WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, clskinsfan said: ICON is actually south so far this run. Don’t bother. For some the glass is always empty 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Don’t bother. For some the glass is always empty Yeah, let’s just close up shop. To hell with it, hope the icon shows 4-6” just because now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 ICON is decent. Just a slightly weaker vort this run. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVsnowlover Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, NorthArlington101 said: https://x.com/accurayno/status/1747595162337890778?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Sure why not Bernie FTMFW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12z RGEM 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 RGEM is better than 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, clskinsfan said: ICON is decent. Just a slightly weaker vort this run. I like the uppers in the icon and the synoptic set up. One thing I don’t expect is a weaker vort. Give me the rest and I expect a pretty juicy h5 wave & corresponding pass 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 ICON. Still snowing lightly at this point 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Not worried. Euro Mean has had us at .2" liquid for awhile now. This will be a 1-3" and we'll be happy. Timing will be key though as we want the start before sunrise to get a base layer down. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 ICON total is 3-5 throughout the area. Good run 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: ICON total is 3-5 throughout the area. Good run Close up view 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, wxmeddler said: Not worried. Euro Mean has had us at .2" liquid for awhile now. This will be a 1-3" and we'll be happy. Timing will be key though as we want the start before sunrise to get a base layer down. Base layer? On what the roads? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, TSSN+ said: Base layer? On what the roads? In Georgetown. 2 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Posting here too since this will affect incoming radar hallucinations lol... National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1014 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2024 ...WSR-88D KFCX DOWN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO MAJOR EQUIPMENT FAILURE... A major physical component of WSR-88D KFCX has failed and will have to be replaced. Time to restoration is unknown as this time and thus the radar will be down until further notice. In the meantime, relatively good coverage of precipitation echoes across the RNK service area can be obtained using neighboring radars or composite radar displays. Neighboring radars include Charleston WV (KRLX), Sterling VA, (KLWX), Wakefield VA (KAKQ), Raleigh NC (KRAX), Greenville- Spartanburg SC (KGSP), and Morristown TN (KMRX). 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 9 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: ICON. Still snowing lightly at this point That's much better than last night where it was basically flurries for most. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MD Snow Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 You’re right. It’s over. Move onI’m not writing it off. It just seems like the Nam’s were a bit north from 6z. Rgem hardly gets any precip to Baltimore south. Still a good chance we get 1-3” but Baltimore south has very little margin for error. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 to 2 inches on top of the 2 to 4 on ground is perfectly fine with me. 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, wxdude64 said: Posting here too since this will affect incoming radar hallucinations lol... National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1014 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2024 ...WSR-88D KFCX DOWN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO MAJOR EQUIPMENT FAILURE... A major physical component of WSR-88D KFCX has failed and will have to be replaced. Time to restoration is unknown as this time and thus the radar will be down until further notice. In the meantime, relatively good coverage of precipitation echoes across the RNK service area can be obtained using neighboring radars or composite radar displays. Neighboring radars include Charleston WV (KRLX), Sterling VA, (KLWX), Wakefield VA (KAKQ), Raleigh NC (KRAX), Greenville- Spartanburg SC (KGSP), and Morristown TN (KMRX). Well the Petersburg snowhole hallucinations just got bigger. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 I don't understand the negativity..... I mean the NJ people must be upset they are not getting the JB blizzard, I would be thrilled with another 3 inches or so before the February reload. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, hstorm said: In Georgetown. It’ll be rain there though so doesn’t matter. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, wxdude64 said: Posting here too since this will affect incoming radar hallucinations lol... National Weather Service Blacksburg VA 1014 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2024 ...WSR-88D KFCX DOWN UNTIL FURTHER NOTICE DUE TO MAJOR EQUIPMENT FAILURE... A major physical component of WSR-88D KFCX has failed and will have to be replaced. Time to restoration is unknown as this time and thus the radar will be down until further notice. In the meantime, relatively good coverage of precipitation echoes across the RNK service area can be obtained using neighboring radars or composite radar displays. Neighboring radars include Charleston WV (KRLX), Sterling VA, (KLWX), Wakefield VA (KAKQ), Raleigh NC (KRAX), Greenville- Spartanburg SC (KGSP), and Morristown TN (KMRX). Ahh, the ole 'Bull Gear' failure ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Warm Nose said: Ahh, the ole 'Bull Gear' failure ... Not sure, but I thought theirs was changed two years ago? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, MD Snow said: I’m not writing it off. It just seems like the Nam’s were a bit north from 6z. Rgem hardly gets any precip to Baltimore south. Still a good chance we get 1-3” but Baltimore south has very little margin for error. . RGEM is 0.2 from Baltimore down through DC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, wxdude64 said: Not sure, but I thought theirs was changed two years ago? I know that Sterlings was Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I don't understand the negativity..... I mean the NJ people must be upset they are not getting the JB blizzard, I would be thrilled with another 3 inches or so before the February reload. I am with you. I have snowpack and sub 20 degree temps going on right now. I will be happy with some snow showers that drop an inch at this point. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 21 minutes ago, jayyy said: Still doable but 9/10 times, we’d rather need a north nudge than the opposite. Perhaps this time since it’s already quite cold all the way to the gulf coast, models are underestimating how far south this SW tracks / digs, but idk. I’m just an amateur weenie. Wouldn't surprise me at all if it tracks further south, like along the snow cover line. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 You get a feel for how things are when you come to the website and you see only 14 pages in a storm thread since yesterday instead of 40. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I am with you. I have snowpack and sub 20 degree temps going on right now. I will be happy with some snow showers that drop an inch at this point. Even here in UHI melt-town, there is still snow clinging to tree branches. That is so rare here. My snowpack in the yard has barely changed...high temps below freezing...kids get another day sledding... this is the january dream, even without more to come. Another 2" is icing on the cake if it happens. Let's go RGEM/ICON, come on GFS. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: I am with you. I have snowpack and sub 20 degree temps going on right now. I will be happy with some snow showers that drop an inch at this point. This is correct. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 You get a feel for how things are when you come to the website and you see only 14 pages in a storm thread since yesterday instead of 40. lol Things haven’t changed really. 1-4” type event depending on location, with enough changes still occurring on models that this could still trend for the better or worse between now and showtime. We’ve also JUST seen a solid areawide 4-6” snow with cold temps and an unmelted snowpack, so people aren’t foaming at the mouth as much. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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