nj2va Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 4 minutes ago, Brianonymous said: Soooo.. The good news is that Thurs, going into Friday at 2-3am, I have to start driving to Florida to catch a boat for vacation... Using standard Murphy compliance, my needing to drive on 95 means that this snow will definitely happen. I'll probably be ok though, right? I mean, I am not too worried about plowing through a few inches of snow. Yeah, seems like you’ll be okay leaving at that hour. Have a great trip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Well the good news is, even if this one doesn't work out...yesterday did, and it was a uniform win across the board. So at least we would've gotten 1 put of 2 with a reload coming (not giving up on this one yet though) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 How about the GRAF - This model stinks! 2 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 No big changes on the GFS thru 36 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 Not seeing much change, nothing impressive...it's basically the 18z GFS but a tiny bit warmer at the sfc Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 17 Author Share Posted January 17 2-4 dc north from like US 50 north 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 2 minutes ago, stormtracker said: 2-4 dc north from like US 50 north 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: Would take, but don’t love being on the southern edge. That’s never where you want to be. Just need the vort to dig a bit. Not asking for much! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, Terpeast said: Would take, but don’t love being on the southern edge. That’s never where you want to be yeah, it took a lot of precip away further south. the 0.2" line used to be down by RIC... they now get maybe 0.05". it's slightly wetter where it hits, but a scary outcome. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 00z Euro is 2-4 across the region 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 00z Euro is 2-4 across the region Can’t say I’d be mad about that at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WVclimo Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Early call from NWS 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6z NAM looks less diggy through h30, more progressive wave in a flatter trough. But in the spirit of Randy, let's wait until hr 42 or 48 to really make a call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 WB 6Z NAM much better than 0Z. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gopper Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2024011706&fh=75&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc= Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 30 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: 6z NAM looks less diggy through h30, more progressive wave in a flatter trough. But in the spirit of Randy, let's wait until hr 42 or 48 to really make a call. When it’s all said and done, more moderate precip associated with a weak LP that tracked into S WV produced QPF amounts similar to 18z over the CWA. verbatim it’s 2-4 for most and some upside to 5” for the NE MD pummeled crew. on paper, it’s a solid run. Only concern is the base of the trough and our s/w pass was slightly north of the past 2 runs in a broader/more positive tilt. We’re coinciding with a good UL jet for moderate precip, but don’t want to see too many more north trends with the vort/axis today (Wednesday). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 WB 6Z ICON 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Latest blend 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deer Whisperer Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Start time on the NAM is between 4-7am Friday near DC, so we may be able to get stickage from the start Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 You'll get it. The entire sub is going to get at least 4 inches from Friday's system. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 One thing is for sure the ground going in will be quite a bit colder than the last storm. Multiple days below to well below freezing and snow-cover...seems to me this should stick to pavement quicker than the last despite falling during the day. I'm probably wrong and wish casting since I missed most of the last. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Woke up and see 1 page added to the thread and thought it was storm cancel. Everyone’s so chill about snow after getting 4-5” yesterday. 3 17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 WB 6Z EURO 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Need a shift south. Won’t happen cause it never does and what would shove it south would dry it up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 24 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Woke up and see 1 page added to the thread and thought it was storm cancel. Everyone’s so chill about snow after getting 4-5” yesterday. It snows so much around here now. We sneeze 2-4 regularly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 3” is the number. Let’s do this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 0-4" seems like a good CWG range for this 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 Just now, aldie 22 said: 0-4" seems like a good CWG range for this With 50/50 boom bust probability and medium confidence haha. Basically it can snow 0-30 inches and they’ll be like yep we nailed it. 5 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 17 Share Posted January 17 6z ICON looks decently moist. Would be nice to get this precip in closer to 4-5 am to maximize the accumulations. If it comes in closer to 7-9 am it’ll be lower impact. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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