Eskimo Joe Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, IronTy said: Does that translate to 7" at DCA? A 40” season in psuhoffman’s area is just slightly above average. But a 40” season in DCA is historic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 More dig further west under the anticyclonic wave break compared to 12z, and we get this. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: lol at the "Extreme" line... gee I wonder which winter that was with a huge increase in Dec and another in early Feb... hmmmm lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 We need a new thread! Tracking the wrong damn thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 14 minutes ago, IronTy said: Does that translate to 7" at DCA? 1958 is one of 3 times in the last 75 years DCA got 10” in March. DCA had 28” between Feb and March 58. 32” in Feb 2010. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 WB latest EPS extended snow meanHorrific 2 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Horrific Yep climo, that amount here, plus what has fallen already the last two events would give me a below average snowfall season. Go big, or go home ! Just a snow map of course, the pattern looks very promising, lets hope it delivers like a blend of 1958 and 2010. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 the first week of Feb is officially interesting if that block gets far enough north and energy undercuts it 9 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 9 minutes ago, Ji said: Horrific I think hours 1105-1200 are epic though have faith 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 8 minutes ago, Ji said: Horrific Blocking showing up in some medium range definitely in the longer range I love that! I think blocking is very important moving forwards due to locking cold air in to ward off warming lower latitudes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 These super LR tools can't 'see' discrete threats. Only thing they are good for is indicating the general longwave pattern. From that, we can glean the potential for cold and snow. Goddamn snow maps lol. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 What if 60% of this is not rain 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 41 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Look y’all. Don’t settle. Seriously. Yes wanting to see those 50” totals over us is greedy. But do you realize what pattern the eps and gefs are showing? This is a once every 20 years type thing. This is the time to be greedy. There are 2 perfect match Feb/March nino analogs to that look. 2010 and 1958. Now is not the time to settle. It’s all chips in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 Mid January to mid March has always been the sweetspot back to 1958. I remember 1958 well because it was the first time anyone could remember Rt. 11 (The Valley Pike) being closed by drifting snow north of Harrisonburg. This was before I-81 had ever been heard of, 11 was the main north/south thoroughfare. Will we revisit 1958 this year ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 jesus christ 8 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 That extension looks like the Southwest may get Palisaded by rain plumes. Bring it ON Nino baby! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 6 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: jesus christ STJ going wild 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5 minutes ago, Terpeast said: STJ going wild That's the only way to go!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RDM Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 11 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: jesus christ Geeze - with the exception of one bump/ridge over the eastern Atlantic, that jet is roaring nearly around the entire globe. It's like the entire PV has been enlarged and displaced south a couple thousand miles. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 4 minutes ago, RDM said: Geeze - with the exception of one bump/ridge over the eastern Atlantic, that jet is roaring nearly around the entire globe. It's like the entire PV has been enlarged and displaced south a couple thousand miles. Are we seeing something here that should not be happening?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5 minutes ago, RDM said: Geeze - with the exception of one bump/ridge over the eastern Atlantic, that jet is roaring nearly around the entire globe. It's like the entire PV has been enlarged and displaced south a couple thousand miles. El Nino 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 El NinoWhy does Nino happen once every 7 years and Nina every time else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 3 minutes ago, Ji said: Why does Nino happen once every 7 years and Nina every time else 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lowershoresadness Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 33 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: jesus christ Barry Bonds called...he wants his 'roids back! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Wait, it's the Republicans' fault???? (Just kidding, for anyone who thinks this is possibly too "political" sounding!) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 5 hours ago, AtlanticWx said: i would say 2010-11 was pretty good. we got a pretty crazy snowstorm rates wise in january 2010 wasn't a strong nino, BUT...since this season isn't really behaving like a super strong nino if we want to be optimistic and add moderate nino's to the mix then I suppose it brings 1996 and 2011 into the equation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 There is some crazy shit starting to show up in the long range. Storms getting trapped under 40* and meandering around. Redonculous retrogrades. Fun times ahead. 18 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 25 Share Posted January 25 6 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: There is some crazy shit starting to show up in the long range. Storms getting trapped under 40* and meandering around. Redonculous retrogrades. Fun times ahead. Maybe once it starts snowing it will not stop. I am on the psu train, edit..... sled I mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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