WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Looks like improvements to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: 6z ICON looks decently moist. Would be nice to get this precip in closer to 4-5 am to maximize the accumulations. If it comes in closer to 7-9 am it’ll be lower impact. Does the timing with daylight really matter in mid-January? I always thought it’s much more of a factor in late February and March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Got out the shower looked at the board and see the last page dead. Then i found out the event is back. And Andy worried. Y’all suck. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Looks like improvements to me. It must be. My ever so accurate Microsoft dashboard just went from "1 in of snow Fri" to "2 in of snow Fri." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 7 minutes ago, Fozz said: Does the timing with daylight really matter in mid-January? I always thought it’s much more of a factor in late February and March. It does, depending on rates and temperature. But it's much, much more forgiving than late February and March. If it snows decently and it's in the 20's, it will stick without a problem. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Latest blend please dont show that map anymore unless there is blue over us 1 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Got out the shower looked at the board and see the last page dead. Then i found out the event is back. And Andy worried. Y’all suck. I’m just hoping to do better than Georgetown at this point 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 My 4 model blend for Augusta dropped from 2.0 to 1.4 overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Vamos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6z runs put about 3” across mby. Okay, I’ll take it. Pattern is gonna start turning back to our favor by EOM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ovechkin Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 18 minutes ago, osfan24 said: It does, depending on rates and temperature. But it's much, much more forgiving than late February and March. If it snows decently and it's in the 20's, it will stick without a problem. Yeah, combo of rates and temp and flake type as well. 3/9/99 was an entirely daytime event and accumulated 8 inches in DC proper b/c it was ripping fatties all day long. 3/5/15 to a lesser extent as well. But tiny flakes with light rates will even have issues in midday in January. At least this week the snowcover and cold should help going in. How this potentially juices up to be something beyond a light event I'll defer to the smart kids here. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 20 minutes ago, Ji said: please dont show that map anymore unless there is blue over us 9z Closer. In the blue here. 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Negnao Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Sref mean. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: Woke up and see 1 page added to the thread and thought it was storm cancel. Everyone’s so chill about snow after getting 4-5” yesterday. Same reaction- thought me must be hosed. Then, on reflection, realized if it was bad there would definitely be pages and pages complaining about it… 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 I mean look. The focus right now has been a bit further north push. I think we still get in on 1-2 maybe even 1-3 to freshen up things. And there’s still change to change this bad boy. I’ll be around after the GFS. I’ll be attending a meeting that 100% could have been an email from 10-11:30. I literally put it in an email and it covers every single thing this “meeting” is supposed to be about. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: I mean look. The focus right now has been a bit further north push. I think we still get in on 1-2 maybe even 1-3 to freshen up things. And there’s still change to change this bad boy. I’ll be around after the GFS. I’ll be attending a meeting that 100% could have been an email from 10-11:30. I literally put it in an email and it covers every single thing this “meeting” is supposed to be about. rookie move to schedule calls/meeting during 12z model runs....do better 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 https://x.com/accurayno/status/1747595162337890778?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktgSure why not 3 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 https://x.com/accurayno/status/1747595162337890778?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktgSure why not How is jbs Kennedy inaugural day blizzard analog going 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 11 minutes ago, Ji said: rookie move to schedule calls/meeting during 12z model runs....do better You think I was the one who called the meeting. Surely you jest 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: https://x.com/accurayno/status/1747595162337890778?s=46&t=YRAxGyE8QLsoshMtJniktg Sure why not lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
09-10 analogy Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 44 minutes ago, ovechkin said: Yeah, combo of rates and temp and flake type as well. 3/9/99 was an entirely daytime event and accumulated 8 inches in DC proper b/c it was ripping fatties all day long. 3/5/15 to a lesser extent as well. But tiny flakes with light rates will even have issues in midday in January. At least this week the snowcover and cold should help going in. How this potentially juices up to be something beyond a light event I'll defer to the smart kids here. I don't think I've ever seen a darker sky in winter than during that March 1999 event. One of the coolest mid-tier storms ever. It just ripped like hell for several hours. I don't remember it being that well forecast, but I'm not sure on that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Remember yall when analyzing the NAM, we are looking at the second piece of energy around 57-84 hours 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Not gonna try to predict the model yet, just give some real time updates. So far, placement of the relevant vort(s) seems just a hair souther, nothing that remarkably different otherwise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 A bit drier to our SW where our precip is coming from so far...but still more panels to come with our relevant precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 hour ago, Ji said: please dont show that map anymore unless there is blue over us 2 21 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 coastal a bit stronger off NC at 45 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 So far a good bit drier than 6z so far altho the vort pass appears to be going south or over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: I’d take that all day. 2-4 for all Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shad Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 this run is not going to please many Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 For now, we just hope it’s the nam. If other 12z runs look like it, this thread is done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now