jayyy Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Goddamn this model is slowit’s loading up the NAMing code as we speak. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 10 minutes ago, Ji said: just dont say its digging when its not....4 people have done that in the past 24 hours lol The confusion has been regarding the two waves. In some cases the lead wave, which is not the main one, was digging more, but it was offset by the main wave NOT and eventually when they phased together it pulled it all north some...but the real issue is its just not coming together. What little STJ there is gets pulled off by that weak POS lead wave and then the stronger SW comes in behind it with nothing to work with at the surface. It eventually gets going as best it can given the wrecked environment but the extra 6 hours it takes to get going might kill us since its moving past us as its doing that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Anxiously awaiting the next panel and the low off the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, Ji said: i think the 18z nam is actually digging a bit more....famous last words Kinda diggity Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 4 minutes ago, Ji said: i actually like reading the thread first......its like watching a movie with so much drama. But there is also is alot of fiction. Then i do a deeper dive afterwards I have to admit I do this too sometimes for fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Throw it out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 7am looks better than it did at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, Interstate said: Throw it out ???????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: I have to admit I do this too sometimes for fun randy does a good job with the drama stuff. Others come in and add fiction......and its like a trainwreck that you cant stop watching. But when its a good hit...its super fun 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2024 Author Share Posted January 17, 2024 Ever so slightly wetter across the northern neck and southern MD area...about the same north of there so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Ever so slightly wetter across the northern neck and southern MD area...about the same north of there so far i fear we might be about to get split? but at least that gives the southern band a chance to trend north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChillinIt Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 15z SREF Plumes ticked up a bit 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 2 minutes ago, DCAlexandria said: ???????????? To me... the H5 is not as good as the 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2024 Author Share Posted January 17, 2024 Definitely NOT diggier as 12z. S/w still should pass just under or nearly over us 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2024 Author Share Posted January 17, 2024 Sorry everybody, this is going to be a drier run 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Definitely NOT diggier as 12z. S/w still should pass just under or nearly over us get lower! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Wetter than 12z, I guess that’s a trend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Sorry everybody, this is going to be a drier run Just now, Solution Man said: Wetter than 12z, I guess that’s a trend HA HA HA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, stormtracker said: Sorry everybody, this is going to be a drier run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Wait. What? One person says wetter, another drier. So, the same? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 when the 12k nam fails....immediately switch to the 3K nam because its a better model...unless than 12k shows more snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: right where we want it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 3k is no bueno Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Let me help you guys, this run sucks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 0.03 precip in Leesburg? I'm breaking out the shorts and sunscreen 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Looks wet on the Gulf Stream through 8 am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2024 Author Share Posted January 17, 2024 Vort pass continues to edge north with each run. it's almost over us now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Law of averages - We get better trends into the event last storm and this storm it gets worse leading in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2024 Author Share Posted January 17, 2024 Ugly run. On to the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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