yoda Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 00z Euro is 2-4 across the region 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 00z Euro is 2-4 across the region Can’t say I’d be mad about that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Early call from NWS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 6z NAM looks less diggy through h30, more progressive wave in a flatter trough. But in the spirit of Randy, let's wait until hr 42 or 48 to really make a call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 WB 6Z NAM much better than 0Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024011706&fh=75&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 30 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: 6z NAM looks less diggy through h30, more progressive wave in a flatter trough. But in the spirit of Randy, let's wait until hr 42 or 48 to really make a call. When it’s all said and done, more moderate precip associated with a weak LP that tracked into S WV produced QPF amounts similar to 18z over the CWA. verbatim it’s 2-4 for most and some upside to 5” for the NE MD pummeled crew. on paper, it’s a solid run. Only concern is the base of the trough and our s/w pass was slightly north of the past 2 runs in a broader/more positive tilt. We’re coinciding with a good UL jet for moderate precip, but don’t want to see too many more north trends with the vort/axis today (Wednesday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 WB 6Z ICON 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Latest blend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deer Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Start time on the NAM is between 4-7am Friday near DC, so we may be able to get stickage from the start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 You'll get it. The entire sub is going to get at least 4 inches from Friday's system. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 One thing is for sure the ground going in will be quite a bit colder than the last storm. Multiple days below to well below freezing and snow-cover...seems to me this should stick to pavement quicker than the last despite falling during the day. I'm probably wrong and wish casting since I missed most of the last. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Woke up and see 1 page added to the thread and thought it was storm cancel. Everyone’s so chill about snow after getting 4-5” yesterday. 3 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 WB 6Z EURO 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Need a shift south. Won’t happen cause it never does and what would shove it south would dry it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 24 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Woke up and see 1 page added to the thread and thought it was storm cancel. Everyone’s so chill about snow after getting 4-5” yesterday. It snows so much around here now. We sneeze 2-4 regularly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 3” is the number. Let’s do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 0-4" seems like a good CWG range for this 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Just now, aldie 22 said: 0-4" seems like a good CWG range for this With 50/50 boom bust probability and medium confidence haha. Basically it can snow 0-30 inches and they’ll be like yep we nailed it. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 6z ICON looks decently moist. Would be nice to get this precip in closer to 4-5 am to maximize the accumulations. If it comes in closer to 7-9 am it’ll be lower impact. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Looks like improvements to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 5 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: 6z ICON looks decently moist. Would be nice to get this precip in closer to 4-5 am to maximize the accumulations. If it comes in closer to 7-9 am it’ll be lower impact. Does the timing with daylight really matter in mid-January? I always thought it’s much more of a factor in late February and March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17, 2024 Author Share Posted January 17, 2024 Got out the shower looked at the board and see the last page dead. Then i found out the event is back. And Andy worried. Y’all suck. 1 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 5 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said: Looks like improvements to me. It must be. My ever so accurate Microsoft dashboard just went from "1 in of snow Fri" to "2 in of snow Fri." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 7 minutes ago, Fozz said: Does the timing with daylight really matter in mid-January? I always thought it’s much more of a factor in late February and March. It does, depending on rates and temperature. But it's much, much more forgiving than late February and March. If it snows decently and it's in the 20's, it will stick without a problem. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 3 hours ago, CAPE said: Latest blend please dont show that map anymore unless there is blue over us 1 1 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 12 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Got out the shower looked at the board and see the last page dead. Then i found out the event is back. And Andy worried. Y’all suck. I’m just hoping to do better than Georgetown at this point 10 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 My 4 model blend for Augusta dropped from 2.0 to 1.4 overnight. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joc111 Posted January 17, 2024 Share Posted January 17, 2024 Vamos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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