking more like 86-87 right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 16 minutes ago, stormtracker said: I'd sell a family member. Would you rent out your dazzling self???? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 36 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Lol, the gfs looks tropically warm over the next 10 days. No chance of anything frozen in this Africa type heat. As advertised there is a significantly amplified PNA ridge with wave breaking pinching off and dropping TPV lobes southward. A major reason is the NPac jet is extended with a strong jet core exit region pretty close to the US west coast. Not all bad despite the myths. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Webb with an anti-flame emoji!? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 this analog for next weekend shows what might have possibly been with some cold air 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 59 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: 1 day in the 60s (and that’s 60 on the dot) on the 7 day. The way people were talking around here I thought we were in for 60's and 70's lol. I looked at my 10 day and it looks pretty normal. I saw one day of 60 degrees. Still deep winter today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Random Chaos Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 47 minutes ago, stormtracker said: So, we're not keeping one eye half open about the Sunday thing? It's the longest of long shots, but I mean..there's a high right there. All we need is to thread the needle, and an eclipse or something *jots down note* Snow on April 8th, 2024 during solar eclipse. Gotcha! Don't have to worry about sun angle during an eclipse. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Webb with an anti-flame emoji!? El Nino favors an extended and equatorward shifted Pacific jet, and the results downstream are often beneficial to our hopes and dreams. Seems he is attempting to be intellectually honest with this one lol. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, CAPE said: El Nino favors an extended and equatorward shifted Pacific jet, and the results downstream are often beneficial to our hopes and dreams. Seems he is attempting to be intellectually honest with this one lol. Quite the heel turn for him... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 End of cmc ensembles. Ridge has rolled through and poleward, we’re building in the right places here and getting ready to rock and roll imo . 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 First Webb and now Heisy? Holy balls. 1 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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